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Saga vs Brave Thunders Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 06:05
Final 89-67
21-17 22-13 25-18 21-19
Position#18
Record4-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game73.1
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#21
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game82.1
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Brave Thunders
17 Feb 2027
SAGA v BRAV
upcoming
04 Nov 2024
SAGA76
BRAV89
03 Nov 2024
SAGA89
BRAV67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brave Thunders winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
68-80
68
80
-12
54avg 67
H06/05
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
48-70
48
70
-22
33avg 67
A05/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
77-71
77
71
+6
57avg 67
A06/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
81-64
81
64
+17
82avg 67
A12/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
90-81
90
81
+9
91avg 67
A13/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
70-61
70
61
+9
62avg 67
A19/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
72-74
72
74
-2
61avg 67
A20/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
74-79
74
79
-5
60avg 67
H23/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
71avg 67
A26/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
66-79
66
79
-13
61avg 67
A27/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-21
23-17
23-17
15-25
9-22
11-18
13-13
15-17
24-12
27-22
12-14
14-23
13-6
21-20
22-24
25-14
27-25
22-21
22-17
19-18
20-17
23-4
12-17
15-23
16-25
17-16
14-18
25-15
18-18
16-25
23-17
17-19
21-27
15-11
17-21
21-20
10-24
18-22
22-21
16-12
145.8Avg total
72.0Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.473.1145.6-0.744%
Season at home (1)74.079.0153.0-5.00%
Season away (8)72.272.4144.6-0.150%
Last 10 (10)72.073.8145.8-1.840%
Last 5 (5)71.274.4145.6-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.480.0150.4-9.610%
vs Similar (13)76.674.1150.7+2.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.965.7145.6+14.186%
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunders
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#19
L
79-87
79
87
-8
71avg 73
A05/05
B League
Akita
#14
W
81-73
81
73
+8
74avg 73
H05/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
68-89
68
89
-21
60avg 73
H06/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
62-82
62
82
-20
49avg 73
A12/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
87-94
87
94
-7
75avg 73
A13/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
80-87
80
87
-7
74avg 73
H18/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
84avg 73
H19/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
54-69
54
69
-15
49avg 73
H23/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
62-89
62
89
-27
56avg 73
H25/10
B League
Gunma
#6
L
68-75
68
75
-7
63avg 73
H26/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-30
21-18
17-23
26-16
16-20
25-13
20-17
20-23
12-18
12-27
24-20
20-24
13-28
21-16
18-19
10-19
27-33
15-16
25-20
20-25
18-27
22-11
22-25
18-24
18-21
25-11
18-21
16-24
12-14
13-20
10-19
19-16
18-20
26-18
13-26
5-25
14-15
19-16
17-19
18-25
155.5Avg total
72.9Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.282.1154.3-9.922%
Season at home (7)71.680.4152.0-8.929%
Season away (2)74.588.0162.5-13.50%
Last 10 (10)72.982.6155.5-9.720%
Last 5 (5)70.480.2150.6-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.981.1154.0-8.225%
vs Similar (14)77.681.2158.8-3.643%
vs Weaker (8)83.879.9163.6+3.975%
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -4.9-4.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -6.3-6.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -4.9-4.9
SagaBrave Thunders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Dolphins
#4
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H06/05
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
20-40
20
40
-20
A05/10
B League
Kyoto
#10
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A06/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A12/10
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A13/10
B League
Akita
#14
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A19/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/10
B League
Chiba
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H23/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A26/10
B League
Alvark
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A27/10
B League
73.1Avg total
35.8Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.975.4-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (9)34.937.672.4-2.744%-
Last 30 away (21)38.638.076.7+0.648%-
