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Varese vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Sep 2021
Tip-off: 15:15
Final 75-72
27-12 11-25 21-21 16-14
Position#12
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Brescia
Italy
Position#3
Record-
FormWLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
ItalyLega ARound 1
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Varese v Brescia
14 Feb 2026
VAR98
BRE96
25 Jan 2025
VAR77
BRE118
30 Mar 2024
VAR92
BRE95
28 Jan 2023
VAR80
BRE72
26 Sep 2021
VAR75
BRE72
27 Sep 2020
VAR94
BRE89
13 Sep 2020
VAR102
BRE100
11 Mar 2020
VAR v BRE
upcoming
07 Oct 2018
VAR81
BRE80
16 May 2018
VAR64
BRE69
11 Feb 2018
VAR100
BRE72
19 Nov 2016
VAR68
BRE74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
83-81
83
81
+2
81avg 72
A05/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
77-95
77
95
-18
70avg 72
A11/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
75-77
75
77
-2
68avg 72
H14/04
Lega A
Treviso
#7
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 72
A18/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
73-79
73
79
-6
60avg 72
H25/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
84-108
84
108
-24
73avg 72
A10/05
Lega A
Cremona
#12
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
A06/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
82-92
82
92
-10
no box
H08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#12
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
61-77
61
77
-16
no box
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
21-23
24-22
14-18
19-23
19-23
17-21
22-28
18-16
21-19
17-27
19-15
25-28
21-24
33-25
24-17
20-15
17-25
16-13
20-26
16-30
29-31
23-20
16-27
16-19
21-10
17-32
16-19
26-23
19-24
22-27
15-18
24-19
21-23
19-17
22-19
18-17
17-23
9-20
17-17
165.5Avg total
79.4Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.486.1165.5-6.730%
Last 5 (5)76.687.0163.6-10.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.987.4166.4-8.529%
vs Similar (15)80.284.9165.1-4.733%
vs Weaker (1)98.088.0186.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
L
78-88
78
88
-10
68avg 72
A03/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
87-94
87
94
-7
81avg 72
A11/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
69-74
69
74
-5
51avg 72
H14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
82-94
82
94
-12
73avg 72
H18/04
Lega A
Cremona
#9
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A25/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
W
86-84
86
84
+2
85avg 72
H10/05
Lega A
Treviso
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
no box
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#5
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#11
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
H11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#11
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
24-10
13-28
21-23
27-28
19-32
17-10
24-24
18-24
24-14
8-19
19-17
16-29
26-24
15-21
25-20
26-25
17-22
26-24
25-18
26-16
16-31
22-29
22-8
20-19
14-16
23-18
21-31
18-22
23-15
18-26
27-27
25-18
27-13
14-34
11-22
25-20
20-22
17-16
19-16
167.6Avg total
81.8Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.885.8167.6-4.030%
Last 5 (5)81.683.8165.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.585.2164.6-5.718%
vs Similar (19)83.684.8168.4-1.247%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.8+0.8
VareseBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A05/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#13
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A11/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/04
Lega A
Treviso
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A18/04
Lega A
Trieste
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H25/04
Lega A
Brindisi
#3
L
45-61
45
61
-16
A10/05
Lega A
Cremona
#12
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A06/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H08/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Cremona
#12
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H12/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Sassari
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A14/09
Lega A - Super Cup
84.5Avg total
41.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.843.082.8-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.540.180.7+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)39.145.984.9-6.827%-
Last 10 (10)41.243.384.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.885.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)39.047.386.3-8.329%-
vs Similar (15)40.039.779.7+0.347%-
vs Weaker (1)48.033.081.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#14
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A11/04
Lega A
Cantu
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H14/04
Lega A
Sassari
#5
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H18/04
Lega A
Cremona
#9
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A25/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#10
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H10/05
Lega A
Treviso
#5
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H05/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Treviso
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A07/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#11
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H11/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Basket Napoli
#11
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A13/09
Lega A - Super Cup
85.8Avg total
43.1Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.642.084.6+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.941.183.1+0.859%-
Last 30 away (13)43.443.286.6+0.246%-
Last 10 (10)43.142.785.8+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.838.481.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)41.343.584.8-2.336%-
vs Similar (19)43.341.284.5+2.263%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Varese) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.4
55.8%
51.1%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.7
37.4%
35.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws18.013.2
73.3%
74.7%13.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.4
47.9%
51.1%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.1
36.5%
35.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.214.3
83.1%
74.7%14.3
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Sep 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
LWLLLLWLLW
Brescia
WLLLWWLLLL
#12
League position
#3
-0.3
Net rating
-6.7
111.9
Offensive rating
107.7
112.2
Defensive rating
114.3
55.9%
Effective FG%
50.5%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.8%
18.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
27.1%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.4%
3-point %
36.5%
53.6%
Assist %
64.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 107.7Defence112.2 · 114.3Shooting55.9% · 50.5%3-point %37.4% · 36.5%Ball care18.3% · 18.0%Off. rebounds27.1% · 31.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Varese   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Varese wins
7
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
10/02/21Brescia v Varese98-83
27/09/20Varese v Brescia94-89 OT
13/09/20Varese v Brescia102-100
01/09/20Brescia v Varese89-88
10/11/19Brescia v Varese91-74
20/01/19Brescia v Varese78-73
07/10/18Varese v Brescia81-80
16/05/18Varese v Brescia64-69 OT
14/05/18Brescia v Varese77-75
12/05/18Brescia v Varese68-61
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/09/21ASassari61-77
12/09/21HCremona86-78
08/09/21HSassari82-92
06/09/21ACremona70-80
10/05/21ABrindisi84-108
25/04/21HTrieste73-79
18/04/21ATreviso103-94
14/04/21HVenezia75-77
11/04/21AReggiana77-95
05/04/21AOlimpia Milano83-81
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/09/21ABasket Napoli81-74
11/09/21HBasket Napoli77-87
07/09/21ATreviso86-90
05/09/21HTreviso78-84
10/05/21HPesaro86-84
25/04/21ACremona94-89
18/04/21HSassari82-94
14/04/21HCantu69-74
11/04/21AVenezia87-94
03/04/21AFortitudo Bologna78-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Brescia
Lega A 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano110100%73.063.0+10.0
2 Trieste110100%84.082.0+2.0
3 Brindisi1010%82.084.0-2.0
4 Basket Napoli1010%63.073.0-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2711211675
Brescia1225211472
← all games of the day
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