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Brindisi vs Virtus Roma Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2020
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 88-81 (OT)
20-15 12-20 23-23 21-18 12-5
Position#5
Record10-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game81.1
Brindisi 🏆
Italy
vs
Virtus Roma
Italy
Position#15
Record7-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game83.5
ItalyLega ARound 19
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Brindisi v Virtus Roma
04 Oct 2020
BRI92
VRO67
14 Sep 2020
BRI98
VRO62
19 Jan 2020
BRI88
VRO81
26 Dec 2014
BRI84
VRO54
26 Jan 2014
BRI72
VRO62
30 Dec 2012
BRI82
VRO86
23 Jan 2011
BRI80
VRO84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Roma winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
W
80-72
80
72
+8
69avg 89
A10/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
100-67
100
67
+33
102avg 89
H24/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
67-78
67
78
-11
50avg 89
A30/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
61avg 89
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
87-99
87
99
-12
75avg 89
A14/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
72-78
72
78
-6
57avg 89
A22/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
87-72
87
72
+15
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H29/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
89-93
89
93
-4
80avg 89
A05/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
93-92 OT
93
92
+1
no box
A12/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
16-14
23-20
20-16
26-13
26-15
27-22
21-17
16-14
15-20
23-18
13-26
17-21
22-18
16-21
22-23
20-22
23-32
22-23
22-22
14-20
18-20
22-21
18-17
24-13
22-25
20-18
21-16
17-20
21-17
26-16
17-21
21-27
19-25
21-18
28-23
24-21
23-22
20-29
17-12
164.1Avg total
83.3Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)83.881.1164.9+2.759%
Season at home (8)85.076.6161.6+8.475%
Season away (9)82.885.1167.9-2.344%
Last 10 (10)83.380.8164.1+2.550%
Last 5 (5)84.481.8166.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)78.382.3160.7-4.033%
vs Similar (15)82.985.2168.1-2.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.277.9162.2+6.367%
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRoma
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
72avg 69
A10/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
92-83
92
83
+9
83avg 69
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
69-81
69
81
-12
64avg 69
H24/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
69-99
69
99
-30
62avg 69
A01/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
82-72
82
72
+10
82avg 69
H08/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
86avg 69
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
53-83
53
83
-30
38avg 69
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
L
77-79
77
79
-2
74avg 69
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
88-96
88
96
-8
74avg 69
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
68-97
68
97
-29
52avg 69
H12/01
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
17-28
24-13
12-14
24-20
20-20
23-22
25-21
13-25
22-25
20-14
14-17
19-34
20-24
15-21
15-20
27-22
18-13
20-19
17-18
30-30
17-22
13-15
28-15
15-25
13-22
12-16
13-20
17-10
26-30
21-18
13-21
19-31
22-27
25-16
22-22
14-22
15-28
21-21
18-26
160.8Avg total
76.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.183.5159.6-7.441%
Season at home (9)75.182.3157.4-7.244%
Season away (8)77.284.9162.1-7.638%
Last 10 (10)76.284.6160.8-8.440%
Last 5 (5)74.887.4162.2-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.086.1162.1-10.125%
vs Similar (8)77.876.2154.0+1.550%
vs Weaker (6)89.275.0164.2+14.2100%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -1.7-1.7
BrindisiVirtus Roma
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#14
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A10/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H24/11
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A30/11
Lega A
Sassari
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H08/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A14/12
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H26/12
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H29/12
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A05/01
Lega A
Cantu
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A12/01
Lega A
80.6Avg total
40.5Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.081.7+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.537.580.0+4.962%-
Last 30 away (17)41.241.883.0-0.641%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.180.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.082.6-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.343.382.7-4.00%-
vs Similar (15)42.141.183.3+1.047%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.837.779.5+4.267%-
