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Buducnost vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 84-74
19-11 26-21 22-22 17-20
Position#4
Record8-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game75.4
vs
Position#10
Record3-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game83.9
EuropeABA LeagueRound 10
Domestic2016
Meetings · Buducnost v Petrol Olimpija
05 Nov 2018
BUD85
POL69
21 Jan 2018
BUD88
POL66
20 Nov 2016
BUD84
POL74
16 Jan 2016
BUD89
POL77
22 Nov 2014
BUD76
POL61
16 Nov 2013
BUD76
POL78
23 Mar 2013
BUD79
POL75
25 Dec 2011
BUD63
POL56
26 Feb 2011
BUD70
POL71
18 Oct 2009
BUD79
POL85
04 Oct 2008
BUD82
POL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#13
L
77-86
77
86
-9
A12/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#5
W
93-92
93
92
+1
A15/10
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
62-86
62
86
-24
H19/10
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#8
W
85-68
85
68
+17
H22/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
64-61
64
61
+3
A29/10
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A02/11
Eurocup
Cibona
#7
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H05/11
ABA League
Bayern
#2
L
44-68
44
68
-24
H09/11
Eurocup
Karpos
#11
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A12/11
ABA League
Murcia
#13
L
75-86
75
86
-11
H16/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
20-19
16-22
25-26
24-21
25-21
22-21
22-29
19-31
15-24
14-19
14-12
23-20
27-22
18-9
17-17
18-11
12-26
15-9
19-15
16-25
19-17
22-28
22-14
23-16
28-25
21-27
23-11
12-21
5-10
13-19
14-18
25-18
8-25
23-21
15-13
21-15
20-20
20-23
14-28
153.2Avg total
74.5Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.475.4160.9+10.089%
Season at home (4)94.074.5168.5+19.5100%
Season away (5)78.676.2154.8+2.480%
Last 10 (10)74.578.7153.2-4.240%
Last 5 (5)72.878.8151.6-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.482.0149.4-14.60%
vs Similar (3)70.761.7132.3+9.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.172.7155.8+10.482%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H26/10
Eurocup
Helios Domzale
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A29/10
Liga Nova KBM
Karpos
#11
W
87-83 OT
87
83
+4
A31/10
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A02/11
Eurocup
MZT Skopje
#13
L
96-97
96
97
-1
A06/11
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#3
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#9
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A11/11
Liga Nova KBM
FMP Beograd
#9
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
H13/11
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A16/11
Eurocup
Tajfun Sentjur
#7
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
23-18
15-21
20-27
17-20
17-23
23-19
27-14
19-13
19-17
17-20
18-23
16-24
16-22
14-15
28-26
33-19
23-31
24-22
16-25
18-24
16-23
23-16
17-18
17-16
14-13
13-13
20-15
22-27
15-22
22-16
20-14
18-23
13-16
17-18
16-20
17-11
19-26
23-15
29-19
159.7Avg total
79.4Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.483.9167.2-0.538%
Season at home (3)80.782.0162.7-1.367%
Season away (5)85.085.0170.0+0.020%
Last 10 (10)79.480.3159.7-0.950%
Last 5 (5)75.874.2150.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.982.9157.8-8.010%
vs Similar (12)80.482.8163.2-2.333%
vs Weaker (8)79.474.1153.5+5.288%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +1.0+1.0
BuducnostPetrol Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/10
Eurocup
Igokea
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A15/10
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
34-55
34
55
-21
H19/10
Eurocup
Mornar Bar
#8
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H22/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A29/10
ABA League
Zenit Petersburg
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A02/11
Eurocup
Cibona
#7
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H05/11
ABA League
Bayern
#2
L
17-31
17
31
-14
H09/11
Eurocup
Karpos
#11
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A12/11
ABA League
Murcia
#13
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H16/11
Eurocup
78.2Avg total
37.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.536.376.8+4.273%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.137.379.4+4.787%-
Last 30 away (15)38.935.374.1+3.660%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.678.2-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.438.473.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.640.272.8-7.620%-
vs Similar (3)34.032.766.7+1.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.135.979.0+7.286%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H26/10
Eurocup
Helios Domzale
#8
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A29/10
Liga Nova KBM
Karpos
#11
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A31/10
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A02/11
Eurocup
MZT Skopje
#13
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A06/11
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#9
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A11/11
Liga Nova KBM
FMP Beograd
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H13/11
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A16/11
Eurocup
Tajfun Sentjur
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/11
Liga Nova KBM
77.9Avg total
36.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.041.279.2-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.941.580.4-2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)37.240.978.1-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.177.9-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)33.840.274.0-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.139.875.9-3.730%-
vs Similar (12)39.241.981.1-2.842%-
vs Weaker (8)38.841.880.5-3.025%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.1 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.118.6
52.8%
51.9%37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.9
41.4%
34.3%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.717.3
76.5%
73.3%17.3
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.016.0
51.6%
51.9%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.4
38.5%
34.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws25.619.8
77.3%
73.3%19.8
They take 55.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/5 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
LLLWLWWLWL
Petrol Olimpija
WLWWLLLWWL
#4
League position
#10
+12.8
Net rating
-3.4
115.7
Offensive rating
104.1
102.9
Defensive rating
107.5
56.6%
Effective FG%
54.3%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
19.2%
Turnover %
22.2%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.46
41.4%
3-point %
38.5%
65.6%
Assist %
66.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence115.7 · 104.1Defence102.9 · 107.5Shooting56.6% · 54.3%3-point %41.4% · 38.5%Ball care19.2% · 22.2%Off. rebounds29.4% · 25.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Buducnost   ■ Petrol Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Buducnost wins
4
Petrol Olimpija wins
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/16HMurcia75-86
12/11/16AKarpos71-77
09/11/16HBayern44-68
05/11/16HCibona95-79
02/11/16AZenit Petersburg79-84
29/10/16APartizan64-61
22/10/16HMornar Bar85-68
19/10/16HUnicaja62-86
15/10/16AIgokea93-92
12/10/16AMurcia77-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/16HTajfun Sentjur88-71
16/11/16ALokomotiv Kuban64-77
13/11/16HFMP Beograd89-85 OT
11/11/16ASencur64-57
07/11/16HZlatorog Lasko74-81
06/11/16AMZT Skopje96-97
02/11/16AValencia74-87
31/10/16AKarpos87-83 OT
29/10/16AHelios Domzale84-76
26/10/16HHapoel M. Jerusalem74-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
ABA League 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game85.494.078.6
Allowed / game75.474.576.2
Point differential+10.0+19.5+2.4
Avg total160.9168.5154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%100%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%67%20%
Points / game83.480.785.0
Allowed / game83.982.085.0
Point differential-0.5-1.3+0.0
Avg total167.2162.7170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %38%33%40%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda990100%84.266.4+17.8
2 Buducnost98189%85.475.4+10.0
3 Partizan107370%76.973.1+3.8
4 Cedevita96367%87.076.1+10.9
5 Cibona96367%84.380.8+3.6
6 KK Krka Novo mesto95456%76.480.3-3.9
7 Igokea105550%76.876.5+0.3
8 Mega Bemax104640%83.785.8-2.1
9 Zadar104640%79.790.5-10.8
10 Petrol Olimpija83538%83.483.9-0.5
11 FMP Beograd103730%73.077.8-4.8
12 MZT Skopje103730%76.184.5-8.4
13 Mornar Bar102820%77.481.3-3.9
14 Karpos91811%72.381.4-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buducnost1926221784
Petrol Olimpija1121222074
← all games of the day
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