Brave Thunders vs Saga Result & Analysis

Brave Thunders host Saga on 13 November 2026 in the B League, with the model favouring the home side at 56% versus 44% for the visitors; the projected score is 87-85 and the total is 171.9 points. Brave Thunders finish the season 4-12, averaging 78.5 points and conceding 84.7, while Saga are 1-13, 78.2 points and 95.2 allowed, the lowest league position for both. At home, the Thunders are 1-9, 76.1 points and 85.1 allowed, and on the road they are 1-4, 77.8 points and 93.2 allowed. Both teams have lost their last five games, with the Thunders' recent defeats including 74-95 to Shimane and 76-85 to Altiri Chiba, and Saga's recent losses to Chiba and SeaHorses Mikawa. In head-to-head history Saga leads 4-2, most recently beating the Thunders 91-84 on 27 December 2025. The spread is -6.0 for the Thunders, with a 35% chance to cover, and there is a 5% probability of overtime. The game will likely hinge on how the Thunders can defend against Saga's high-scoring attack.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brave Thunders winWon

55.8%fair 1.79

Best odds1.40

Implied72.1%

Edge-16.3pp

Saga winLost

44.2%fair 2.26

Best odds3.39

Implied27.9%

Edge+16.3pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 14:18 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brave Thunders Japan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormThunders

Date

Competition

Ibaraki Robots

#12

74-82

-8

70avg 72

H16/10

B League

Shimane

#18

69-80

-11

61avg 72

A19/10

B League

Osaka

#26

101-67

101

+34

108avg 72

H21/10

B League

Sendai

82-93

-11

77avg 72

H24/10

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

#15

92-89

93avg 72

A26/10

B League

Yokohama

#17

65-75

-10

59avg 72

H31/10

B League

Yokohama

#17

66-77

-11

62avg 72

H01/11

B League

Shiga

#16

75-81

-6

no box

A06/11

B League

Altiri Chiba

#19

76-85

-9

no box

H09/11

B League

Shimane

#18

74-95

-21

no box

H11/11

B League

19-23

23-17

13-17

19-25

26-18

15-23

10-19

18-20

35-13

21-18

20-18

25-18

19-21

26-26

19-22

18-24

17-26

24-20

22-25

29-18

16-24

16-12

15-28

18-11

12-20

21-19

16-20

17-18

17-25

20-13

16-15

22-28

18-16

21-24

19-22

18-23

14-26

24-24

19-27

17-18

159.8Avg total

77.4Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (16)	78.5	84.7	163.2	-6.2	25%
Season at home (10)	76.1	85.1	161.2	-9.0	10%
Season away (6)	82.5	84.0	166.5	-1.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	77.4	82.4	159.8	-5.0	20%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	82.6	153.8	-11.4	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	75.2	87.7	162.9	-12.4	17%
vs Similar (11)	80.5	82.6	163.1	-2.2	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	101.0	67.0	168.0	+34.0	100%

This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Saga

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormSaga

Date

Competition

Alvark

74-90

-16

57avg 74

A08/10

B League

Kobe

#23

84-77

75avg 74

A10/10

B League

Gunma

61-72

-11

52avg 74

H12/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

90-109

109

-19

71avg 74

H16/10

B League

Kyoto

#10

70-115

115

-45

58avg 74

A18/10

B League

Nagasaki

#21

66-84

-18

58avg 74

H21/10

B League

Alvark

88-112

112

-24

72avg 74

H26/10

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

83-100

100

-17

72avg 74

A31/10

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

78-84

-6

60avg 74

A01/11

B League

Chiba

#14

103-111

103

111

-8

no box

H08/11

B League

15-29

19-15

22-22

18-24

27-20

17-12

15-26

25-19

15-16

12-16

17-17

17-23

24-28

21-26

19-23

26-32

18-29

21-33

16-24

15-29

20-24

15-24

17-17

14-19

13-33

17-28

30-21

28-30

16-37

31-21

11-24

25-18

13-21

28-15

16-21

21-27

20-34

21-24

26-25

36-28

175.1Avg total

79.7Scored

95.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	78.2	95.2	173.4	-17.0	7%
Season at home (9)	78.4	96.3	174.8	-17.9	0%
Season away (5)	77.8	93.2	171.0	-15.4	20%
Last 10 (10)	79.7	95.4	175.1	-15.7	10%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	98.2	181.8	-14.6	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	78.4	92.8	171.2	-14.3	11%
vs Similar (3)	75.7	76.3	152.0	-0.7	67%
vs Weaker (9)	87.1	78.4	165.6	+8.7	78%

