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Brillantes vs Guaros de Lara Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 66-82
16-14 14-25 17-16 19-27
Position#6
Record21-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game77.4
Brillantes
Venezuela
vs
Guaros de Lara 🏆
Venezuela
Position#3
Record25-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game76.0
VenezuelaSuperligaSuperliga - Quarter-finals· Gimnasio Pedro Elías Belisario Aponte
Other2023Neutral venue
Meetings · Brillantes v Guaros de Lara
08 Jun 2023
BRIL66
GUAR82
16 May 2023
BRIL80
GUAR74
20 Apr 2023
BRIL89
GUAR81
03 Sep 2022
BRIL89
GUAR60
18 Aug 2022
BRIL84
GUAR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brillantes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guaros de Lara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrillantesVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrillantes
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
66-81
66
81
-15
no box
H15/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
W
80-74
80
74
+6
73avg 73
H16/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
92-70
92
70
+22
91avg 73
H18/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
93-85
93
85
+8
56avg 73
H21/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
70-65
70
65
+5
62avg 73
H24/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
72-79
72
79
-7
60avg 73
H25/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
87-84
87
84
+3
83avg 73
A28/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
88-82
88
82
+6
81avg 73
A29/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
67-100
67
100
-33
57avg 73
A04/06
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
53avg 73
A05/06
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
17-15
19-25
13-25
23-20
13-25
21-19
23-10
22-18
27-22
29-17
14-13
25-24
23-26
22-17
23-18
13-7
14-24
20-15
23-19
21-22
16-21
12-19
23-17
26-18
28-24
20-22
13-20
22-19
21-26
21-14
24-23
17-36
22-16
13-22
15-26
21-19
11-14
12-21
17-19
156.9Avg total
77.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)82.277.4159.6+4.966%
Season at home (15)85.275.3160.5+9.987%
Season away (17)79.679.2158.9+0.447%
Last 10 (10)77.679.3156.9-1.760%
Last 5 (5)75.083.6158.6-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.575.0158.5+8.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.378.4155.8-1.156%
vs Weaker (12)87.876.1163.9+11.875%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLara
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
97-80
97
80
+17
95avg 79
H09/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
81-71
81
71
+10
85avg 79
H11/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
74-80
74
80
-6
64avg 79
A16/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
99-93 OT
99
93
+6
no box
A17/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
75-74
75
74
+1
69avg 79
A19/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
91-72
91
72
+19
89avg 79
H24/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
92-73
92
73
+19
88avg 79
H25/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
102-73
102
73
+29
105avg 79
A28/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
100-67
100
67
+33
101avg 79
H04/06
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
73-61
73
61
+12
66avg 79
H05/06
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
27-17
19-25
30-21
27-16
18-19
19-18
17-18
20-23
25-13
19-21
10-23
15-17
26-28
21-15
24-26
25-17
16-15
19-20
15-22
34-19
21-21
16-16
20-16
26-13
19-16
19-25
28-19
24-18
30-15
26-25
22-15
36-17
16-22
22-13
26-15
19-21
14-11
21-12
19-17
162.8Avg total
88.4Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)85.176.0161.2+9.181%
Season at home (17)84.671.5156.1+13.294%
Season away (14)85.781.6167.3+4.164%
Last 10 (10)88.474.4162.8+14.090%
Last 5 (5)91.669.2160.8+22.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.073.0153.0+7.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.275.5156.7+5.767%
vs Weaker (17)89.975.2165.1+14.894%
This opponent (Brillantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +6.9+6.9Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +1.9+1.9
BrillantesGuaros de Lara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrillantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H15/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H16/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H18/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H21/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H24/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H25/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A28/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A29/05
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A04/06
Superliga
Guaros de Lara
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A05/06
Superliga
81.1Avg total
39.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.881.5+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.937.381.1+6.673%-
Last 30 away (15)41.540.481.9+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.941.281.1-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)41.043.084.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.537.583.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)39.640.179.7-0.644%-
