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Petrol Olimpija vs Buducnost Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 22 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-79
23-19 22-21 19-22 17-17
Position#10
Record9-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.5
Allowed / game81.9
vs
Position#4
Record16-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game75.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 23
Domestic2016
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Buducnost
28 Jan 2019
POL72
BUD77
29 Oct 2017
POL79
BUD88
22 Feb 2017
POL81
BUD79
24 Oct 2015
POL63
BUD67
15 Feb 2015
POL77
BUD66
24 Feb 2014
POL69
BUD73
17 Dec 2012
POL95
BUD92
17 Mar 2012
POL72
BUD68
27 Nov 2010
POL68
BUD53
17 Jan 2010
POL78
BUD82
23 Dec 2008
POL81
BUD79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Buducnost winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#3
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
A25/01
Liga Nova KBM
Karpos
#11
L
92-97
92
97
-5
H29/01
ABA League
Sencur
#9
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H01/02
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#13
L
72-91
72
91
-19
H05/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#8
W
79-71
79
71
+8
H08/02
Liga Nova KBM
FMP Beograd
#9
L
79-89
79
89
-10
A11/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#15
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H14/02
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#15
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A15/02
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#8
W
67-49
67
49
+18
A18/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
H19/02
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
14-17
26-8
22-24
24-23
18-28
29-23
21-23
21-33
29-27
31-14
15-18
12-16
21-26
15-23
24-26
18-18
19-19
29-17
13-17
21-20
20-20
15-14
23-35
26-19
24-19
21-16
16-16
19-8
21-23
12-10
16-22
23-11
7-19
23-9
14-10
17-12
17-18
23-23
16-20
160.5Avg total
81.6Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.581.9161.3-2.441%
Season at home (11)78.779.7158.5-1.055%
Season away (11)80.284.0164.2-3.827%
Last 10 (10)81.678.9160.5+2.770%
Last 5 (5)77.470.4147.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.882.2156.0-8.420%
vs Similar (12)77.278.8156.0-1.742%
vs Weaker (13)83.771.1154.8+12.6100%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#2
L
66-80
66
80
-14
A14/12
Eurocup
Cedevita
#3
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H18/12
ABA League
Zadar
#12
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A26/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#6
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H30/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
A08/01
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H14/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A22/01
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H28/01
ABA League
Cibona
#7
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A06/02
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
95-61
95
61
+34
H11/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
15-20
13-22
22-22
24-16
26-31
19-19
15-20
13-28
27-19
23-16
13-15
11-26
26-11
27-21
24-22
20-19
13-19
21-17
21-12
26-12
19-17
16-17
14-14
14-19
15-15
22-21
20-23
23-17
17-14
18-20
16-17
30-25
19-24
29-9
16-29
35-15
23-18
17-12
20-16
154.3Avg total
79.8Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.175.5157.5+6.673%
Season at home (11)84.573.1157.6+11.582%
Season away (11)79.677.8157.5+1.864%
Last 10 (10)79.874.5154.3+5.360%
Last 5 (5)81.870.8152.6+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.784.1153.8-14.40%
vs Similar (4)75.571.2146.8+4.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.376.4161.6+8.976%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
Petrol OlimpijaBuducnost
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#3
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A25/01
Liga Nova KBM
Karpos
#11
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H29/01
ABA League
Sencur
#9
L
50-60
50
60
-10
H01/02
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#13
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H05/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#8
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/02
Liga Nova KBM
FMP Beograd
#9
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A11/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#15
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H14/02
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#15
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A15/02
Slovenian Cup
Zlatorog Lasko
#8
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A18/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H19/02
Slovenian Cup
78.6Avg total
38.4Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.877.6+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.939.180.0+1.953%-
Last 30 away (13)36.138.574.5-2.446%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.278.6-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.033.872.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.244.682.8-6.420%-
vs Similar (12)35.539.975.4-4.433%-
vs Weaker (13)42.235.577.7+6.677%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A14/12
Eurocup
Cedevita
#3
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H18/12
ABA League
Zadar
#12
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A26/12
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#6
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H30/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A08/01
ABA League
Igokea
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H14/01
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A22/01
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H28/01
ABA League
Cibona
#7
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A06/02
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H11/02
ABA League
79.3Avg total
41.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.580.3+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.138.581.6+4.573%-
Last 30 away (15)38.640.579.1-1.927%-
Last 10 (10)41.238.179.3+3.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.235.279.4+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.341.675.9-7.222%-
vs Similar (4)38.536.875.2+1.875%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.839.183.9+5.859%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.4
50.3%
51.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.2
31.9%
34.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws21.613.4
62.0%
73.3%13.4
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.7
53.6%
51.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.1
34.5%
34.3%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.218.3
75.6%
73.3%18.3
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
WWWWLWLWLW
Buducnost
WWWLWWWLLL
#10
League position
#4
-2.0
Net rating
+6.7
102.7
Offensive rating
104.9
104.7
Defensive rating
98.2
49.3%
Effective FG%
52.8%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
16.4%
Turnover %
19.3%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
24.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.43
31.9%
3-point %
34.5%
60.5%
Assist %
67.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 104.9Defence104.7 · 98.2Shooting49.3% · 52.8%3-point %31.9% · 34.5%Ball care16.4% · 19.3%Off. rebounds32.0% · 24.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ Buducnost
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Petrol Olimpija wins
6
Buducnost wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/17HKK Krka Novo mesto86-81 OT
18/02/17AZlatorog Lasko67-49
15/02/17AHelios Domzale68-63
14/02/17HHelios Domzale87-70
11/02/17AFMP Beograd79-89
08/02/17HHelios Domzale79-71
05/02/17HMZT Skopje72-91
01/02/17HSencur96-92
29/01/17HKarpos92-97
25/01/17AZlatorog Lasko90-86 OT
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/17HKarpos95-61
06/02/17ACibona94-87
28/01/17HPartizan74-68
22/01/17AMornar Bar71-78
14/01/17HIgokea75-60
08/01/17AKK Krka Novo mesto75-67
30/12/16HMega Bemax88-80
26/12/16AZadar76-78
18/12/16HCedevita84-86
14/12/16ABayern66-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2016
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL41%
HomeWLWLL55%
AwayLWLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%55%27%
Points / game79.578.780.2
Allowed / game81.979.784.0
Point differential-2.4-1.0-3.8
Avg total161.3158.5164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%18%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %14%9%18%
Buducnost
ABA League 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayLLWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%82%64%
Points / game82.184.579.6
Allowed / game75.573.177.8
Point differential+6.6+11.5+1.8
Avg total157.5157.6157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%64%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2322196%85.767.5+18.2
2 Cedevita2317674%88.980.3+8.6
3 Buducnost2216673%82.175.5+6.6
4 Partizan2216673%79.574.2+5.3
5 Cibona23111248%79.980.0-0.2
6 Igokea22101245%74.978.7-3.8
7 FMP Beograd23101343%78.079.9-1.8
8 Petrol Olimpija2291341%79.581.9-2.4
9 Mega Bemax2391439%81.682.7-1.1
10 Karpos2391439%74.880.6-5.8
11 MZT Skopje2381535%78.482.8-4.4
12 KK Krka Novo mesto2271532%71.880.7-8.9
13 Zadar2271532%77.987.4-9.5
14 Mornar Bar2371630%77.378.7-1.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija2322191781
Buducnost1921221779
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