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 163.5Actual: Under 163.5

Over 163.5

68.7%

@ 1.52+7.5pp

Under 163.5

31.3%

@ 2.40-7.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.50

BetVictor

1.50

Under

Bet365

2.40

BetVictor

2.38

Betano

2.35

Over/Under 168.75 · main lineActual: Under 168.75

Over 168.75

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under 168.75

no forecast

@ 1.82

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.82

Over/Under 173.5Actual: Under 173.5

Over 173.5

45.3%

@ 2.40+6.5pp

Under 173.5

54.7%

@ 1.52-6.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.40

BetVictor

2.38

Betano

2.37

Under

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.50

BetVictor

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Brave Thunders total 81.5Actual: Brave Thunders over 81.5

Over 81.5

69.4%

@ 1.45+2.7pp

Under 81.5

30.6%

@ 2.96-2.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.27

Under

1xBet

2.96

Betano

2.50

Brave Thunders total 85.5 · main lineActual: Brave Thunders over 85.5

Over 85.5

54.7%

@ 1.83-2.6pp

Under 85.5

45.3%

@ 2.20+2.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.57

1xBet

1.51

Under

Betano

2.20

1xBet

2.03

Bet365

1.83

Brave Thunders total 89.5Actual: Brave Thunders over 89.5

Over 89.5

39.4%

@ 2.07-4.7pp

Under 89.5

60.6%

@ 1.65+4.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.07

1xBet

1.97

Under

Betano

1.65

1xBet

1.54

Saga total 77.5Actual: Saga under 77.5

Over 77.5

76.7%

@ 1.50+15.0pp

Under 77.5

23.3%

@ 2.37-15.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.40

Under

Betano

2.37

1xBet

2.31

Saga total 81.5 · main lineActual: Saga under 81.5

Over 81.5

63.3%

@ 1.95+14.7pp

Under 81.5

36.7%

@ 1.83-14.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.95

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.87

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.76

Under

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.78

Marathon Be

1.77

Betano

1.72

1xBet

1.68

Saga total 85.5Actual: Saga under 85.5

Over 85.5

48.2%

@ 2.60+12.5pp

Under 85.5

51.8%

@ 1.42-12.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.60

1xBet

2.44

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.37

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Brave Thunders -10.5Actual: Brave Thunders -10.5

