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Breogan vs Fuenlabrada Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 27 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 97-89
20-20 22-21 24-28 31-20
Position#10
Record7-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game77.2
Breogan 🏆
Spain
vs
Fuenlabrada
Spain
Position#14
Record5-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game88.1
SpainACBRound 15
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Breogan v Fuenlabrada
02 Oct 2022
BRE78
FUE70
27 Dec 2021
BRE97
FUE89
24 Mar 2019
BRE92
FUE96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fuenlabrada winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#13
W
97-65
97
65
+32
100avg 76
H03/10
ACB
Unicaja
#12
L
64-72
64
72
-8
56avg 76
A09/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
62avg 76
H17/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
75-79
75
79
-4
62avg 76
A23/10
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
94-89
94
89
+5
88avg 76
H31/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
71avg 76
H06/11
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
75-86
75
86
-11
66avg 76
A14/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
83-74
83
74
+9
74avg 76
H12/12
ACB
Bilbao
#11
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
A16/12
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
98-97
98
97
+1
93avg 76
A19/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
24-21
35-16
24-13
20-13
17-17
12-21
15-21
20-12
13-28
18-23
20-16
14-14
7-20
25-25
29-20
23-17
20-20
27-28
24-24
16-11
16-23
22-20
22-12
15-24
16-22
17-18
27-22
19-14
19-20
23-19
22-21
22-17
10-17
20-25
23-24
29-19
21-17
25-14
23-47
159.8Avg total
80.8Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.277.2158.4+4.154%
Season at home (6)85.574.3159.8+11.283%
Season away (7)77.679.6157.1-2.029%
Last 10 (10)80.879.0159.8+1.850%
Last 5 (5)81.481.2162.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.078.5148.5-8.50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)78.479.1157.5-0.653%
vs Weaker (9)85.672.1157.7+13.478%
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFuenlabrada
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#18
L
91-96
91
96
-5
90avg 74
H09/10
ACB
Bilbao
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
81avg 74
A17/10
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
90-82
90
82
+8
86avg 74
H24/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
69-79
69
79
-10
57avg 74
A31/10
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
76-99
76
99
-23
61avg 74
A06/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
85-88
85
88
-3
82avg 74
H14/11
ACB
Unicaja
#12
L
86-90
86
90
-4
81avg 74
A20/11
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
88-87
88
87
+1
85avg 74
H04/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
85-74
85
74
+11
80avg 74
A12/12
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
104-96 OT
104
96
+8
no box
H18/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
14-25
20-24
34-30
23-23
14-15
24-17
19-30
27-19
20-26
25-20
18-17
19-21
15-13
16-23
19-22
29-29
5-25
18-21
24-24
20-34
29-13
20-17
16-24
20-14
19-19
22-32
25-25
22-19
26-22
21-22
19-24
25-14
24-16
25-18
11-26
26-18
26-27
16-17
23-29
173.0Avg total
85.4Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)85.688.1173.8-2.536%
Season at home (7)90.988.4179.3+2.457%
Season away (7)80.487.9168.3-7.414%
Last 10 (10)85.487.6173.0-2.240%
Last 5 (5)89.687.0176.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)83.887.0170.8-3.238%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.385.3165.6-5.127%
vs Weaker (2)89.575.5165.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -4.3-4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -4.3-4.3
BreoganFuenlabrada
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H03/10
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A09/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H17/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A23/10
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H31/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/11
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A14/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H12/12
ACB
Bilbao
#11
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A16/12
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A19/12
ACB
71.6Avg total
35.5Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.075.2-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.238.378.5+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)34.237.771.9-3.527%-
Last 10 (10)35.536.171.6-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.873.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.541.075.5-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)38.238.476.5-0.242%-
vs Weaker (9)35.836.472.2-0.756%-
This opponent (Fuenlabrada) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FuenlabradaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#18
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H09/10
ACB
Bilbao
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A17/10
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H24/10
ACB
Barcelona
#2
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A31/10
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A06/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H14/11
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A20/11
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H04/12
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
49-30
49
30
+19
A12/12
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H18/12
ACB
83.5Avg total
42.6Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.379.6-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.139.379.4+0.856%-
Last 30 away (14)38.541.479.9-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)42.640.983.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)47.439.286.6+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)41.242.183.3-0.854%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.138.875.9-1.733%-
vs Weaker (2)44.040.084.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.620.5
51.8%
52.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.6
35.0%
35.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.313.2
72.1%
75.5%13.2
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fuenlabradatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fuenlabrada: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.120.0
49.9%
52.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.010.7
39.6%
35.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws13.210.0
75.8%
75.5%10.0
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLWLWWLLLW
Fuenlabrada
WWWLLLLWLL
#10
League position
#14
+2.4
Net rating
-5.8
107.1
Offensive rating
108.4
104.7
Defensive rating
114.2
52.0%
Effective FG%
53.7%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
17.7%
Turnover %
19.2%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.20
35.0%
3-point %
39.6%
56.4%
Assist %
63.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 108.4Defence104.7 · 114.2Shooting52.0% · 53.7%3-point %35.0% · 39.6%Ball care17.7% · 19.2%Off. rebounds30.5% · 33.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Breogan   ■ Fuenlabrada
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Breogan wins
1
Fuenlabrada wins
DateGameScore
24/03/19Breogan v Fuenlabrada92-96
30/12/18Fuenlabrada v Breogan95-98 OT
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/21AValencia98-97
16/12/21ABilbao75-83
12/12/21HMoraBanc Andorra83-74
14/11/21AManresa75-86
06/11/21HGran Canaria76-66
31/10/21HMurcia94-89
23/10/21ABasket Zaragoza75-79
17/10/21HReal Madrid71-79
09/10/21AUnicaja64-72
03/10/21HReal Betis97-65
Fuenlabradalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/21HTenerife104-96 OT
12/12/21ABasket Zaragoza85-74
04/12/21HValencia88-87
20/11/21AUnicaja86-90
14/11/21HReal Madrid85-88
06/11/21AMurcia76-99
31/10/21ABarcelona69-79
24/10/21HManresa90-82
17/10/21ABilbao80-85
09/10/21HSan Pablo Burgos91-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW54%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%83%29%
Points / game81.285.577.6
Allowed / game77.274.379.6
Point differential+4.1+11.2-2.0
Avg total158.4159.8157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fuenlabrada
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW36%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayLLLLW14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%57%14%
Points / game85.690.980.4
Allowed / game88.188.487.9
Point differential-2.5+2.4-7.4
Avg total173.8179.3168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %14%29%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1413193%81.768.6+13.1
2 Barcelona1311285%79.370.5+8.8
3 Joventut Badalona139469%81.274.9+6.2
4 Manresa138562%82.782.1+0.6
5 Murcia148657%86.480.8+5.6
6 Valencia148657%82.679.2+3.4
7 Baskonia148657%80.478.5+1.9
8 Tenerife148657%82.181.0+1.1
9 Breogan137654%81.277.2+4.1
10 Gran Canaria147750%79.981.4-1.4
11 Unicaja146843%80.179.7+0.4
12 Fuenlabrada145936%85.688.1-2.5
13 MoraBanc Andorra145936%79.182.4-3.2
14 Basket Zaragoza145936%77.081.1-4.1
15 Obradoiro CAB145936%79.686.3-6.7
16 Bilbao145936%80.687.5-6.9
17 San Pablo Burgos1441029%77.482.6-5.2
18 Real Betis1421214%72.786.6-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2022243197
Fuenlabrada2021282089
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