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Breogan vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 71-79
20-12 13-28 18-23 20-16
Position#10
Record3-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game70.0
vs
Position#1
Record5-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game69.0
SpainACBRound 6
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Breogan v Real Madrid
12 Dec 2026
BRE v MAD
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
BRE85
MAD103
11 May 2025
BRE69
MAD79
11 Feb 2024
BRE73
MAD80
08 Apr 2023
BRE96
MAD72
17 Oct 2021
BRE71
MAD79
16 Dec 2018
BRE84
MAD71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Alicante
#6
L
66-77
66
77
-11
no box
A05/06
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
W
87-77
87
77
+10
no box
H09/06
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
L
53-67
53
67
-14
no box
A12/06
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
H17/06
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
W
83-57
83
57
+26
no box
A20/06
Primera FEB
Tenerife
#5
W
92-73
92
73
+19
85avg 80
H18/09
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
87-62
87
62
+25
83avg 80
A23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
69-78
69
78
-9
74avg 80
A25/09
ACB
Real Betis
#13
W
97-65
97
65
+32
100avg 80
H03/10
ACB
Unicaja
#12
L
64-72
64
72
-8
56avg 80
A09/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
23-17
12-31
18-10
28-18
18-23
16-20
25-16
15-11
14-29
14-13
10-14
24-19
15-22
22-17
20-20
29-12
20-17
19-13
15-15
25-19
23-22
20-14
24-18
19-14
18-19
18-13
32-16
15-23
21-19
19-18
14-18
14-15
24-21
35-16
24-13
20-13
17-17
12-21
15-21
148.5Avg total
77.9Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.870.0151.8+11.860%
Season at home (2)94.569.0163.5+25.5100%
Season away (3)73.370.7144.0+2.733%
Last 10 (10)77.970.6148.5+7.360%
Last 5 (5)81.870.0151.8+11.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)69.078.0147.0-9.00%
vs Similar (15)76.177.1153.3-1.047%
vs Weaker (14)84.172.6156.8+11.586%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
W
88-83
88
83
+5
no box
A12/09
Supercopa ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
70-63
70
63
+7
59avg 77
H19/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
86-58
86
58
+28
79avg 77
A24/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
78-68
78
68
+10
64avg 77
H26/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
82-69
82
69
+13
82avg 77
H30/09
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
86-77
86
77
+9
82avg 77
H03/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#5
L
68-74
68
74
-6
64avg 77
A08/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
88avg 77
A10/10
ACB
Monaco
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
96avg 77
H13/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
88-65
88
65
+23
88avg 77
H15/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
18-23
22-25
26-12
21-18
15-16
19-18
15-11
21-14
17-16
26-14
22-14
20-13
16-17
15-21
27-17
32-15
18-20
18-13
14-21
25-18
15-17
18-19
28-23
10-13
26-22
16-19
16-20
20-23
22-16
22-21
29-19
30-12
21-27
21-26
22-21
30-18
12-12
20-20
26-15
155.5Avg total
83.3Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.669.0151.6+13.6100%
Season at home (3)78.069.3147.3+8.7100%
Season away (2)89.568.5158.0+21.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.372.2155.5+11.190%
Last 5 (5)85.876.2162.0+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.986.0160.9-11.129%
vs Similar (5)83.277.6160.8+5.680%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)84.575.4159.9+9.288%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +5.2+5.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +6.4+6.4Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +5.2+5.2
BreoganReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alicante
#6
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A05/06
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H09/06
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A12/06
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H17/06
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A20/06
Primera FEB
Tenerife
#5
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H18/09
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A25/09
ACB
Real Betis
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H03/10
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A09/10
ACB
76.4Avg total
39.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.476.7+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.737.078.7+4.767%-
Last 30 away (15)36.737.974.6-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.536.976.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.475.6+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)36.042.078.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (15)38.238.076.2+0.240%-
vs Weaker (14)40.636.577.1+4.171%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A12/09
Supercopa ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H19/09
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A24/09
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H26/09
ACB
Anadolu Efes
#7
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H30/09
Euroleague
Tenerife
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H03/10
ACB
Olympiacos
#5
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A08/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A10/10
ACB
Monaco
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H13/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H15/10
Euroleague
76.4Avg total
41.1Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.277.9+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.736.276.9+4.469%-
Last 30 away (14)38.640.479.1-1.857%-
Last 10 (10)41.135.376.4+5.890%-
Last 5 (5)42.235.677.8+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.741.476.1-6.729%-
vs Similar (5)43.038.681.6+4.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.436.878.2+4.582%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.1
53.4%
52.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.9
37.9%
35.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws13.910.4
74.8%
75.5%10.4
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.1
55.2%
52.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.9
32.6%
35.3%23.7
🏀 Free throws19.615.1
77.0%
75.5%15.1
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LWLWWWWLWL
Real Madrid
WWWLWWWWWW
#10
League position
#1
+3.4
Net rating
+12.1
114.4
Offensive rating
112.2
111.1
Defensive rating
100.1
54.6%
Effective FG%
52.8%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.9%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.9%
3-point %
32.6%
49.7%
Assist %
60.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 112.2Defence111.1 · 100.1Shooting54.6% · 52.8%3-point %37.9% · 32.6%Ball care14.9% · 16.9%Off. rebounds30.1% · 31.4%Free throws0.21 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Breogan   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Breogan wins
1
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
27/04/19Real Madrid v Breogan94-89
16/12/18Breogan v Real Madrid84-71
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/21AUnicaja64-72
03/10/21HReal Betis97-65
25/09/21ABarcelona69-78
23/09/21ASan Pablo Burgos87-62
18/09/21HTenerife92-73
20/06/21AGranada83-57
17/06/21HGranada81-78
12/06/21AGranada53-67
09/06/21HAlicante87-77
05/06/21AAlicante66-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/21HPanathinaikos88-65
13/10/21HMonaco94-86
10/10/21AValencia93-79
08/10/21AOlympiacos68-74
03/10/21HTenerife86-77
30/09/21HAnadolu Efes82-69
26/09/21HObradoiro CAB78-68
24/09/21AMoraBanc Andorra86-58
19/09/21HSan Pablo Burgos70-63
12/09/21ABarcelona88-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game81.894.573.3
Allowed / game70.069.070.7
Point differential+11.8+25.5+2.7
Avg total151.8163.5144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.678.089.5
Allowed / game69.069.368.5
Point differential+13.6+8.7+21.0
Avg total151.6147.3158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid550100%82.669.0+13.6
2 Barcelona660100%80.567.2+13.3
3 Murcia64267%88.779.7+9.0
4 Gran Canaria64267%80.879.3+1.5
5 Breogan53260%81.870.0+11.8
6 Baskonia53260%77.273.8+3.4
7 Tenerife53260%83.280.8+2.4
8 Joventut Badalona63350%82.876.2+6.7
9 Unicaja63350%80.379.0+1.3
10 Valencia63350%77.776.7+1.0
11 San Pablo Burgos63350%73.773.5+0.2
12 Manresa63350%81.082.8-1.8
13 Basket Zaragoza62433%75.080.7-5.7
14 MoraBanc Andorra62433%78.384.0-5.7
15 Obradoiro CAB62433%78.889.3-10.5
16 Fuenlabrada61517%86.089.8-3.8
17 Bilbao61517%79.088.3-9.3
18 Real Betis61517%71.393.5-22.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan2013182071
Real Madrid1228231679
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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