BRAV -10.5

22.0%

@ 2.70-15.3pp

SAGA +10.5

78.0%

@ 1.52+15.3pp

Best 5 market prices

BRAV

Bet365

2.70

1xBet

2.45

BetVictor

2.40

Betano

2.30

SAGA

Betano

1.52

BetVictor

1.50

Bet365

1.41

1xBet

1.39

Spread Brave Thunders -7.5 · main lineActual: Brave Thunders -7.5

BRAV -7.5

30.8%

@ 2.12-18.6pp

SAGA +7.5

69.2%

@ 1.88+18.6pp

Best 5 market prices

BRAV

Bet365

2.12

Pinnacle

1.93

BetVictor

1.91

Marathon Be

1.91

1xBet

1.89

SAGA

Pinnacle

1.88

Betano

1.80

BetVictor

1.80

Marathon Be

1.73

1xBet

1.66

Spread Brave Thunders -4.5Actual: Brave Thunders -4.5

BRAV -4.5

41.3%

@ 1.74-15.8pp

SAGA +4.5

58.7%

@ 2.30+15.8pp

Best 5 market prices

BRAV

Bet365

1.74

Pinnacle

1.66

Marathon Be

1.59

Betano

1.57

1xBet

1.54

SAGA

BetVictor

2.30

Pinnacle

2.21

Betano

2.20

1xBet

2.08

Marathon Be

2.02

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Brave ThundersSaga

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.3	40.6	-2.0	33%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	33%	7%
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	23.2	44.1	-2.3	33%	60%
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	15.4	22.2	37.6	-6.8	20%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.9	22.3	41.2	-3.4	33%	33%
vs Similar (11)	18.5	20.5	38.9	-2.0	27%	27%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	35.0	13.0	48.0	+22.0	100%	100%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	20.9	24.6	45.5	-3.7	23%	73%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	25.5	46.0	-5.0	6%	81%
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	23.6	45.0	-2.3	43%	64%
Last 10 (10)	18.1	27.1	45.2	-9.0	10%	80%
Last 5 (5)	16.4	29.8	46.2	-13.4	0%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.3	26.2	45.5	-6.8	6%	83%
vs Similar (3)	24.3	19.7	44.0	+4.7	67%	67%
vs Weaker (9)	22.9	23.2	46.1	-0.3	44%	56%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.75
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.2	41.5	-0.9	43%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	47%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	21.1	41.7	-0.4	40%	60%
Last 10 (10)	21.1	19.6	40.7	+1.5	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.9	22.6	42.5	-2.6	28%	56%
vs Similar (11)	20.9	19.3	40.2	+1.6	64%	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	21.0	18.0	39.0	+3.0	100%	0%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.75
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.3	39.6	+0.9	53%	37%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.4	20.4	38.8	-1.9	31%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	18.1	40.5	+4.2	79%	36%
Last 10 (10)	20.2	21.4	41.6	-1.2	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	22.4	44.8	+0.0	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.6	21.2	40.7	-1.6	39%	50%
vs Similar (3)	17.0	16.7	33.7	+0.3	33%	0%
vs Weaker (9)	22.8	16.6	39.3	+6.2	89%	22%

Brave ThundersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ibaraki Robots

#12

42-40

H16/10

B League

Shimane

#18

41-41

A19/10

B League

Osaka

#26

56-31

+25

H21/10

B League

Sendai

45-47

-2

H24/10

B League

Utsunomiya Brex

#15

41-46

-5

A26/10

B League

Yokohama

#17

32-36

-4

H31/10

B League

Yokohama

#17

33-39

-6

H01/11

B League

Shiga

#16

37-38

-1

A06/11

B League

Altiri Chiba

#19

39-40

-1

H09/11

B League

Shimane

#18

38-50

-12

H11/11

B League

81.2Avg total

40.4Scored

40.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.75
Last 30 (30)	39.6	42.5	82.1	-2.9	20%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	37.6	40.7	78.3	-3.1	20%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	41.6	44.3	85.9	-2.7	20%	53%
Last 10 (10)	40.4	40.8	81.2	-0.4	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	35.8	40.6	76.4	-4.8	0%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	38.8	44.8	83.7	-6.0	11%	50%
vs Similar (11)	39.4	39.7	79.1	-0.4	27%	27%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	56.0	31.0	87.0	+25.0	100%	100%

This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alvark

34-44

-10

A08/10

B League

Kobe

#23

44-32

+12

A10/10

B League

Gunma

27-32

-5

H12/10

B League

Levanga Hokkaido

45-54

-9

H16/10

B League

Kyoto

#10

39-62

-23

A18/10

B League

Nagasaki

#21

35-48

-13

H21/10

B League

Alvark

30-61

-31

H26/10

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

47-58

-11

A31/10

B League

SeaHorses Mikawa

41-36

A01/11

B League

Chiba

#14

41-58

-17

H08/11

B League

86.8Avg total

38.3Scored

48.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.75
Last 30 (30)	41.2	44.0	85.1	-2.8	40%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	38.9	45.9	84.8	-6.9	19%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	43.7	41.8	85.5	+1.9	64%	50%
Last 10 (10)	38.3	48.5	86.8	-10.2	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	38.8	52.2	91.0	-13.4	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	38.9	47.3	86.2	-8.4	22%	61%
vs Similar (3)	41.3	36.3	77.7	+5.0	67%	0%
vs Weaker (9)	45.7	39.8	85.4	+5.9	67%	56%

This opponent (Brave Thunders) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Brave Thunders win

BRAV win

no forecast

@ 1.50

SAGA win

no forecast

@ 2.91

1st half Spread Brave Thunders -3.5 · main lineActual: Brave Thunders -3.5

BRAV -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

SAGA +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.95

1st half Over/Under 84.75 · main lineActual: Over 84.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.78

Brave Thunders 1st half total 43.5 · main lineActual: Brave Thunders over 43.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 2.00

Saga 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Saga under 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.91

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

1st half: BRAV + total 84.5

BRAV & over

no forecast

@ 3.05

BRAV & under

no forecast

@ 3.00

1st half: Draw + total 84.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 26.00

1st half: SAGA + total 84.5

SAGA & over

no forecast

@ 4.90

SAGA & under

no forecast

@ 4.75

1st half Over/Under 83.5Actual: Over 83.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.79

Under

no forecast

@ 2.03

1st half Spread Brave Thunders -4.5Actual: Brave Thunders -4.5

BRAV -4.5

no forecast

@ 2.12

SAGA +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Brave Thunders -2.5Actual: Brave Thunders -2.5