This opponent (Virtus Roma) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus RomaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#11
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A10/11
Lega A
Pesaro
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H17/11
Lega A
Treviso
#13
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H24/11
Lega A
Varese
#10
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A01/12
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H08/12
Lega A
Trento
#8
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A14/12
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H22/12
Lega A
Venezia
#7
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A26/12
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A29/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H12/01
Lega A
86.8Avg total
39.1Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.983.2-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.040.780.7-0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.745.085.7-4.327%-
Last 10 (10)39.147.786.8-8.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.649.487.0-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)38.046.084.0-8.031%-
vs Similar (8)40.239.479.6+0.938%-
vs Weaker (6)46.739.285.8+7.583%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.8
51.5%
52.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.1
37.3%
35.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws16.811.8
70.2%
73.6%11.8
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Romatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Roma: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.3
51.0%
52.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.76.9
33.3%
35.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.712.1
64.7%
73.6%12.1
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Jan 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
WLWWLLLLWW
Virtus Roma
LLLLWWLLWW
#5
League position
#15
+4.0
Net rating
-11.4
116.1
Offensive rating
104.9
112.1
Defensive rating
116.3
53.2%
Effective FG%
50.6%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.0%
13.4%
Turnover %
19.0%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.3%
3-point %
33.3%
48.5%
Assist %
56.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence116.1 · 104.9Defence112.1 · 116.3Shooting53.2% · 50.6%3-point %37.3% · 33.3%Ball care13.4% · 19.0%Off. rebounds32.1% · 32.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Brindisi   ■ Virtus Roma
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brindisi wins
6
Virtus Roma wins
DateGameScore
29/09/19Virtus Roma v Brindisi63-87
19/04/15Virtus Roma v Brindisi80-58
26/12/14Brindisi v Virtus Roma84-54
26/01/14Brindisi v Virtus Roma72-62
20/10/13Virtus Roma v Brindisi67-59
21/04/13Virtus Roma v Brindisi88-82
30/12/12Brindisi v Virtus Roma82-86
23/01/11Brindisi v Virtus Roma80-84
17/10/10Virtus Roma v Brindisi86-61
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/20ACantu93-92 OT
05/01/20ACremona89-93
29/12/19HTreviso81-74
26/12/19HReggiana87-72
22/12/19AFortitudo Bologna72-78
14/12/19AVirtus Bologna87-99
08/12/19HSassari77-83
30/11/19ATrento67-78
24/11/19HPistoia100-67
10/11/19ATrieste80-72
Virtus Romalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/20HVirtus Bologna68-97
29/12/19AReggiana88-96
26/12/19AVenezia77-79
22/12/19HBrescia53-83
14/12/19ATrento88-82
08/12/19HTrieste82-72
01/12/19AVarese69-99
24/11/19HTreviso69-81
17/11/19HPesaro92-83
10/11/19ACantu76-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW59%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayLLLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%75%44%
Points / game83.885.082.8
Allowed / game81.176.685.1
Point differential+2.7+8.4-2.3
Avg total164.9161.6167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%38%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Virtus Roma
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeWLWLL44%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%44%38%
Points / game76.175.177.2
Allowed / game83.582.384.9
Point differential-7.4-7.2-7.6
Avg total159.6157.4162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna1816289%85.074.4+10.6
2 Sassari1714382%83.973.6+10.4
3 Brescia1712571%83.274.1+9.2
4 Olimpia Milano1711665%80.974.2+6.7
5 Brindisi1710759%83.881.1+2.7
6 Cremona1710759%79.779.7+0.0
7 Venezia1810856%78.474.7+3.7
8 Varese189950%83.080.2+2.8
9 Fortitudo Bologna189950%76.979.1-2.2
10 Cantu178947%76.978.8-1.8
11 Reggiana1881044%82.483.8-1.4
12 Trento1881044%77.980.6-2.7
13 Virtus Roma1771041%76.183.5-7.4
14 Treviso1861233%76.880.2-3.4
15 Trieste1851328%75.080.4-5.4
16 Pistoia1851328%73.282.8-9.6
17 Pesaro171166%78.590.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Brindisi201223211288
Virtus Roma15202318581
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