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Brescia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 May 2021
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 86-84
26-16 16-31 22-29 22-8
Position#11
Record10-18
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game84.8
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#10
Record11-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game83.8
ItalyLega ARound 30
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Brescia v Pesaro
01 Oct 2023
BRE81
PES79
18 Feb 2023
BRE74
PES57
29 Oct 2022
BRE97
PES98
20 Jan 2022
BRE110
PES78
10 May 2021
BRE86
PES84
24 Nov 2019
BRE101
PES74
04 Nov 2018
BRE84
PES81
21 Jan 2018
BRE88
PES70
22 Jan 2017
BRE99
PES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
98-83
98
83
+15
93avg 71
H10/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
89-79
89
79
+10
82avg 71
H28/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
92-99
92
99
-7
90avg 71
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
67-91
67
91
-24
no box
A20/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
68-74
68
74
-6
64avg 71
H28/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
78-88
78
88
-10
68avg 71
A03/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
87-94
87
94
-7
81avg 71
A11/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
69-74
69
74
-5
51avg 71
H14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
82-94
82
94
-12
73avg 71
H18/04
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A25/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
24-20
24-22
26-25
15-22
32-21
24-26
18-10
13-24
27-23
25-28
27-24
24-24
16-22
13-23
14-22
17-17
14-25
21-18
16-14
20-27
24-10
13-28
21-23
27-28
19-32
17-10
24-24
18-24
24-14
8-19
19-17
16-29
26-24
15-21
25-20
26-25
17-22
26-24
25-18
168.9Avg total
82.4Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.384.8166.1-3.536%
Season at home (14)81.181.0162.1+0.136%
Season away (14)81.588.6170.1-7.136%
Last 10 (10)82.486.5168.9-4.130%
Last 5 (5)82.087.8169.8-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)76.984.8161.6-7.914%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.285.0168.2-1.847%
vs Weaker (1)64.070.0134.0-6.00%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
59-87
59
87
-28
no box
A14/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#9
L
78-100
78
100
-22
64avg 73
A07/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
68-81
68
81
-13
58avg 73
A14/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
70-75
70
75
-5
60avg 73
H20/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
66avg 73
A29/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
89-97
89
97
-8
85avg 73
H03/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
79-77
79
77
+2
76avg 73
A10/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
62-86
62
86
-24
44avg 73
H14/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
88-101
88
101
-13
80avg 73
A18/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
81-88
81
88
-7
77avg 73
H25/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
6-27
15-26
23-13
16-24
15-22
22-27
25-27
18-26
10-14
21-21
19-20
9-15
19-22
21-20
21-18
16-25
19-22
21-22
23-22
30-28
21-22
16-26
22-21
25-25
31-16
12-17
11-19
13-25
19-18
13-21
17-22
15-33
34-19
19-28
20-21
31-14
10-22
20-26
20-26
163.6Avg total
75.3Scored
88.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.183.8164.9-2.739%
Season at home (14)80.981.2162.1-0.443%
Season away (14)81.486.4167.8-5.136%
Last 10 (10)75.388.3163.6-13.010%
Last 5 (5)79.889.8169.6-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.484.7161.1-8.427%
vs Similar ◀ (17)82.182.8164.8-0.747%
vs Weaker (1)84.069.0153.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
BresciaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#12
W
48-36
48
36
+12
H10/02
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H28/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H14/03
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H28/03
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A11/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H18/04
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A25/04
Lega A
87.2Avg total
42.3Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.583.8-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.441.282.6+0.262%-
Last 30 away (14)41.143.985.1-2.829%-
Last 10 (10)42.344.987.2-2.640%-
Last 5 (5)43.447.090.4-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.943.282.1-4.329%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.542.385.9+1.260%-
vs Weaker (1)41.034.075.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
21-48
21
48
-27
A14/02
Italian Cup
Cremona
#9
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A07/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A14/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H20/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A29/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H03/04
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A10/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H14/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A18/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H25/04
Lega A
81.2Avg total
37.2Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.279.7-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.437.876.2+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)40.442.182.4-1.741%-
Last 10 (10)37.244.081.2-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)45.844.490.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.439.477.7-1.055%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.640.580.2-0.941%-
vs Weaker (1)40.032.072.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.3
48.7%
51.2%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.9
35.9%
35.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.014.3
84.1%
75.8%14.3
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.716.1
47.8%
51.2%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.59.9
33.6%
35.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.614.6
78.5%
75.8%14.6
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
WLLLLLLLWW
Pesaro
LLLWLLLLLL
#11
League position
#10
-5.0
Net rating
-12.8
110.0
Offensive rating
105.5
114.9
Defensive rating
118.3
50.6%
Effective FG%
49.0%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.8%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.7%
32.6%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
35.9%
3-point %
33.6%
63.0%
Assist %
62.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 105.5Defence114.9 · 118.3Shooting50.6% · 49.0%3-point %35.9% · 33.6%Ball care16.8% · 16.7%Off. rebounds32.6% · 28.6%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 10%
■ Brescia   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brescia wins
2
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
10/01/21Pesaro v Brescia98-88
24/11/19Brescia v Pesaro101-74
03/03/19Pesaro v Brescia86-92
04/11/18Brescia v Pesaro84-81
21/01/18Brescia v Pesaro88-70
01/10/17Pesaro v Brescia70-73
22/01/17Brescia v Pesaro99-68
02/10/16Pesaro v Brescia76-63
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/21ACremona94-89
18/04/21HSassari82-94
14/04/21HCantu69-74
11/04/21AVenezia87-94
03/04/21AFortitudo Bologna78-88
28/03/21HBrindisi68-74
20/03/21ATrento67-91
14/03/21HOlimpia Milano92-99
28/02/21HReggiana89-79
10/02/21HVarese98-83
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/21HOlimpia Milano81-88
18/04/21ATrieste88-101
14/04/21HBrindisi62-86
10/04/21AFortitudo Bologna79-77
03/04/21HTreviso89-97
29/03/21AReggiana79-91
20/03/21HVirtus Bologna70-75
14/03/21AVarese68-81
07/03/21ACremona78-100
14/02/21AOlimpia Milano59-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW36%
HomeWLLLL36%
AwayWLLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %36%36%36%
Points / game81.381.181.5
Allowed / game84.881.088.6
Point differential-3.5+0.1-7.1
Avg total166.1162.1170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)20% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Pesaro
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL39%
HomeLLLLL43%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %39%43%36%
Points / game81.180.981.4
Allowed / game83.881.286.4
Point differential-2.7-0.4-5.1
Avg total164.9162.1167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2822679%85.975.1+10.7
2 Brindisi2820871%85.078.4+6.6
3 Virtus Bologna2719870%85.776.9+8.8
4 Venezia2819968%81.276.7+4.5
5 Sassari2819968%89.985.8+4.1
6 Treviso28141450%84.088.1-4.1
7 Trieste27131448%80.280.3-0.1
8 Trento27121544%77.879.4-1.7
9 Cremona27111641%85.386.0-0.6
10 Pesaro28111739%81.183.8-2.7
11 Varese28111739%81.686.2-4.6
12 Reggiana27101737%76.281.1-4.9
13 Brescia28101836%81.384.8-3.5
14 Fortitudo Bologna28101836%77.681.6-4.0
15 Cantu2891932%77.682.0-4.4
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2616222286
Pesaro163129884
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