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Bilbao vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-75
17-22 17-10 25-20 24-23
Position#11
Record3-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game89.2
Bilbao 🏆
Spain
vs
Position#10
Record6-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game74.8
SpainACBRound 12
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Bilbao v Breogan
21 Mar 2027
BIL v BRE
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
BIL100
BRE90
29 Sep 2024
BIL90
BRE72
09 Dec 2023
BIL68
BRE76
10 May 2023
BIL83
BRE66
16 Dec 2021
BIL83
BRE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A25/09
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H03/10
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A10/10
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
H17/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H24/10
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
61-95
61
95
-34
A07/11
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H14/11
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
84-100
84
100
-16
A20/11
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
86-101
86
101
-15
A11/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
19-24
23-28
13-21
16-18
17-23
12-23
23-20
14-26
21-13
25-20
27-33
23-23
15-14
17-24
30-19
21-24
27-21
19-20
20-16
21-20
19-25
20-22
19-20
15-30
14-24
20-23
12-18
12-16
28-24
20-17
20-19
36-30
21-11
16-31
11-28
18-22
19-28
26-21
23-30
168.1Avg total
79.6Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.289.2168.4-9.925%
Season at home (5)79.284.2163.4-5.060%
Season away (7)79.392.7172.0-13.40%
Last 10 (10)79.688.5168.1-8.930%
Last 5 (5)78.091.8169.8-13.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)78.488.2166.6-9.816%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.987.8170.7-4.950%
vs Weaker (1)97.074.0171.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
87-62
87
62
+25
A23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A25/09
ACB
Real Betis
#13
W
97-65
97
65
+32
H03/10
ACB
Unicaja
#12
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A09/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H17/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A23/10
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
94-89
94
89
+5
H31/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H06/11
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A14/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H12/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
18-19
18-13
32-16
15-23
21-19
19-18
14-18
14-15
24-21
35-16
24-13
20-13
17-17
12-21
15-21
20-12
13-28
18-23
20-16
14-14
7-20
25-25
29-20
23-17
20-20
27-28
24-24
16-11
16-23
22-20
22-12
15-24
16-22
17-18
27-22
19-14
19-20
23-19
22-21
154.1Avg total
79.1Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.374.8155.1+5.555%
Season at home (6)85.574.3159.8+11.283%
Season away (5)74.075.4149.4-1.420%
Last 10 (10)79.175.0154.1+4.150%
Last 5 (5)80.678.8159.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)70.078.5148.5-8.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)77.977.8155.7+0.156%
vs Weaker (10)84.672.3156.9+12.380%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +4.6+4.6
BilbaoBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tenerife
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A25/09
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H03/10
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/10
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H17/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H24/10
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A31/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
29-54
29
54
-25
A07/11
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H14/11
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A20/11
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A11/12
ACB
83.2Avg total
40.0Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.542.280.7-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.543.381.8-4.836%-
Last 30 away (16)38.541.379.8-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)40.043.283.2-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.646.086.6-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)37.641.478.9-3.837%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.944.584.4-4.630%-
vs Weaker (1)42.036.078.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A23/09
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A25/09
ACB
Real Betis
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H03/10
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A09/10
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H17/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
21-34
21
34
-13
A23/10
ACB
Murcia
#9
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H31/10
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/11
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A14/11
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#17
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H12/12
ACB
71.2Avg total
34.6Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.337.875.1-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.237.677.9+2.662%-
Last 30 away (14)33.938.171.9-4.229%-
Last 10 (10)34.636.671.2-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)33.037.070.0-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.541.075.5-6.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.038.276.2-0.244%-
vs Weaker (10)36.536.673.1-0.160%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.9
49.6%
52.0%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.7
37.5%
35.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.912.7
70.9%
75.5%12.7
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.820.2
50.8%
52.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.9
37.1%
35.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.511.2
67.9%
75.5%11.2
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LLWLLWWLLL
Breogan
WLWWLLLWLW
#11
League position
#10
-12.2
Net rating
+5.7
105.3
Offensive rating
108.4
117.5
Defensive rating
102.8
52.1%
Effective FG%
52.6%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
18.9%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.5%
3-point %
37.1%
44.8%
Assist %
56.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 108.4Defence117.5 · 102.8Shooting52.1% · 52.6%3-point %37.5% · 37.1%Ball care18.9% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.7% · 31.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Bilbao   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bilbao wins
0
Breogan wins
No previous meetings.
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/21ABaskonia86-101
20/11/21AValencia84-100
14/11/21HObradoiro CAB80-76
07/11/21AReal Madrid61-95
31/10/21AManresa79-87
24/10/21HSan Pablo Burgos87-81
17/10/21HFuenlabrada85-80
10/10/21AMurcia87-92
03/10/21HBarcelona68-84
25/09/21ATenerife79-89
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/21HMoraBanc Andorra83-74
14/11/21AManresa75-86
06/11/21HGran Canaria76-66
31/10/21HMurcia94-89
23/10/21ABasket Zaragoza75-79
17/10/21HReal Madrid71-79
09/10/21AUnicaja64-72
03/10/21HReal Betis97-65
25/09/21ABarcelona69-78
23/09/21ASan Pablo Burgos87-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL25%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %25%60%0%
Points / game79.279.279.3
Allowed / game89.284.292.7
Point differential-9.9-5.0-13.4
Avg total168.4163.4172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW55%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%83%20%
Points / game80.385.574.0
Allowed / game74.874.375.4
Point differential+5.5+11.2-1.4
Avg total155.1159.8149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid1312192%81.868.4+13.5
2 Barcelona1311285%79.370.5+8.8
3 Joventut Badalona128467%81.675.2+6.4
4 Murcia138562%87.680.8+6.8
5 Tenerife138562%81.179.2+1.8
6 Manresa138562%82.782.1+0.6
7 Valencia127558%80.778.3+2.3
8 Breogan116555%80.374.8+5.5
9 Baskonia137654%79.978.2+1.8
10 Gran Canaria137654%79.980.3-0.4
11 Unicaja136746%80.880.0+0.8
12 MoraBanc Andorra135838%78.881.6-2.8
13 Obradoiro CAB124833%78.585.2-6.8
14 Fuenlabrada134931%84.287.5-3.3
15 Basket Zaragoza134931%75.880.9-5.1
16 San Pablo Burgos134931%76.281.2-5.1
17 Bilbao123925%79.289.2-9.9
18 Real Betis1321115%71.986.6-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao1717252483
Breogan2210202375
← all games of the day
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