BRAV -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.81

SAGA +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.12

1st half Over/Under 86.5Actual: Over 86.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.20

Under

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half Spread Brave Thunders -5.5Actual: Brave Thunders -5.5

BRAV -5.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

SAGA +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.67

1st half Spread Brave Thunders -1.5Actual: Brave Thunders -1.5

BRAV -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.67

SAGA +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.32

1st half Over/Under 88.5Actual: Over 88.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.62

Under

no forecast

@ 1.44

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Brave Thunders (regulation)

BRAV

no forecast

@ 1.57

Draw

no forecast

@ 18.00

SAGA

no forecast

@ 2.75

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.75
Last 30 (30)	18.5	22.0	40.4	-3.5	30%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	22.1	40.8	-3.5	20%	47%
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	21.8	40.1	-3.5	40%	53%
Last 10 (10)	16.9	21.3	38.2	-4.4	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	17.0	22.4	39.4	-5.4	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	16.8	21.8	38.7	-5.0	17%	39%
vs Similar (11)	21.0	22.5	43.5	-1.5	45%	73%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.0	100%	0%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.75
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.6	40.9	-0.2	40%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.8	20.5	42.2	+1.2	44%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	20.6	39.4	-1.9	36%	36%
Last 10 (10)	18.9	22.0	40.9	-3.1	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.6	41.6	-1.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.6	33%	56%
vs Similar (3)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.7	33%	33%
vs Weaker (9)	21.0	18.1	39.1	+2.9	56%	33%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.7	33%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.5	20.1	39.6	-0.5	33%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-0.9	33%	47%
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.3	40.4	-0.2	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	22%	33%
vs Similar (11)	20.1	20.4	40.5	-0.3	45%	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	25.0	18.0	43.0	+7.0	100%	100%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42
Last 30 (30)	19.3	22.3	41.6	-3.0	33%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	23.4	42.5	-4.4	25%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	43%	50%
Last 10 (10)	22.5	24.9	47.4	-2.4	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	24.8	24.4	49.2	+0.4	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	19.3	23.6	42.9	-4.3	28%	50%
vs Similar (3)	15.7	19.7	35.3	-4.0	33%	0%
vs Weaker (9)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.1	44%	56%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83
Last 30 (30)	38.4	42.6	81.0	-4.2	20%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	38.2	42.2	80.4	-4.0	20%	20%
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	43.1	81.7	-4.5	20%	47%
Last 10 (10)	37.0	41.6	78.6	-4.6	20%	10%
Last 5 (5)	35.4	42.0	77.4	-6.6	0%	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	36.4	42.8	79.2	-6.4	11%	22%
vs Similar (11)	41.1	42.9	84.0	-1.8	27%	55%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	45.0	36.0	81.0	+9.0	100%	0%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83
Last 30 (30)	39.6	42.9	82.5	-3.3	33%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	43.9	84.8	-3.1	31%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	38.2	41.6	79.9	-3.4	36%	43%
Last 10 (10)	41.4	46.9	88.3	-5.5	20%	70%
Last 5 (5)	44.8	46.0	90.8	-1.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	39.6	45.4	85.0	-5.9	22%	56%
vs Similar (3)	34.3	40.0	74.3	-5.7	67%	0%
vs Weaker (9)	41.4	38.7	80.1	+2.8	44%	44%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

