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Trieste vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 10 May 2021
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 88-82
17-29 19-17 26-15 26-21
Position#6
Record13-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game80.3
Trieste 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record10-18
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game81.6
ItalyLega ARound 30
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Trieste v Fortitudo Bologna
22 Oct 2023
TRI65
FBO84
20 Mar 2022
TRI77
FBO85
10 May 2021
TRI88
FBO82
29 Dec 2019
TRI89
FBO69
08 Jun 2017
TRI80
FBO60
31 May 2017
TRI91
FBO69
29 May 2017
TRI85
FBO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trieste winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#3
L
81-93
81
93
-12
no box
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#3
L
74-81
74
81
-7
60avg 75
A27/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 75
H07/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
96-70
96
70
+26
95avg 75
A13/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
69-87
69
87
-18
57avg 75
H21/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
76-95
76
95
-19
68avg 75
A28/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
67-81
67
81
-14
56avg 75
A11/04
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
69-81
69
81
-12
58avg 75
A14/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
101-88
101
88
+13
99avg 75
H18/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
79-73
79
73
+6
74avg 75
A25/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
20-18
23-23
20-27
13-27
18-17
24-19
19-18
16-19
26-26
19-20
21-14
21-22
24-14
21-15
30-19
21-25
17-16
11-25
20-21
19-19
13-24
26-28
18-24
18-23
13-17
17-16
19-25
5-24
22-22
24-16
18-19
33-15
19-34
28-19
21-20
15-20
25-17
13-16
26-20
162.2Avg total
79.4Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.280.3160.4-0.148%
Season at home (13)82.882.4165.2+0.554%
Season away (14)77.778.3156.0-0.643%
Last 10 (10)79.482.8162.2-3.440%
Last 5 (5)78.483.6162.0-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)72.182.0154.1-9.920%
vs Similar ◀ (19)82.579.3161.7+3.258%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
72-98
72
98
-26
64avg 69
A28/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
70-95
70
95
-25
60avg 69
H07/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
78-84
78
84
-6
76avg 69
A14/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
71-68
71
68
+3
74avg 69
H19/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
70avg 69
A28/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
W
88-78
88
78
+10
88avg 69
H03/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
77-79
77
79
-2
78avg 69
H10/04
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
74-82
74
82
-8
70avg 69
A14/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
76-92
76
92
-16
72avg 69
A18/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
75-68
75
68
+7
68avg 69
H25/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-30
22-29
21-23
18-16
21-22
13-26
20-24
16-23
21-24
23-17
17-19
17-24
19-14
16-17
14-21
22-16
13-26
28-15
20-19
12-21
27-20
10-24
28-13
23-21
25-25
16-31
17-12
19-11
22-23
14-24
19-12
19-23
15-22
25-24
21-23
15-23
20-21
18-17
18-14
19-16
157.9Avg total
75.4Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.681.6159.2-4.036%
Season at home (14)78.280.8159.0-2.643%
Season away (14)77.082.4159.4-5.429%
Last 10 (10)75.482.5157.9-7.130%
Last 5 (5)78.079.8157.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)69.786.1155.8-16.57%
vs Similar ◀ (15)78.277.1155.3+1.153%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: -3.3-3.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.4-1.4
TriesteFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brindisi
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A12/02
Italian Cup
Brindisi
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A27/02
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H07/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A13/03
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H21/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A28/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A11/04
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A14/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H18/04
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A25/04
Lega A
80.0Avg total
37.6Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.842.381.1-3.433%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.842.584.3-0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)36.242.178.3-5.819%-
Last 10 (10)37.642.480.0-4.830%-
Last 5 (5)36.443.079.4-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.143.778.8-8.610%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.841.582.3-0.647%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
33-59
33
59
-26
A28/02
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H07/03
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A14/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H19/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A28/03
Lega A
Brescia
#11
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H03/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H10/04
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A14/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A18/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H25/04
Lega A
83.0Avg total
37.9Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.942.380.2-4.433%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.942.181.0-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)36.842.579.3-5.727%-
Last 10 (10)37.945.183.0-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)38.446.284.6-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.043.780.7-6.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.740.979.6-2.140%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Trieste) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.4
49.7%
51.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.5
34.6%
35.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.613.6
73.1%
75.8%13.6
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.219.4
55.1%
51.2%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.2
36.9%
35.9%24.6
🏀 Free throws15.711.4
72.6%
75.8%11.4
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Trieste
WWLLLLWWLL
Fortitudo Bologna
WLLLWLWLLL
#6
League position
#14
-4.1
Net rating
-9.2
104.2
Offensive rating
102.4
108.4
Defensive rating
111.6
50.6%
Effective FG%
55.2%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
16.7%
Turnover %
20.4%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
19.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.6%
3-point %
36.9%
57.3%
Assist %
70.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 102.4Defence108.4 · 111.6Shooting50.6% · 55.2%3-point %34.6% · 36.9%Ball care16.7% · 20.4%Off. rebounds25.9% · 19.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Trieste   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Trieste wins
2
Fortitudo Bologna wins
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/21AVarese79-73
18/04/21HPesaro101-88
14/04/21ATrento69-81
11/04/21AVirtus Bologna67-81
28/03/21ATreviso76-95
21/03/21HVenezia69-87
13/03/21AReggiana96-70
07/03/21HCantu82-79
27/02/21ABrindisi74-81
12/02/21ABrindisi81-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/04/21HCantu75-68
18/04/21AVenezia76-92
14/04/21ACremona74-82
10/04/21HPesaro77-79
03/04/21HBrescia88-78
28/03/21AVirtus Bologna73-81
19/03/21HReggiana71-68
14/03/21ATreviso78-84
07/03/21HBrindisi70-95
28/02/21AOlimpia Milano72-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Trieste
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW48%
HomeWLWLW54%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %48%54%43%
Points / game80.282.877.7
Allowed / game80.382.478.3
Point differential-0.1+0.5-0.6
Avg total160.4165.2156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%31%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fortitudo Bologna
Lega A 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW36%
HomeLWWLW43%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %36%43%29%
Points / game77.678.277.0
Allowed / game81.680.882.4
Point differential-4.0-2.6-5.4
Avg total159.2159.0159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%21%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2822679%85.975.1+10.7
2 Brindisi2820871%85.078.4+6.6
3 Virtus Bologna2719870%85.776.9+8.8
4 Venezia2819968%81.276.7+4.5
5 Sassari2819968%89.985.8+4.1
6 Treviso28141450%84.088.1-4.1
7 Trieste27131448%80.280.3-0.1
8 Trento27121544%77.879.4-1.7
9 Cremona27111641%85.386.0-0.6
10 Pesaro28111739%81.183.8-2.7
11 Varese28111739%81.686.2-4.6
12 Reggiana27101737%76.281.1-4.9
13 Brescia28101836%81.384.8-3.5
14 Fortitudo Bologna28101836%77.681.6-4.0
15 Cantu2891932%77.682.0-4.4
16 Virtus Roma92722%74.987.7-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Trieste1719262688
Fortitudo Bologna2917152182
← all games of the day
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