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Breogan vs Basket Zaragoza Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 10:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game104.7
Allowed / game98.7
vs
Position#6
Record4-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game87.2
SpainACBRound 28· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Breogan v Basket Zaragoza
11 Apr 2027
BRE v ZAR
upcoming
29 May 2026
BRE94
ZAR95
20 Apr 2025
BRE90
ZAR85
26 Nov 2023
BRE82
ZAR77
19 Mar 2023
BRE71
ZAR87
23 Apr 2022
BRE82
ZAR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
94-95
94
95
-1
87avg 96
H29/05
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
126-80
126
80
+46
128avg 96
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#32
W
105-84
105
84
+21
100avg 96
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
110-113
110
113
-3
106avg 96
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
110-104
110
104
+6
106avg 96
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
101-95
101
95
+6
95avg 96
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
115-92
115
92
+23
114avg 96
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
102-108
102
108
-6
92avg 96
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
90-103
90
103
-13
86avg 96
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
110-90
110
90
+20
no box
A01/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
21-20
23-23
24-28
25-16
32-22
37-18
32-24
25-14
29-19
20-21
31-30
25-26
21-32
29-37
35-18
29-28
27-21
19-22
35-33
24-27
27-13
38-27
12-28
30-22
31-19
23-23
31-28
31-17
22-26
25-33
24-32
24-26
23-33
24-23
19-21
20-22
30-21
32-19
28-28
202.7Avg total
106.3Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)104.798.7203.3+6.067%
Season at home (3)105.099.7204.7+5.367%
Season away (3)104.397.7202.0+6.767%
Last 10 (10)106.396.4202.7+9.960%
Last 5 (5)103.697.6201.2+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)89.1102.6191.7-13.429%
vs Similar ◀ (12)92.591.9184.4+0.650%
vs Weaker (10)104.493.2197.6+11.270%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
83-101
83
101
-18
68avg 80
A16/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
90-100
90
100
-10
79avg 80
H24/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
86-98
86
98
-12
75avg 80
H26/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
W
95-94
95
94
+1
95avg 80
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
81-80
81
80
+1
80avg 80
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
82-97
82
97
-15
72avg 80
H04/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#15
W
92-71
92
71
+21
90avg 80
A10/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#17
W
109-98
109
98
+11
103avg 80
H18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#7
L
81-99
81
99
-18
74avg 80
A24/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
107-78
107
78
+29
no box
H31/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
20-23
17-25
25-30
17-22
26-23
21-27
26-28
23-27
26-23
15-21
22-27
24-26
20-21
23-23
28-24
18-18
26-20
24-27
13-15
22-21
17-15
28-30
15-31
23-17
29-11
15-22
25-21
22-23
38-20
24-31
25-24
21-24
19-24
17-24
24-27
23-21
25-19
30-20
29-18
182.2Avg total
90.6Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.087.2179.2+4.867%
Season at home (3)99.391.0190.3+8.367%
Season away (3)84.783.3168.0+1.367%
Last 10 (10)90.691.6182.2-1.050%
Last 5 (5)94.288.6182.8+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.898.0180.8-15.28%
vs Similar ◀ (12)86.790.2176.8-3.542%
vs Weaker (5)94.078.2172.2+15.880%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.3-1.3
BreoganBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H29/05
ACB
Rilski Sportist
#54
W
57-38
57
38
+19
H14/09
Champions League
Manchester Basketball
#32
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A17/09
Champions League
Dziki Warszawa
#6
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A19/09
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#14
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H27/09
ACB
Manresa
#18
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
61-41
61
41
+20
H10/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A17/10
ACB
Unicaja
#9
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H25/10
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A01/11
ACB
97.0Avg total
52.2Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.145.992.0+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.944.692.6+3.357%-
Last 30 away (16)44.547.091.5-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)52.244.897.0+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)52.445.297.6+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.349.089.3-8.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)44.147.691.7-3.533%-
vs Weaker (10)51.542.594.0+9.080%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/05
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H24/05
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H26/05
ACB
Breogan
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A29/05
ACB
Tenerife
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/09
ACB
Valencia
#2
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H04/10
ACB
Leyma Coruna
#15
W
52-28
52
28
+24
A10/10
ACB
Forca Lleida
#17
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#7
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A24/10
ACB
Basquet Girona
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H31/10
ACB
88.1Avg total
46.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.643.185.7-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.841.185.9+3.664%-
Last 30 away (16)40.744.985.6-4.225%-
Last 10 (10)46.042.188.1+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)47.839.086.8+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.547.187.5-6.615%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.841.585.2+2.258%-
vs Weaker (5)45.436.882.2+8.680%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 103.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.622.4
58.0%
55.6%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.814.2
46.1%
36.2%42.6
🏀 Free throws21.416.2
75.7%
75.7%16.2
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.2
52.5%
55.6%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.2
35.7%
36.2%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.617.3
73.3%
75.7%17.3
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLLWWWLWWL
Basket Zaragoza
WLWWLWWLLL
#5
League position
#6
+7.0
Net rating
-5.3
112.7
Offensive rating
96.6
105.7
Defensive rating
102.0
63.0%
Effective FG%
52.9%
58.5%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
14.6%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.36
46.1%
3-point %
35.7%
58.7%
Assist %
58.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 96.6Defence105.7 · 102.0Shooting63.0% · 52.9%3-point %46.1% · 35.7%Ball care14.6% · 15.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Breogan   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Breogan wins
6
Basket Zaragoza wins
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26AObradoiro CAB110-90
25/10/26HUnicaja90-103
17/10/26AMoraBanc Andorra102-108
10/10/26HBasquet Girona115-92
03/10/26AManresa101-95
27/09/26HJoventut Badalona110-104
19/09/26ADziki Warszawa110-113
17/09/26AManchester Basketball105-84
14/09/26HRilski Sportist126-80
29/05/26HBasket Zaragoza94-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HBasquet Girona107-78
24/10/26ABarcelona81-99
18/10/26HForca Lleida109-98
10/10/26ALeyma Coruna92-71
04/10/26HValencia82-97
27/09/26ATenerife81-80
29/05/26ABreogan95-94
26/05/26HValencia86-98
24/05/26HMurcia90-100
16/05/26AManresa83-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game104.7105.0104.3
Allowed / game98.799.797.7
Point differential+6.0+5.3+6.7
Avg total203.3204.7202.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game92.099.384.7
Allowed / game87.291.083.3
Point differential+4.8+8.3+1.3
Avg total179.2190.3168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid660100%109.087.7+21.3
2 Valencia64267%99.087.2+11.8
3 Baskonia64267%94.582.8+11.7
4 Tenerife64267%87.879.8+8.0
5 Breogan64267%104.798.7+6.0
6 Basket Zaragoza64267%92.087.2+4.8
7 Barcelona64267%97.095.0+2.0
8 Bilbao64267%92.892.7+0.2
9 Unicaja63350%88.384.5+3.8
10 Murcia63350%93.393.8-0.5
11 Obradoiro CAB63350%88.896.0-7.2
12 Basquet Girona63350%90.599.0-8.5
13 San Pablo Burgos62433%88.087.5+0.5
14 Joventut Badalona62433%91.891.5+0.3
15 Leyma Coruna62433%90.099.8-9.8
16 MoraBanc Andorra61517%84.596.5-12.0
17 Forca Lleida61517%92.8106.8-14.0
18 Manresa6060%84.3102.8-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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