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Breogan vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 71-87
20-28 19-21 21-24 11-14
Position#10
Record11-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#13
Record7-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game81.2
SpainACBRound 23
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Breogan v Basket Zaragoza
11 Apr 2027
BRE v ZAR
upcoming
29 May 2026
BRE94
ZAR95
20 Apr 2025
BRE90
ZAR85
26 Nov 2023
BRE82
ZAR77
19 Mar 2023
BRE71
ZAR87
23 Apr 2022
BRE82
ZAR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 71
H27/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
no box
A04/01
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
64-59
64
59
+5
57avg 71
H07/01
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
66-100
66
100
-34
51avg 71
A14/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
63avg 71
A22/01
ACB
Granada
#16
W
99-67
99
67
+32
96avg 71
H28/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
W
92-70
92
70
+22
86avg 71
H05/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
54-82
54
82
-28
36avg 71
A12/02
ACB
Real Betis
#17
L
114-115 OT
114
115
-1
no box
H04/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
92avg 71
A12/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-25
19-16
30-23
15-22
25-20
18-23
22-19
14-17
14-9
18-14
17-17
15-19
15-27
12-26
21-21
18-26
11-24
26-22
9-28
27-17
29-12
30-12
24-18
16-25
20-20
13-19
31-20
28-11
12-20
12-15
13-23
17-24
22-22
25-20
22-27
23-23
24-16
14-23
37-18
17-16
165.2Avg total
82.1Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.379.5158.8-0.250%
Season at home (11)80.178.2158.3+1.945%
Season away (11)78.580.8159.3-2.455%
Last 10 (10)82.183.1165.2-1.050%
Last 5 (5)90.281.4171.6+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)66.184.3150.4-18.20%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.480.7168.1+6.679%
vs Weaker (5)84.275.0159.2+9.260%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
63-68
63
68
-5
52avg 66
A28/12
ACB
Breogan
#10
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
no box
H04/01
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
72-65
72
65
+7
67avg 66
A08/01
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
no box
H14/01
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
76-88
76
88
-12
75avg 66
A22/01
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
89-82 OT
89
82
+7
no box
H29/01
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
79-91
79
91
-12
no box
A05/02
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
85-71
85
71
+14
81avg 66
A11/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
85-83
85
83
+2
80avg 66
H04/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
78-79
78
79
-1
62avg 66
H11/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
19-24
10-20
17-10
20-25
23-18
19-22
17-14
15-25
12-15
27-13
18-12
16-24
17-18
17-15
23-16
14-23
17-19
18-32
27-14
24-18
18-12
15-28
19-18
23-16
9-23
22-30
25-22
31-20
21-13
22-22
11-16
19-12
27-12
23-30
16-29
13-16
12-13
16-28
37-22
160.2Avg total
79.8Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.081.2159.2-3.132%
Season at home (11)80.381.9162.2-1.636%
Season away (11)75.880.5156.3-4.627%
Last 10 (10)79.880.4160.2-0.640%
Last 5 (5)83.281.2164.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.385.5163.8-7.238%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.378.4154.6-2.129%
vs Weaker (3)79.070.0149.0+9.067%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -5.1-5.1Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +3.7+3.7
BreoganBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H27/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A04/01
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
32-23
32
23
+9
H07/01
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A14/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A22/01
ACB
Granada
#16
W
59-24
59
24
+35
H28/01
ACB
Basquet Girona
#15
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H05/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A12/02
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H04/03
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/03
ACB
75.7Avg total
37.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.776.6-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.177.0+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)35.840.376.1-4.540%-
Last 10 (10)37.238.575.7-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.876.0+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.342.675.9-9.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.937.878.6+3.164%-
vs Weaker (5)39.235.074.2+4.240%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A28/12
ACB
Breogan
#10
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H04/01
ACB
Manresa
#14
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A08/01
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H14/01
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A22/01
ACB
Real Betis
#17
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H29/01
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A05/02
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A11/02
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H04/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H11/03
ACB
72.7Avg total
36.7Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.338.073.3-2.627%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.136.772.8-0.533%-
Last 30 away (15)34.539.373.8-4.720%-
Last 10 (10)36.736.072.7+0.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.431.070.4+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.039.475.4-3.423%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.137.471.5-3.429%-
vs Weaker (3)38.334.372.7+4.033%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.5
50.7%
52.1%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.1
34.9%
34.5%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.910.5
66.0%
73.9%10.5
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.220.9
50.7%
52.1%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.36.7
33.0%
34.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws19.012.5
65.8%
73.9%12.5
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLLWWLLWWL
Basket Zaragoza
LWWLWLLWLL
#10
League position
#13
-0.8
Net rating
-4.5
105.7
Offensive rating
98.1
106.5
Defensive rating
102.5
51.3%
Effective FG%
50.3%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
14.0%
Turnover %
22.1%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.9%
3-point %
33.0%
56.4%
Assist %
55.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 98.1Defence106.5 · 102.5Shooting51.3% · 50.3%3-point %34.9% · 33.0%Ball care14.0% · 22.1%Off. rebounds27.0% · 31.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Breogan   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Breogan wins
2
Basket Zaragoza wins
DateGameScore
04/01/23Basket Zaragoza v Breogan88-90 OT
23/04/22Breogan v Basket Zaragoza82-85
23/10/21Basket Zaragoza v Breogan79-75
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/23AFuenlabrada92-73
04/03/23HReal Betis114-115 OT
12/02/23ABarcelona54-82
05/02/23HBasquet Girona92-70
28/01/23HGranada99-67
22/01/23AReal Madrid73-91
14/01/23AUnicaja66-100
07/01/23HObradoiro CAB64-59
04/01/23ABasket Zaragoza90-88 OT
27/12/22HBaskonia77-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/23HObradoiro CAB78-79
04/03/23HBarcelona85-83
11/02/23AFuenlabrada85-71
05/02/23ABaskonia79-91
29/01/23HReal Betis89-82 OT
22/01/23AValencia76-88
14/01/23HTenerife83-87 OT
08/01/23AManresa72-65
04/01/23HBreogan88-90 OT
28/12/22ABarcelona63-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeLWWWL45%
AwayWLLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%45%55%
Points / game79.380.178.5
Allowed / game79.578.280.8
Point differential-0.2+1.9-2.4
Avg total158.8158.3159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %9%9%9%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL32%
HomeLLWWL36%
AwayLWLLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%36%27%
Points / game78.080.375.8
Allowed / game81.281.980.5
Point differential-3.1-1.6-4.6
Avg total159.2162.2156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%9%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)33% (6)0% (3)
Overtime %18%27%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2219386%87.775.2+12.5
2 Barcelona2218482%84.272.9+11.3
3 Baskonia2218482%90.781.7+9.0
4 Tenerife2216673%82.272.1+10.1
5 Joventut Badalona2315865%82.177.4+4.7
6 Unicaja2214864%86.577.6+8.8
7 Gran Canaria2314961%83.978.7+5.2
8 Valencia22121055%84.883.6+1.1
9 Breogan22111150%79.379.5-0.2
10 Obradoiro CAB23111248%78.381.6-3.3
11 Bilbao2291341%76.279.9-3.7
12 Murcia2391439%79.684.7-5.1
13 Basquet Girona2281436%76.080.4-4.3
14 Basket Zaragoza2271532%78.081.2-3.1
15 Granada2271532%77.587.6-10.2
16 Manresa2251723%82.090.9-9.0
17 Real Betis2351822%77.385.7-8.5
18 Fuenlabrada2332013%77.191.5-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2019211171
Basket Zaragoza2821241487
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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