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Brescia vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 97-81
26-18 33-21 18-17 20-25
Position#3
Record2-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game77.4
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game86.4
ItalyLega ARound 6
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Brescia v Fortitudo Bologna
31 Oct 2021
BRE97
FBO81
05 Dec 2020
BRE99
FBO85
08 Mar 2020
BRE v FBO
upcoming
24 Jun 2016
BRE83
FBO59
14 Jun 2016
BRE76
FBO58
12 Jun 2016
BRE71
FBO63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
85avg 73
H10/05
Lega A
Treviso
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#5
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#11
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
H11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#11
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#12
L
72-75
72
75
-3
59avg 73
A26/09
Lega A
Tortona
#5
L
77-79
77
79
-2
64avg 73
H03/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
72-80
72
80
-8
no box
A10/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
98-88
98
88
+10
93avg 73
H17/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
76-65
76
65
+11
68avg 73
A24/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-16
16-31
22-29
22-8
20-19
14-16
23-18
21-31
18-22
23-15
18-26
27-27
25-18
27-13
14-34
11-22
25-20
20-22
17-16
19-16
12-27
25-11
21-21
14-16
22-20
18-17
18-26
19-16
16-16
15-31
24-12
17-21
26-21
15-18
29-20
28-29
18-17
22-15
22-14
14-19
160.9Avg total
80.3Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.077.4156.4+1.640%
Season at home (2)87.583.5171.0+4.050%
Season away (3)73.373.3146.7+0.033%
Last 10 (10)80.380.6160.9-0.340%
Last 5 (5)79.077.4156.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.987.6169.4-5.722%
vs Similar (17)83.384.5167.8-1.247%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)79.880.5160.2-0.825%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
L
82-88
82
88
-6
71avg 70
A10/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#7
L
67-80
67
80
-13
no box
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#2
L
67-95
67
95
-28
no box
H09/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
no box
A11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#8
L
80-81
80
81
-1
76avg 70
H26/09
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
78-94
78
94
-16
72avg 70
A03/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
87-66
87
66
+21
81avg 70
H10/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
93-105
93
105
-12
82avg 70
A15/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 70
H23/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-17
17-19
15-26
21-26
13-21
14-23
23-15
20-24
21-18
9-24
14-28
23-10
14-20
17-23
15-32
21-20
20-15
14-20
15-28
17-15
23-28
12-18
26-18
19-17
11-24
23-16
24-27
20-27
20-15
17-15
21-16
29-20
24-28
23-27
25-24
21-26
16-17
19-22
15-17
25-30
162.1Avg total
76.5Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.686.4169.0-3.820%
Season at home (3)80.777.7158.3+3.033%
Season away (2)85.599.5185.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)76.585.6162.1-9.110%
Last 5 (5)82.686.4169.0-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)69.884.8154.6-15.07%
vs Similar (15)79.378.2157.5+1.147%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
BresciaFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#10
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H10/05
Lega A
Treviso
#5
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#11
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Varese
#12
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A26/09
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H03/10
Lega A
Trieste
#7
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A10/10
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#13
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H17/10
Lega A
Sassari
#4
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/10
Lega A
78.8Avg total
40.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.684.8-0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.042.484.4-0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)42.442.785.1-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.338.578.8+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)37.838.676.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)42.045.687.6-3.633%-
vs Similar (17)43.541.585.0+1.959%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.240.277.5-3.050%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#6
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A10/05
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A03/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Venezia
#2
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H09/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Reggiana
#8
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H26/09
Lega A
Cremona
#16
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A03/10
Lega A
Pesaro
#9
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H10/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#10
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A15/10
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H23/10
Lega A
76.6Avg total
35.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.841.878.6-4.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.440.977.3-4.629%-
Last 30 away (16)37.242.579.8-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)35.641.076.6-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)37.642.079.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.542.376.8-7.913%-
vs Similar (15)39.241.280.4-2.047%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.1
48.2%
51.1%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.4
35.9%
35.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.311.9
73.0%
74.7%11.9
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.6
55.1%
51.1%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
35.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.113.7
68.2%
74.7%13.7
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WWLLLWLLLW
Fortitudo Bologna
LLWLLLLLLL
#3
League position
#15
-1.5
Net rating
-5.9
106.4
Offensive rating
106.5
107.8
Defensive rating
112.4
50.4%
Effective FG%
53.9%
55.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
17.0%
Turnover %
16.3%
30.7%
Off. rebound %
21.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
35.9%
3-point %
34.6%
59.3%
Assist %
60.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 106.5Defence107.8 · 112.4Shooting50.4% · 53.9%3-point %35.9% · 34.6%Ball care17.0% · 16.3%Off. rebounds30.7% · 21.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Brescia   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Brescia wins
3
Fortitudo Bologna wins
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/21ASassari76-65
17/10/21HBasket Napoli98-88
10/10/21ATrieste72-80
03/10/21HTortona77-79
26/09/21AVarese72-75
13/09/21ABasket Napoli81-74
11/09/21HBasket Napoli77-87
07/09/21ATreviso86-90
05/09/21HTreviso78-84
10/05/21HPesaro86-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/21HOlimpia Milano75-86
15/10/21ABrindisi93-105
10/10/21HPesaro87-66
03/10/21ACremona78-94
26/09/21HReggiana80-81
11/09/21AReggiana66-78
09/09/21HVenezia67-95
05/09/21HReggiana67-80
03/09/21AVenezia70-83
10/05/21ATrieste82-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game79.087.573.3
Allowed / game77.483.573.3
Point differential+1.6+4.0+0.0
Avg total156.4171.0146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fortitudo Bologna
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game82.680.785.5
Allowed / game86.477.799.5
Point differential-3.8+3.0-14.0
Avg total169.0158.3185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano660100%84.367.8+16.5
2 Brindisi65183%87.381.3+6.0
3 Virtus Bologna64267%90.378.8+11.5
4 Trieste64267%78.275.7+2.5
5 Treviso53260%77.076.2+0.8
6 Reggiana63350%85.779.2+6.5
7 Cremona63350%77.377.7-0.3
8 Tortona63350%79.083.5-4.5
9 Sassari63350%72.879.0-6.2
10 Brescia52340%79.077.4+1.6
11 Trento52340%79.483.2-3.8
12 Basket Napoli62433%81.784.8-3.2
13 Venezia62433%75.779.5-3.8
14 Fortitudo Bologna51420%82.686.4-3.8
15 Pesaro51420%72.478.0-5.6
16 Varese51420%71.090.2-19.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2633182097
Fortitudo Bologna1821172581
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