BRAV win + total 168.5

🔒 Pro

SAGA win + total 168.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BRAV leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: SAGA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (BRAV:SAGA): BRAV wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Saga +8	71.5%	1.69	Pinnacle 1.81	Marathon Bet 1.67	Bet365 1.58	-	-	+18.7pp	Lost
Saga +9	74.6%	1.59	Pinnacle 1.68	Marathon Bet 1.58	Bet365 1.52	-	-	+18.1pp	Lost
Saga +8.5	72.4%	1.65	Pinnacle 1.74	Betano 1.70	BetVictor 1.68	Marathon Bet 1.63	Bet365 1.57	+17.7pp	Lost
Saga +10	77.4%	1.58	Pinnacle 1.58	-	-	-	-	+17.6pp	Lost
Saga +9.5	75.3%	1.56	Pinnacle 1.62	BetVictor 1.60	Betano 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.55	Bet365 1.50	+17.0pp	Lost
Saga +13.5	84.9%	1.34	Betano 1.34	-	-	-	-	+16.3pp	Lost
Saga +14.5	86.8%	1.29	Betano 1.29	-	-	-	-	+15.8pp	Lost
Saga +11.5	80.5%	1.40	Betano 1.45	BetVictor 1.42	1xBet 1.32	-	-	+15.6pp	Lost
Saga over 79.5	70.4%	1.63	Betano 1.70	1xBet 1.56	-	-	-	+15.6pp	Lost
Saga +12.5	82.8%	1.35	Betano 1.39	BetVictor 1.38	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+15.4pp	Lost
Saga +10.5	78.0%	1.46	Betano 1.52	BetVictor 1.50	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.39	-	+15.3pp	Lost
Saga over 77.5	76.7%	1.45	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.40	-	-	-	+15.0pp	Lost
Saga over 78.5	73.6%	1.53	Betano 1.57	Bet365 1.54	1xBet 1.47	-	-	+14.7pp	Lost
Saga over 76.5	79.6%	1.39	Betano 1.42	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.34	-	-	+14.1pp	Lost
Saga over 75.5	82.3%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+13.6pp	Lost
Saga over 74.5	84.7%	1.26	Bet365 1.28	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	+13.2pp	Lost
Saga over 71.5	90.6%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Won
Saga over 72.5	88.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+11.1pp	Lost
Saga +15.5	88.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+10.7pp	Lost
Saga over 70.5	92.1%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Saga +20.5	94.4%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Over 162.5	70.8%	1.45	Betano 1.45	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Lost
Over 161.5	72.9%	1.40	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Over 158.5	78.6%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Over 153.5	86.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Over 143.5	95.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 98.5	87.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 93.5	74.4%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 97.5	85.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Over 148.5	92.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 100.5	90.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Brave Thunders over 70.5	94.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 96.5	82.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 92.5	71.2%	1.36	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Brave Thunders under 94.5	77.3%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Brave Thunders over 76.5	84.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Brave Thunders over 72.5	91.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Brave Thunders over 74.5	88.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	Won
Brave Thunders over 77.5	81.5%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Brave Thunders +19.5	96.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Overtime: no	94.6%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Brave Thunders over 78.5	78.8%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Brave Thunders +6.5	75.5%	1.25	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	-	+2.1pp	Won
Brave Thunders +14.5	91.6%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.9pp	Won
Brave Thunders over 80.5	72.7%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Brave Thunders +5.5	72.5%	1.30	Betano 1.30	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Under 193.5	89.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+0.5pp	Won
Saga under 98.5	89.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Under 188.5	84.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Won
Saga under 96.5	86.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-2.2pp	Won
Brave Thunders +9.5	83.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-3.0pp	Won
Under 183.5	76.1%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-3.4pp	Won
Saga under 94.5	81.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	-3.9pp	Won
Saga under 92.5	76.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-5.2pp	Won
Saga under 91.5	73.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-6.3pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Brave Thunderstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brave Thunders: 80.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	43.0	22.2	51.6%	53.6%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	7.6	31.5%	32.9%	22.8
🏀 Free throws	17.4	13.1	75.3%	73.8%	13.1

They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 77.6 points a game scored

🏀🏀49%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game

49%

34%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.4	18.9	51.9%	53.6%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.1	9.6	30.9%	32.9%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	14.9	11.0	73.8%	73.8%	11.0

They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	18.0	49.7%	53.6%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	11.4	37.0%	32.9%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	15.1	11.0	72.8%	73.8%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	23.1	58.2%	53.6%	46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.2	11.7	38.7%	32.9%	35.1
🏀 Free throws	16.8	11.8	70.2%	73.8%	11.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.0	20.7	51.9%	53.6%	41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.2	8.0	30.4%	32.9%	23.9
🏀 Free throws	17.0	12.3	72.2%	73.8%	12.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.9	18.6	51.8%	53.6%	37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.8	10.1	32.8%	32.9%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	15.2	11.3	74.6%	73.8%	11.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	20.0	55.5%	53.6%	39.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.5	9.9	34.8%	32.9%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	19.5	14.4	74.1%	73.8%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.8	20.3	55.2%	53.6%	40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	10.8	37.7%	32.9%	32.5
🏀 Free throws	16.0	11.8	73.6%	73.8%	11.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Brave Thunders

