PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brillantes vs Guaros de Lara Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 20 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 89-81
21-18 25-25 17-25 26-13
Position#6
Record9-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Position#3
Record10-4
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game78.0
VenezuelaSuperliga· Gimnasio Pedro Elías Belisario Aponte (Maracaibo)
Other2023
Meetings · Brillantes v Guaros de Lara
08 Jun 2023
BRIL66
GUAR82
16 May 2023
BRIL80
GUAR74
20 Apr 2023
BRIL89
GUAR81
03 Sep 2022
BRIL89
GUAR60
18 Aug 2022
BRIL84
GUAR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brillantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Guaros de Lara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrillantesVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrillantes
Date
Competition
Guaros de Lara
#3
W
74-63
74
63
+11
74avg 70
A29/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
83-85
83
85
-2
72avg 70
A30/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
78-76
78
76
+2
68avg 70
H02/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
84-64
84
64
+20
79avg 70
H04/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
70-75
70
75
-5
59avg 70
A08/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
90-97
90
97
-7
80avg 70
A09/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
74-70
74
70
+4
68avg 70
H12/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
57avg 70
A14/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
87-82
87
82
+5
77avg 70
A15/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
77-62
77
62
+15
73avg 70
A17/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
23-14
26-19
9-9
27-17
13-21
21-23
22-24
23-10
20-22
13-20
22-24
27-16
13-10
20-25
24-13
19-23
18-16
17-20
16-16
27-28
16-28
16-19
31-22
21-12
22-25
15-15
16-18
13-20
16-14
18-20
21-23
21-27
25-15
18-18
23-22
16-17
28-14
15-13
18-18
153.6Avg total
78.5Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)81.576.6158.1+4.964%
Season at home (5)83.674.8158.4+8.8100%
Season away (9)80.377.7158.0+2.744%
Last 10 (10)78.575.1153.6+3.460%
Last 5 (5)79.277.6156.8+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.575.0158.5+8.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (22)81.979.6161.5+2.359%
vs Weaker (6)87.579.0166.5+8.567%
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraVenezuelaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLara
Date
Competition
Centauros
#12
W
73-68
73
68
+5
60avg 74
H28/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
47avg 74
H29/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
80-65
80
65
+15
82avg 74
A02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
82-68
82
68
+14
80avg 74
H05/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
80-59
80
59
+21
76avg 74
H08/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
85avg 74
A10/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
83-65
83
65
+18
58avg 74
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
101-90
101
90
+11
94avg 74
H14/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 74
H16/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
90-98
90
98
-8
84avg 74
A19/04
Superliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
19-20
12-16
17-12
21-16
14-23
19-26
9-9
22-14
14-23
28-15
16-13
21-20
17-17
14-23
30-8
11-18
29-14
14-14
26-13
21-21
24-22
24-24
23-33
18-22
21-16
21-16
23-11
31-24
18-26
27-22
25-18
23-18
22-13
22-21
19-25
31-28
14-27
24-18
21-25
159.4Avg total
83.0Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.778.0160.7+4.771%
Season at home (7)81.672.6154.1+9.086%
Season away (7)83.983.4167.3+0.457%
Last 10 (10)83.076.4159.4+6.670%
Last 5 (5)90.486.0176.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)72.786.3159.0-13.733%
vs Similar ◀ (13)80.084.7164.7-4.738%
vs Weaker (14)85.673.2158.9+12.493%
This opponent (Brillantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +4.2+4.2
BrillantesGuaros de Lara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrillantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guaros de Lara
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A29/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A30/03
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H02/04
Superliga
Toros de Aragua
#20
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H04/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A08/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A09/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H12/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A14/04
Superliga
Llaneros
#14
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A15/04
Superliga
Broncos
#5
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A17/04
Superliga
77.4Avg total
40.4Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.137.877.9+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.636.777.4+3.964%-
Last 30 away (16)39.638.878.4+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)40.437.077.4+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)41.040.081.0+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.537.583.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)38.937.976.8+1.050%-
