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Breogan vs Basket Zaragoza Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 82-77
16-23 18-17 18-17 30-20
Position#16
Record2-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game79.3
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#12
Record3-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game84.0
SpainACBRound 11· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Breogan v Basket Zaragoza
11 Apr 2027
BRE v ZAR
upcoming
29 May 2026
BRE94
ZAR95
20 Apr 2025
BRE90
ZAR85
26 Nov 2023
BRE82
ZAR77
19 Mar 2023
BRE71
ZAR87
23 Apr 2022
BRE82
ZAR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
44avg 62
H15/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
W
68-48
68
48
+20
64avg 62
H18/10
Champions League
Palencia
#18
L
59-74
59
74
-15
39avg 62
A21/10
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
70-87
70
87
-17
64avg 62
A28/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
50avg 62
H05/11
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
64avg 62
A08/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
76avg 62
H11/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 62
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 62
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
71avg 62
H22/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
6-13
20-16
18-21
23-17
12-5
10-15
23-11
17-12
8-24
20-24
14-14
22-15
11-29
18-17
19-26
19-21
12-18
20-19
12-21
9-19
16-28
22-16
24-23
15-19
28-13
13-23
29-22
14-22
19-21
26-24
20-17
24-30
28-15
15-19
16-23
22-17
19-16
19-22
22-17
147.4Avg total
71.9Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.379.3152.6-6.020%
Season at home (5)74.278.8153.0-4.620%
Season away (5)72.479.8152.2-7.420%
Last 10 (10)71.975.5147.4-3.630%
Last 5 (5)80.081.2161.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.882.6153.4-11.88%
vs Similar ◀ (15)79.580.3159.7-0.840%
vs Weaker (3)73.065.0138.0+8.067%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
80-85
80
85
-5
67avg 74
H15/10
ACB
Brindisi
#37
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
77avg 74
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
70-78
70
78
-8
58avg 74
A22/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
113-83
113
83
+30
117avg 74
H28/10
ACB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
W
78-72
78
72
+6
82avg 74
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#13
W
77-63
77
63
+14
73avg 74
H04/11
ACB
Brindisi
#37
W
91-72
91
72
+19
93avg 74
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#4
L
69-76
69
76
-7
59avg 74
A12/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
94-101
94
101
-7
90avg 74
H18/11
ACB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 74
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
11-21
24-20
22-20
30-27
17-12
14-15
20-27
21-26
11-14
16-19
22-19
26-14
29-18
36-29
22-22
14-24
18-15
20-21
26-12
10-17
15-20
23-16
29-10
25-18
19-12
27-27
20-15
23-22
20-15
15-25
11-14
23-27
19-20
31-28
21-26
18-18
30-16
15-18
8-26
162.9Avg total
83.4Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.084.0166.0-2.030%
Season at home (5)92.884.8177.6+8.060%
Season away (5)71.283.2154.4-12.00%
Last 10 (10)83.479.5162.9+3.950%
Last 5 (5)80.478.0158.4+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.686.2166.8-5.640%
vs Similar ◀ (15)81.179.2160.3+1.940%
vs Weaker (5)85.076.6161.6+8.480%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
BreoganBasket Zaragoza
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
L
21-24
21
24
-3
H15/10
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H18/10
Champions League
Palencia
#18
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A21/10
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A28/10
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H05/11
ACB
Bonn
#9
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A08/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H11/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
Champions League
70.4Avg total
33.9Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.938.973.8-4.127%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.338.174.4-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)33.539.773.2-6.313%-
Last 10 (10)33.936.570.4-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.078.8-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.839.070.8-7.28%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.740.277.9-2.540%-
vs Weaker (3)32.732.365.0+0.333%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H15/10
ACB
Brindisi
#37
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#17
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H28/10
ACB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bilbao
#13
L
25-37
25
37
-12
H04/11
ACB
Brindisi
#37
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Valencia
#4
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A12/11
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H18/11
ACB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#20
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H21/11
FIBA Europe Cup
78.2Avg total
40.2Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.637.676.1+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.236.276.4+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)36.739.175.8-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.078.2+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.077.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.338.979.2+1.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)35.936.472.3-0.547%-
vs Weaker (5)43.038.481.4+4.680%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.216.1
44.5%
53.0%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.6
31.5%
34.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws21.215.9
75.0%
75.6%15.9
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.123.4
55.6%
53.0%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.87.2
34.6%
34.9%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.814.9
68.3%
75.6%14.9
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLLWLLLLWL
Basket Zaragoza
LLLWWWWLWL
#16
League position
#12
-5.2
Net rating
+5.9
97.6
Offensive rating
107.3
102.9
Defensive rating
101.4
45.6%
Effective FG%
54.4%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
19.9%
Turnover %
19.5%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.5%
3-point %
34.6%
61.2%
Assist %
59.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence97.6 · 107.3Defence102.9 · 101.4Shooting45.6% · 54.4%3-point %31.5% · 34.6%Ball care19.9% · 19.5%Off. rebounds31.1% · 29.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Breogan   ■ Basket Zaragoza
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Breogan wins
3
Basket Zaragoza wins
DateGameScore
19/03/23Breogan v Basket Zaragoza71-87
04/01/23Basket Zaragoza v Breogan88-90 OT
23/04/22Breogan v Basket Zaragoza82-85
23/10/21Basket Zaragoza v Breogan79-75
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HHapoel Holon82-72
18/11/23ABasquet Girona83-87
15/11/23AHapoel Holon79-84
11/11/23HJoventut Badalona85-77
08/11/23ABonn71-86
05/11/23HBarcelona63-79
28/10/23AUnicaja70-87
21/10/23APalencia59-74
18/10/23HBursaspor68-48
15/10/23HValencia59-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/23HBC Kalev/Cramo71-78
18/11/23HGran Canaria94-101
12/11/23AValencia69-76
08/11/23HBrindisi91-72
04/11/23HBilbao77-63
01/11/23ABC Kalev/Cramo78-72
28/10/23HJoventut Badalona113-83
22/10/23AGranada70-78
18/10/23ABrindisi91-87 OT
15/10/23HBaskonia80-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeLLLLW20%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%20%20%
Points / game73.374.272.4
Allowed / game79.378.879.8
Point differential-6.0-4.6-7.4
Avg total152.6153.0152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %20%20%20%
Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL30%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%60%0%
Points / game82.092.871.2
Allowed / game84.084.883.2
Point differential-2.0+8.0-12.0
Avg total166.0177.6154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid109190%91.680.6+11.0
2 Unicaja118373%87.578.7+8.8
3 Murcia118373%86.678.6+8.0
4 Valencia118373%80.876.8+4.0
5 Barcelona107370%83.778.9+4.8
6 Manresa106460%85.183.9+1.2
7 Basquet Girona106460%82.581.4+1.1
8 Gran Canaria106460%81.984.1-2.2
9 Tenerife105550%81.281.2+0.0
10 Baskonia105550%83.784.8-1.1
11 Joventut Badalona115645%81.689.4-7.7
12 MoraBanc Andorra104640%80.882.2-1.4
13 Obradoiro CAB114736%80.882.6-1.8
14 Bilbao114736%78.181.8-3.7
15 Basket Zaragoza103730%82.084.0-2.0
16 Granada113827%85.888.5-2.6
17 Breogan102820%73.379.3-6.0
18 Palencia111109%73.983.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1618183082
Basket Zaragoza2317172077
← all games of the day
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