LLLLLWLWLL

Saga

LLLLLLLLWL

#22

League position

#25

-1.0

Net rating

-18.0

93.6

Offensive rating

90.3

94.6

Defensive rating

108.3

50.1%

Effective FG%

49.3%

52.4%

Opp. effective FG%

58.2%

15.7%

Turnover %

11.1%

0.26

Free-throw rate

0.22

31.5%

3-point %

30.9%

70.5%

Assist %

60.4%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Brave Thunders ■ Saga

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brave Thunders wins

Saga wins

Date	Game	Score
27/12/25	Brave Thunders v Saga	84-91
26/12/25	Brave Thunders v Saga	73-82
04/11/24	Saga v Brave Thunders	76-89
03/11/24	Saga v Brave Thunders	89-67
24/03/24	Brave Thunders v Saga	78-87
23/03/24	Brave Thunders v Saga	74-65

Brave Thunderslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	H	Shimane	74-95
09/11/26	H	Altiri Chiba	76-85
06/11/26	A	Shiga	75-81
01/11/26	H	Yokohama	66-77
31/10/26	H	Yokohama	65-75
26/10/26	A	Utsunomiya Brex	92-89
24/10/26	H	Sendai	82-93
21/10/26	H	Osaka	101-67
19/10/26	A	Shimane	69-80
16/10/26	H	Ibaraki Robots	74-82

Sagalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/11/26	H	Chiba	103-111
01/11/26	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	78-84
31/10/26	A	SeaHorses Mikawa	83-100
26/10/26	H	Alvark	88-112
21/10/26	H	Nagasaki	66-84
18/10/26	A	Kyoto	70-115
16/10/26	H	Levanga Hokkaido	90-109
12/10/26	H	Gunma	61-72
10/10/26	A	Kobe	84-77
08/10/26	A	Alvark	74-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brave Thunders

B League 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	25%
Home	LLLLL	10%
Away	WWLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	16	10	6
Win %	25%	10%	50%
Points / game	78.5	76.1	82.5
Allowed / game	84.7	85.1	84.0
Point differential	-6.2	-9.0	-1.5
Avg total	163.2	161.2	166.5
Over 168.75	31%	30%	33%
Win by 10+	6%	10%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Saga

B League 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	7%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LWLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	9	5
Win %	7%	0%	20%
Points / game	78.2	78.4	77.8
Allowed / game	95.2	96.3	93.2
Point differential	-17.0	-17.9	-15.4
Avg total	173.4	174.8	171.0
Over 168.75	50%	56%	40%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Diamond Dolphins	12	11	1	92%	91.2	75.2	+15.9
2	Hiroshima D.	15	13	2	87%	90.4	80.9	+9.5
3	SeaHorses Mikawa	13	10	3	77%	90.4	80.7	+9.7
4	Alvark	17	13	4	76%	92.6	82.3	+10.3
5	Sendai	17	13	4	76%	88.7	80.4	+8.3
6	Gunma	16	12	4	75%	82.8	73.8	+9.1
7	NeoPhoenix	11	8	3	73%	87.5	82.7	+4.8
8	Tokyo Sunrockers	17	11	6	65%	89.9	80.3	+9.6
9	Levanga Hokkaido	15	9	6	60%	96.5	95.7	+0.8
10	Toyama	16	9	7	56%	83.4	87.0	-3.6
11	Kyoto	15	8	7	53%	83.4	79.5	+3.9
12	Ibaraki Robots	17	9	8	53%	84.2	78.7	+5.5
13	Ryukyu	16	8	8	50%	83.4	81.6	+1.8
14	Chiba	17	8	9	47%	92.5	96.0	-3.5
15	Utsunomiya Brex	15	7	8	47%	81.9	83.6	-1.7
16	Yokohama	16	7	9	44%	77.7	82.9	-5.2
17	Shimane	14	6	8	43%	84.1	81.6	+2.5
18	Altiri Chiba	17	7	10	41%	80.5	84.6	-4.1
19	Shiga	15	6	9	40%	85.7	88.9	-3.2
20	Shinshu	17	6	11	35%	83.9	86.8	-2.9
21	Nagasaki	17	6	11	35%	77.1	81.9	-4.8
22	Kobe	15	4	11	27%	80.0	86.5	-6.5
23	Brave Thunders	16	4	12	25%	78.5	84.7	-6.2
24	Akita	16	4	12	25%	82.7	90.4	-7.7
25	Saga	14	1	13	7%	78.2	95.2	-17.0
26	Osaka	16	1	15	6%	70.1	90.9	-20.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brave Thunders	24	26	27	13	90
Saga	26	14	19	13	72

← all games of the day

Brave Thunders vs Saga Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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