vs Weaker (6)42.737.580.2+5.283%-
This opponent (Guaros de Lara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Guaros de LaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Centauros
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/03
Superliga
Brillantes
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H29/03
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A02/04
Superliga
Frontinos
#19
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H05/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H08/04
Superliga
Trotamundos
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A10/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A12/04
Superliga
Centauros
#12
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H14/04
Superliga
Heroes de Falcon
#10
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H16/04
Superliga
Gaiteros del Zulia
#13
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A19/04
Superliga
81.8Avg total
41.6Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.981.8+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.537.079.5+5.562%-
Last 30 away (14)41.343.184.4-1.957%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.281.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.643.488.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.044.783.7-5.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.640.981.5-0.354%-
vs Weaker (14)43.837.981.6+5.971%-
This opponent (Brillantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brillantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brillantes: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.522.2
49.9%
50.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.36.9
27.3%
31.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws17.311.8
68.2%
65.6%11.8
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Guaros de Laratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guaros de Lara: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.4 points a game
54%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.2
54.8%
50.8%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.0
34.6%
31.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws17.811.0
61.8%
65.6%11.0
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brillantes
WWLWLLWWLW
Guaros de Lara
LWWWLWWWLW
#6
League position
#3
+1.6
Net rating
+8.7
95.4
Offensive rating
107.4
93.8
Defensive rating
98.6
46.6%
Effective FG%
53.7%
44.2%
Opp. effective FG%
44.3%
18.7%
Turnover %
16.2%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
26.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.3%
3-point %
34.6%
60.8%
Assist %
58.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 107.4Defence93.8 · 98.6Shooting46.6% · 53.7%3-point %27.3% · 34.6%Ball care18.7% · 16.2%Off. rebounds29.1% · 26.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Brillantes   ■ Guaros de Lara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brillantes wins
1
Guaros de Lara wins
Brillanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/23ABroncos77-62
15/04/23ALlaneros87-82
14/04/23ATrotamundos68-77
12/04/23HHeroes de Falcon74-70
09/04/23AHeroes de Falcon90-97
08/04/23AHeroes de Falcon70-75
04/04/23HToros de Aragua84-64
02/04/23HHeroes de Falcon78-76
30/03/23ACentauros83-85
29/03/23AGuaros de Lara74-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/23AGaiteros del Zulia90-98
16/04/23HHeroes de Falcon86-77
14/04/23HCentauros101-90
12/04/23ACentauros83-65
10/04/23ATrotamundos92-100
08/04/23HTrotamundos80-59
05/04/23HFrontinos82-68
02/04/23ACentauros80-65
29/03/23HBrillantes63-74
28/03/23HCentauros73-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brillantes
Superliga 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %64%100%44%
Points / game81.583.680.3
Allowed / game76.674.877.7
Point differential+4.9+8.8+2.7
Avg total158.1158.4158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Guaros de Lara
Superliga 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL71%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %71%86%57%
Points / game82.781.683.9
Allowed / game78.072.683.4
Point differential+4.7+9.0+0.4
Avg total160.7154.1167.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%57%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gladiadores1513287%84.273.5+10.7
2 Cocodrilos1411379%76.168.9+7.2
3 Broncos1511473%89.975.5+14.4
4 Piratas de La Guaira118373%79.771.9+7.8
5 Guaros de Lara1410471%82.778.0+4.7
6 Trotamundos1510567%79.877.8+2.0
7 Brillantes149564%81.576.6+4.9
8 Guaiqueries138562%86.080.4+5.6
9 Heroes de Falcon148657%83.680.4+3.2
10 Gaiteros del Zulia148657%77.279.6-2.4
11 Panteras158753%76.975.3+1.6
12 Centauros146843%74.077.2-3.2
13 Spartans125742%74.475.6-1.2
14 Gigantes124833%76.182.0-5.9
15 Llaneros134931%77.883.0-5.2
16 Frontinos1441029%80.588.8-8.3
17 Marinos123925%78.488.4-10.0
18 Cangrejeros1221017%76.886.8-9.9
19 Diablos1221017%77.187.1-10.0
20 Toros de Aragua151147%71.782.6-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brillantes2125172689
Guaros de Lara1825251381
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.