Last 10 (10)35.837.373.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.872.6-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.341.276.5-5.920%-
vs Similar (13)38.137.475.5+0.746%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)39.634.173.7+5.486%-
This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#19
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A05/05
B League
Akita
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H05/10
B League
Akita
#14
L
24-45
24
45
-21
H06/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A12/10
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A13/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H18/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H19/10
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H23/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H25/10
B League
Gunma
#6
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H26/10
B League
75.4Avg total
36.2Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.078.4-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.338.174.3-1.858%-
Last 30 away (11)42.243.385.5-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)36.239.275.4-3.050%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.671.6+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.039.476.4-2.450%-
vs Similar (14)38.738.977.6-0.250%-
vs Weaker (8)39.442.481.8-3.050%-
This opponent (Saga) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.6
49.7%
51.2%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.9
32.4%
33.4%23.7
🏀 Free throws17.711.9
67.2%
72.7%11.9
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.7
49.1%
51.2%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.0
30.2%
33.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws14.711.0
74.8%
72.7%11.0
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LLLLWWWWLL
Brave Thunders
LLLWLLLLWL
#18
League position
#21
-3.7
Net rating
-12.1
100.9
Offensive rating
96.4
104.6
Defensive rating
108.5
49.2%
Effective FG%
47.5%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
17.4%
Turnover %
19.1%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
32.4%
3-point %
30.2%
67.1%
Assist %
70.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 96.4Defence104.6 · 108.5Shooting49.2% · 47.5%3-point %32.4% · 30.2%Ball care17.4% · 19.1%Off. rebounds26.9% · 27.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Saga   ■ Brave Thunders
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Saga wins
1
Brave Thunders wins
DateGameScore
24/03/24Brave Thunders v Saga78-87
23/03/24Brave Thunders v Saga74-65
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24AAlvark66-79
26/10/24AAlvark74-79
23/10/24HChiba74-79
20/10/24AAkita72-74
19/10/24AAkita70-61
13/10/24AHiroshima D.90-81
12/10/24AHiroshima D.81-64
06/10/24AKyoto77-71
05/10/24AKyoto48-70
06/05/24HDiamond Dolphins68-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24HGunma68-75
25/10/24HGunma62-89
23/10/24HSun Rockers Shibuya54-69
19/10/24HYokohama88-81 OT
18/10/24HYokohama80-87
13/10/24ADiamond Dolphins87-94
12/10/24ADiamond Dolphins62-82
06/10/24HAkita68-89
05/10/24HAkita81-73
05/05/24AYokohama79-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeL0%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games918
Win %44%0%50%
Points / game72.474.072.2
Allowed / game73.179.072.4
Point differential-0.7-5.0-0.1
Avg total145.6153.0144.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%0%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brave Thunders
B League 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeLWLLL29%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %22%29%0%
Points / game72.271.674.5
Allowed / game82.180.488.0
Point differential-9.9-8.9-13.5
Avg total154.3152.0162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %11%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alvark109190%79.970.2+9.7
2 Chiba119282%80.871.5+9.3
3 Shimane108280%83.571.5+12.0
4 NeoPhoenix108280%86.678.3+8.3
5 Utsunomiya Brex108280%79.474.4+5.0
6 Ryukyu118373%88.878.7+10.1
7 Sun Rockers Shibuya106460%76.169.8+6.3
8 Gunma106460%77.671.4+6.2
9 SeaHorses Mikawa106460%78.575.7+2.8
10 Nagasaki106460%71.971.7+0.2
11 Osaka116555%83.181.1+2.0
12 Diamond Dolphins105550%82.981.0+1.9
13 Kyoto105550%77.477.2+0.2
14 Akita115645%76.276.8-0.6
15 Yokohama115645%73.977.7-3.8
16 Saga94544%72.473.1-0.7
17 Nagoya Fighting Eagles114736%71.473.6-2.3
18 Hokkaido114736%71.077.5-6.5
19 Sendai113827%71.676.1-4.5
20 Brave Thunders92722%72.282.1-9.9
21 Hiroshima D.102820%72.483.9-11.5
22 Ibaraki Robots102820%73.886.4-12.6
23 Shiga101910%77.186.4-9.3
24 Koshigaya Alphas101910%69.783.5-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2122252189
Brave Thunders1713181967
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