vs Weaker (12)46.337.383.7+9.083%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H09/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H11/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A16/05
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A17/05
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A19/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H24/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H25/05
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A28/05
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H04/06
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H05/06
Superliga
81.4Avg total
45.9Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.737.881.4+5.977%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.636.680.3+7.082%-
Last 30 away (13)43.739.282.9+4.569%-
Last 10 (10)45.935.581.4+10.490%-
Last 5 (5)47.834.682.4+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.038.083.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)42.436.879.2+5.775%-
vs Weaker (17)44.538.582.9+6.076%-
This opponent (Brillantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brillantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brillantes: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.818.1
46.6%
50.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.5
33.2%
31.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.115.3
76.1%
65.6%15.3
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guaros de Lara: 87.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.926.4
60.1%
50.8%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.5
29.8%
31.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.012.1
71.2%
65.6%12.1
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jun 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brillantes
LLWWLWWWWL
Guaros de Lara
WWWWWWWLWW
#6
League position
#3
+3.8
Net rating
+21.9
102.7
Offensive rating
112.6
98.8
Defensive rating
90.7
48.0%
Effective FG%
54.5%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
42.9%
17.9%
Turnover %
16.3%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.2%
3-point %
29.8%
65.6%
Assist %
66.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 112.6Defence98.8 · 90.7Shooting48.0% · 54.5%3-point %33.2% · 29.8%Ball care17.9% · 16.3%Off. rebounds29.8% · 30.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Brillantes   ■ Guaros de Lara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brillantes wins
4
Guaros de Lara wins
DateGameScore
05/06/23Guaros de Lara v Brillantes73-61
04/06/23Guaros de Lara v Brillantes100-67
16/05/23Brillantes v Guaros de Lara80-74
03/05/23Guaros de Lara v Brillantes83-77
20/04/23Brillantes v Guaros de Lara89-81
29/03/23Guaros de Lara v Brillantes63-74
03/09/22Brillantes v Guaros de Lara89-60
18/08/22Brillantes v Guaros de Lara84-75
10/08/22Guaros de Lara v Brillantes99-87
09/08/22Guaros de Lara v Brillantes75-84
Brillanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/06/23AGuaros de Lara61-73
04/06/23AGuaros de Lara67-100
29/05/23AHeroes de Falcon88-82
28/05/23AHeroes de Falcon87-84
25/05/23HHeroes de Falcon72-79
24/05/23HHeroes de Falcon70-65
21/05/23HGaiteros del Zulia93-85
18/05/23HLlaneros92-70
16/05/23HGuaros de Lara80-74
15/05/23HGaiteros del Zulia66-81
Guaros de Laralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/06/23HBrillantes73-61
04/06/23HBrillantes100-67
28/05/23ALlaneros102-73
25/05/23HLlaneros92-73
24/05/23HLlaneros91-72
19/05/23AHeroes de Falcon75-74
17/05/23AGaiteros del Zulia99-93 OT
16/05/23ABrillantes74-80
11/05/23HHeroes de Falcon81-71
09/05/23HGaiteros del Zulia97-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brillantes
Superliga 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL66%
HomeWWWWL87%
AwayWWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %66%87%47%
Points / game82.285.279.6
Allowed / game77.475.379.2
Point differential+4.9+9.9+0.4
Avg total159.6160.5158.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guaros de Lara
Superliga 2023
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %81%94%64%
Points / game85.184.685.7
Allowed / game76.071.581.6
Point differential+9.1+13.2+4.1
Avg total161.2156.1167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%71%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores3127487%83.472.1+11.3
2 Guaros de Lara3125681%85.176.0+9.1
3 Trotamundos3325876%84.678.1+6.5
4 Cocodrilos3123874%77.469.1+8.4
5 Broncos34231168%88.778.5+10.2
6 Brillantes32211166%82.277.4+4.9
7 Piratas de La Guaira32211166%80.978.7+2.2
8 Guaiqueries31201165%80.977.4+3.5
9 Spartans29151452%79.478.9+0.5
10 Heroes de Falcon30141647%80.378.9+1.3
11 Panteras30141647%77.476.9+0.5
12 Centauros31131842%76.278.7-2.5
13 Gaiteros del Zulia30121840%78.782.9-4.3
14 Llaneros2992031%79.585.9-6.4
15 Gigantes2982128%74.682.0-7.4
16 Marinos2671927%80.286.0-5.8
17 Diablos2972224%74.983.8-8.9
18 Cangrejeros2652119%76.784.2-7.5
19 Frontinos2652119%77.592.0-14.5
20 Toros de Aragua2642215%75.085.4-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brillantes1614171966
Guaros de Lara1425162782
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