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Buducnost vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 85-69
22-10 23-13 19-30 21-16
Position#3
Record3-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#13
Record2-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game78.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 6
Domestic2018
Meetings · Buducnost v Petrol Olimpija
05 Nov 2018
BUD85
POL69
21 Jan 2018
BUD88
POL66
20 Nov 2016
BUD84
POL74
16 Jan 2016
BUD89
POL77
22 Nov 2014
BUD76
POL61
16 Nov 2013
BUD76
POL78
23 Mar 2013
BUD79
POL75
25 Dec 2011
BUD63
POL56
26 Feb 2011
BUD70
POL71
18 Oct 2009
BUD79
POL85
04 Oct 2008
BUD82
POL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H01/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
71-87
71
87
-16
H07/10
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H12/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A14/10
ABA League
Darussafaka
#16
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A16/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
68-78
68
78
-10
H18/10
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#6
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H22/10
ABA League
Real Madrid
#3
L
55-89
55
89
-34
A25/10
Euroleague
Cedevita
#2
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A28/10
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#7
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H02/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-14
26-19
17-16
18-15
13-22
18-23
19-22
21-20
11-22
20-20
20-15
20-25
20-22
21-13
26-21
18-22
25-14
10-25
14-14
14-18
16-14
25-20
21-24
6-20
22-12
26-16
9-15
22-16
15-21
16-23
13-21
11-24
25-9
11-11
12-16
10-27
15-18
16-13
16-19
20-22
144.6Avg total
70.3Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)75.870.2146.0+5.660%
Season at home (3)78.770.0148.7+8.767%
Season away (2)71.570.5142.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)70.374.3144.6-4.030%
Last 5 (5)65.472.2137.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)71.083.4154.4-12.414%
vs Similar (11)74.776.6151.4-1.945%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.267.6155.8+20.5100%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A11/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zadar
#11
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H14/10
ABA League
Promitheas
#17
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A17/10
Champions League
Mega Bemax
#7
L
77-81 OT
77
81
-4
A19/10
ABA League
Polzela
#5
W
98-95
98
95
+3
H21/10
Liga Nova KBM
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
61-92
61
92
-31
H24/10
Champions League
Cibona
#8
L
78-80 OT
78
80
-2
H27/10
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
98-89
98
89
+9
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Oostende
#27
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A30/10
Champions League
KK Primorska
#1
W
81-61
81
61
+20
H02/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
20-21
12-26
17-18
29-16
19-21
10-17
33-27
20-17
22-20
19-23
16-19
18-20
30-19
15-17
11-18
18-21
30-22
26-25
24-27
16-19
11-27
17-23
17-23
19-15
15-10
14-21
20-22
27-20
32-26
20-21
19-22
21-16
19-23
16-22
23-12
19-20
20-19
25-14
17-8
163.1Avg total
80.9Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.478.0160.4+4.440%
Season at home (3)85.375.7161.0+9.767%
Season away (2)78.081.5159.5-3.50%
Last 10 (10)80.982.2163.1-1.350%
Last 5 (5)79.479.0158.4+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)74.778.0152.7-3.333%
vs Similar (7)82.680.7163.3+1.957%
vs Weaker (15)83.973.9157.8+10.180%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -4.9-4.9Q4: +0.1+0.1
BuducnostPetrol Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H01/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H07/10
ABA League
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H12/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#9
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A14/10
ABA League
Darussafaka
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A16/10
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H18/10
Euroleague
FMP Beograd
#6
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H22/10
ABA League
Real Madrid
#3
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A25/10
Euroleague
Cedevita
#2
W
36-20
36
20
+16
A28/10
ABA League
Panathinaikos
#7
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H02/11
Euroleague
72.7Avg total
37.6Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.736.777.4+4.060%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.236.277.4+5.059%-
Last 30 away (13)40.137.577.5+2.662%-
Last 10 (10)37.635.172.7+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.431.468.8+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.343.177.4-8.914%-
vs Similar (11)39.236.275.4+3.064%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)46.532.578.9+14.091%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A11/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zadar
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H14/10
ABA League
Promitheas
#17
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A17/10
Champions League
Mega Bemax
#7
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A19/10
ABA League
Polzela
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H21/10
Liga Nova KBM
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
27-46
27
46
-19
H24/10
Champions League
Cibona
#8
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H27/10
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#8
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A28/10
Liga Nova KBM
Oostende
#27
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A30/10
Champions League
KK Primorska
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H02/11
Liga Nova KBM
82.3Avg total
42.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.679.9+2.767%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.638.278.8+2.467%-
Last 30 away (15)42.039.181.1+2.967%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.882.3+2.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.839.078.8+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.240.276.3-4.050%-
vs Similar (7)42.937.380.1+5.686%-
vs Weaker (15)43.538.181.6+5.367%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.417.9
46.6%
51.6%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.8
32.4%
33.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.613.3
67.9%
72.5%13.3
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.0
50.0%
51.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.6
37.7%
33.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.816.4
71.9%
72.5%16.4
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
LLLWLLWLLW
Petrol Olimpija
WWWLLWLLWL
#3
League position
#13
-5.4
Net rating
+4.4
98.4
Offensive rating
105.9
103.7
Defensive rating
101.6
47.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
17.5%
Turnover %
17.5%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
32.4%
3-point %
37.7%
57.5%
Assist %
69.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 105.9Defence103.7 · 101.6Shooting47.3% · 52.5%3-point %32.4% · 37.7%Ball care17.5% · 17.5%Off. rebounds30.3% · 27.2%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Buducnost   ■ Petrol Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Buducnost wins
3
Petrol Olimpija wins
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/18HPanathinaikos67-72
28/10/18ACedevita58-63
25/10/18AReal Madrid55-89
22/10/18HFMP Beograd79-59
18/10/18HMaccabi Tel Aviv68-78
16/10/18ADarussafaka63-71
14/10/18AIgokea85-78
12/10/18HOlimpia Milano71-82
07/10/18HCrvena zvezda71-87
01/10/18HKK Krka Novo mesto86-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/18HKK Primorska81-61
30/10/18AOostende79-73
28/10/18ATajfun Sentjur98-89
27/10/18HCibona78-80 OT
24/10/18HVirtus Bologna61-92
21/10/18HPolzela98-95
19/10/18AMega Bemax77-81 OT
17/10/18APromitheas77-79
14/10/18HZadar91-81
11/10/18AKK Krka Novo mesto69-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
ABA League 2018
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game75.878.771.5
Allowed / game70.270.070.5
Point differential+5.6+8.7+1.0
Avg total146.0148.7142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game82.485.378.0
Allowed / game78.075.781.5
Point differential+4.4+9.7-3.5
Avg total160.4161.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %40%33%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda660100%86.071.8+14.2
2 Mega Bemax65183%83.877.3+6.5
3 Buducnost53260%75.870.2+5.6
4 Cibona63350%80.380.5-0.2
5 Partizan63350%84.284.8-0.7
6 FMP Beograd63350%78.282.8-4.7
7 Petrol Olimpija52340%82.478.0+4.4
8 Cedevita62433%80.382.8-2.5
9 Igokea62433%80.583.8-3.3
10 Mornar Bar62433%80.885.3-4.5
11 Zadar62433%84.790.0-5.3
12 KK Krka Novo mesto62433%73.381.2-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buducnost2223192185
Petrol Olimpija1013301669
← all games of the day
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