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Brisbane Capitals vs Logan Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 109-100
33-34 20-24 26-27 30-15
Position#4
Record7-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game99.6
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#10
Record5-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game95.4
Allowed / game95.1
AustraliaNBL1 North
Other2025
Meetings · Brisbane Capitals v Logan Thunder
18 Jul 2025
BRIS109
LOGA100
22 Jun 2024
BRIS83
LOGA86
03 Jun 2022
BRIS88
LOGA93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Capitals winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Logan Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane CapitalsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern District
#1
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A10/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A16/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
111-75
111
75
+36
A17/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
115-85
115
85
+30
A24/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
W
114-107
114
107
+7
H31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
99-90
99
90
+9
H08/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
92-103
92
103
-11
H20/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
114-79
114
79
+35
H28/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
L
125-130 OT
125
130
-5
H05/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
91-106
91
106
-15
A12/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
19-25
26-19
23-26
9-22
23-15
31-19
19-15
22-16
28-19
30-16
31-24
35-18
25-20
24-27
31-20
32-32
21-24
34-30
27-21
25-27
23-19
24-14
27-30
33-17
28-30
14-30
17-26
20-15
34-20
31-21
29-23
28-34
37-23
32-29
18-29
22-24
19-32
29-23
21-27
196.1Avg total
103.2Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)99.692.0191.6+7.664%
Season at home (5)108.8101.8210.6+7.060%
Season away (6)92.083.8175.8+8.267%
Last 10 (10)103.292.9196.1+10.370%
Last 5 (5)104.2101.6205.8+2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)87.087.5174.5-0.550%
vs Similar (10)93.787.5181.2+6.270%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)96.887.8184.5+9.069%
This opponent (Logan Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Logan ThunderAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Marlins
#12
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H10/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
86-88
86
88
-2
A17/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H23/05
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
W
127-116 OT
127
116
+11
H31/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
W
110-98
110
98
+12
H07/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A14/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
93-84
93
84
+9
A28/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
93-108
93
108
-15
H05/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
97-105
97
105
-8
A11/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
L
81-93
81
93
-12
A12/07
NBL1 North
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
21-23
24-21
16-19
24-23
25-31
21-13
16-21
22-32
20-14
21-20
21-20
25-28
21-24
32-25
26-27
22-28
32-19
34-20
22-31
25-26
19-20
27-22
19-19
32-21
19-20
14-17
28-26
30-36
19-31
17-22
27-19
24-34
26-27
21-23
26-21
22-20
27-23
17-26
15-24
190.0Avg total
94.6Scored
95.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)95.495.1190.5+0.342%
Season at home (6)101.3101.2202.5+0.233%
Season away (6)89.589.0178.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)94.695.4190.0-0.840%
Last 5 (5)90.895.4186.2-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)92.896.6189.4-3.820%
vs Similar (12)90.094.0184.0-4.050%
vs Weaker (13)92.781.8174.5+10.885%
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.4-2.4Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +4.7+4.7Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -1.1-1.1
Brisbane CapitalsLogan Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane CapitalsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern District
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A10/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A16/05
NBL1 North
Cairns Marlins
#12
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A17/05
NBL1 North
South West Metro Pirates
#6
W
60-38
60
38
+22
A24/05
NBL1 North
Southern District
#1
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H31/05
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H08/06
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H20/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
W
54-35
54
35
+19
H28/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H05/07
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A12/07
NBL1 North
94.9Avg total
50.4Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.443.589.9+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.843.594.3+7.379%-
Last 30 away (16)42.643.686.1-1.044%-
Last 10 (10)50.444.594.9+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)53.848.2102.0+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.846.092.8+0.850%-
vs Similar (10)45.142.387.4+2.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)47.143.790.8+3.462%-
This opponent (Logan Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Logan ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Marlins
#12
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H10/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A17/05
NBL1 North
Townsville Heat
#11
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H23/05
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H31/05
NBL1 North
Gold Coast Rollers
#3
W
54-47
54
47
+7
H07/06
NBL1 North
Ipswich Force
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A14/06
NBL1 North
Northside Wizards
#9
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A28/06
NBL1 North
Sunshine Coast Phoenix
#2
L
49-67
49
67
-18
H05/07
NBL1 North
Mackay Meteors
#5
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A11/07
NBL1 North
Rockhampton Rockets
#8
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A12/07
NBL1 North
98.5Avg total
47.9Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.145.392.4+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.744.992.6+2.967%-
Last 30 away (15)46.545.792.2+0.947%-
Last 10 (10)47.950.698.5-2.730%-
Last 5 (5)48.651.6100.2-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)48.252.6100.8-4.440%-
vs Similar (12)45.246.591.8-1.242%-
vs Weaker (13)48.541.389.8+7.277%-
This opponent (Brisbane Capitals) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Brisbane Capitals wins
4
Logan Thunder wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/25AGold Coast Rollers91-106
05/07/25HIpswich Force125-130 OT
28/06/25HSunshine Coast Phoenix114-79
20/06/25HMackay Meteors92-103
08/06/25HRockhampton Rockets99-90
31/05/25HSouthern District114-107
24/05/25ASouth West Metro Pirates115-85
17/05/25ACairns Marlins111-75
16/05/25ATownsville Heat82-71
10/05/25ASouthern District89-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/07/25ARockhampton Rockets81-93
11/07/25AMackay Meteors97-105
05/07/25HSunshine Coast Phoenix93-108
28/06/25ANorthside Wizards93-84
14/06/25AIpswich Force90-87
07/06/25HGold Coast Rollers110-98
31/05/25HIpswich Force127-116 OT
23/05/25HTownsville Heat84-86
17/05/25AGold Coast Rollers86-88
10/05/25HCairns Marlins85-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Capitals
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL64%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWWWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %64%60%67%
Points / game99.6108.892.0
Allowed / game92.0101.883.8
Point differential+7.6+7.0+8.2
Avg total191.6210.6175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %9%20%0%
Logan Thunder
NBL1 North 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL42%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%33%50%
Points / game95.4101.389.5
Allowed / game95.1101.289.0
Point differential+0.3+0.2+0.5
Avg total190.5202.5178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sunshine Coast Phoenix128467%91.787.0+4.7
2 Brisbane Capitals117464%99.692.0+7.6
3 Mackay Meteors138562%97.194.7+2.4
4 Gold Coast Rollers127558%96.993.1+3.8
5 Ipswich Force127558%95.596.0-0.5
6 South West Metro Pirates126650%91.391.2+0.2
7 Southern District126650%92.895.9-3.1
8 Northside Wizards136746%86.786.8-0.2
9 Rockhampton Rockets115645%93.494.4-1.0
10 Logan Thunder125742%95.495.1+0.3
11 Townsville Heat124833%87.488.2-0.8
12 Cairns Marlins123925%86.9100.0-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisbane Capitals33202630109
Logan Thunder34242715100
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