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Basket Zaragoza vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 63-61
11-17 20-11 16-12 16-21
Position#12
Record8-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#16
Record6-14
FormWLLWL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game80.7
SpainACBRound 21· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Basket Zaragoza v Breogan
05 Dec 2026
ZAR v BRE
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
ZAR84
BRE88
02 Nov 2024
ZAR111
BRE53
03 Feb 2024
ZAR63
BRE61
04 Jan 2023
ZAR88
BRE90
23 Oct 2021
ZAR79
BRE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
W
88-80
88
80
+8
73avg 75
A17/12
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
70-64
70
64
+6
64avg 75
A22/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
72-76
72
76
-4
63avg 75
H28/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
81-74
81
74
+7
76avg 75
H06/01
ACB
Manisa
#13
W
68-65
68
65
+3
64avg 75
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
84-95
84
95
-11
71avg 75
A13/01
ACB
Valencia
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
72avg 75
H21/01
ACB
Nymburk
#10
L
64-70
64
70
-6
52avg 75
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#13
L
83-86
83
86
-3
77avg 75
A27/01
ACB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
101-90
101
90
+11
95avg 75
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
26-22
20-21
22-19
11-23
16-18
19-8
24-15
18-16
7-15
30-22
17-23
23-13
15-16
22-18
21-27
22-21
14-9
17-22
15-13
17-24
21-26
17-17
29-28
20-13
19-23
20-22
16-27
17-16
16-18
10-19
21-17
19-25
13-20
25-16
26-25
30-19
20-30
22-14
29-27
157.1Avg total
78.6Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.782.8164.5-1.240%
Season at home (10)87.583.4170.9+4.160%
Season away (10)75.882.3158.1-6.520%
Last 10 (10)78.678.5157.1+0.150%
Last 5 (5)81.485.2166.6-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.982.4164.3-0.656%
vs Similar ◀ (16)79.478.6158.1+0.838%
vs Weaker (5)89.078.4167.4+10.6100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Bonn
#9
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
94avg 65
H20/12
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
88-90
88
90
-2
80avg 65
H23/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
60-86
60
86
-26
47avg 65
A30/12
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
L
85-89
85
89
-4
89avg 65
A03/01
Champions League
Granada
#17
W
85-79
85
79
+6
81avg 65
H07/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
W
80-73
80
73
+7
80avg 65
H10/01
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
80-88
80
88
-8
73avg 65
A14/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
L
76-86
76
86
-10
67avg 65
A17/01
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
93-75
93
75
+18
88avg 65
H21/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
68-83
68
83
-15
58avg 65
A27/01
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
15-20
21-17
23-24
22-23
18-23
24-20
24-24
10-22
25-28
9-23
16-13
20-24
19-28
23-21
23-16
25-13
27-27
14-24
19-15
24-23
16-18
21-21
19-11
24-24
23-18
21-17
12-29
17-22
22-21
17-19
20-24
14-18
25-18
28-16
26-23
12-15
16-25
23-22
17-21
165.3Avg total
81.2Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.880.7155.5-5.830%
Season at home (10)79.379.8159.1-0.540%
Season away (10)70.481.5151.9-11.120%
Last 10 (10)81.284.1165.3-2.940%
Last 5 (5)79.481.0160.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.383.4152.8-14.10%
vs Similar ◀ (18)81.380.4161.7+0.956%
vs Weaker (3)64.066.3130.3-2.333%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.1-0.1
Basket ZaragozaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A17/12
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A22/12
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H28/12
ACB
Basquet Girona
#14
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H06/01
ACB
Manisa
#13
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A10/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A13/01
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/01
ACB
Nymburk
#10
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A24/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#13
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A27/01
ACB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#16
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H31/01
FIBA Europe Cup
74.9Avg total
36.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.739.077.7-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.739.279.9+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)36.738.975.5-2.247%-
Last 10 (10)36.438.574.9-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.881.2-4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.640.980.4-1.344%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)36.437.974.2-1.544%-
vs Weaker (5)44.439.483.8+5.080%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H20/12
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H23/12
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A30/12
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A03/01
Champions League
Granada
#17
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H07/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/01
Champions League
Valencia
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A14/01
ACB
Karsiyaka
#27
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/01
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H21/01
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A27/01
ACB
82.4Avg total
39.5Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.739.975.6-4.227%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.638.375.9-0.736%-
Last 30 away (16)34.041.375.3-7.319%-
Last 10 (10)39.542.982.4-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.640.479.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)32.640.473.0-7.911%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.240.878.9-2.633%-
vs Weaker (3)30.033.063.0-3.033%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.3
50.3%
53.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.9
34.8%
34.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.215.1
74.8%
75.6%15.1
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.0
57.2%
53.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.7
32.5%
34.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws22.016.3
74.1%
75.6%16.3
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
WLLLLWWLWW
Breogan
LWLLWWLLLW
#12
League position
#16
-0.4
Net rating
-3.7
104.1
Offensive rating
110.4
104.5
Defensive rating
114.1
51.0%
Effective FG%
53.4%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
18.3%
Turnover %
19.6%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.8%
3-point %
32.5%
51.5%
Assist %
65.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 110.4Defence104.5 · 114.1Shooting51.0% · 53.4%3-point %34.8% · 32.5%Ball care18.3% · 19.6%Off. rebounds27.0% · 32.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Basket Zaragoza wins
2
Breogan wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HGravelines-Dunkerque101-90
27/01/24ABilbao83-86
24/01/24ANymburk64-70
21/01/24HValencia75-85
13/01/24AJoventut Badalona84-95
10/01/24AManisa68-65
06/01/24HBasquet Girona81-74
28/12/23HMoraBanc Andorra72-76
22/12/23ATenerife70-64
17/12/23APalencia88-80
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24AManresa68-83
21/01/24HBasquet Girona93-75
17/01/24AKarsiyaka76-86
14/01/24AValencia80-88
10/01/24HKarsiyaka80-73
07/01/24HGranada85-79
03/01/24AKarsiyaka85-89
30/12/23AGran Canaria60-86
23/12/23HObradoiro CAB88-90
20/12/23HBonn97-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL40%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayLWWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%60%20%
Points / game81.787.575.8
Allowed / game82.883.482.3
Point differential-1.2+4.1-6.5
Avg total164.5170.9158.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL30%
HomeWLLWW40%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game74.879.370.4
Allowed / game80.779.881.5
Point differential-5.8-0.5-11.1
Avg total155.5159.1151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2017385%89.578.5+11.0
2 Unicaja2016480%87.176.3+10.8
3 Barcelona2014670%86.879.9+7.0
4 Gran Canaria2013765%84.781.7+3.0
5 Valencia2012860%80.278.8+1.3
6 Baskonia2012860%86.485.8+0.7
7 Murcia2011955%82.079.9+2.1
8 Tenerife2011955%82.880.7+2.1
9 Manresa2011955%84.383.9+0.5
10 Joventut Badalona2011955%81.786.4-4.8
11 Basket Zaragoza2081240%81.782.8-1.2
12 Bilbao2081240%77.880.5-2.6
13 Basquet Girona2081240%81.885.5-3.7
14 MoraBanc Andorra2071335%83.285.1-1.9
15 Obradoiro CAB2061430%81.184.5-3.4
16 Granada2061430%81.085.9-5.0
17 Breogan2061430%74.880.7-5.8
18 Palencia2031715%77.587.5-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Zaragoza1120161663
Breogan1711122161
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