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Mega Bemax vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 19 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 81-77 (OT)
20-18 19-30 17-15 18-11 7-3
Position#7
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game75.3
vs
Position#13
Record2-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 4
Domestic2018
Meetings · Mega Bemax v Petrol Olimpija
19 Oct 2018
MBE81
POL77
15 Oct 2017
MBE77
POL86
29 Sep 2016
MBE86
POL85
13 Feb 2016
MBE78
POL81
25 Oct 2014
MBE85
POL66
15 Mar 2014
MBE80
POL85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Bemax winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BemaxLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost Admiral
#12
W
125-67
125
67
+58
A09/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
77-89
77
89
-12
A12/05
Super League
Zlatibor Cajetina
#7
W
96-90
96
90
+6
H15/05
Super League
Partizan
#2
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A22/05
Super League
Partizan
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
H24/05
Super League
Vrsac
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H28/05
Super League
Vrsac
#9
W
83-61
83
61
+22
A30/05
Super League
Igokea
#9
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A30/09
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
89-61
89
61
+28
H06/10
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
W
95-86
95
86
+9
A13/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
38-19
30-9
31-22
16-17
20-30
18-21
23-21
25-15
26-32
21-29
24-14
20-22
14-22
17-30
17-23
26-20
20-26
20-24
13-23
18-17
30-12
14-23
32-24
22-15
20-15
18-16
23-15
18-15
22-18
21-20
19-26
17-15
23-20
26-16
23-10
27-23
20-24
26-21
22-18
168.5Avg total
88.6Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.075.3163.3+12.7100%
Season at home (1)89.061.0150.0+28.0100%
Season away (2)87.582.5170.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.679.9168.5+8.770%
Last 5 (5)88.272.6160.8+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.287.8166.0-9.618%
vs Similar ◀ (8)83.179.9163.0+3.262%
vs Weaker (10)92.877.6170.4+15.280%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
89-79
89
79
+10
A27/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
H29/05
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A21/09
ABA Supercup
KK Primorska
#1
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H24/09
Supercup
Mornar Bar
#10
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H28/09
ABA League
Partizan
#4
L
79-82
79
82
-3
A06/10
ABA League
Strasbourg
#13
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H09/10
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
69-91
69
91
-22
A11/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zadar
#11
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H14/10
ABA League
Promitheas
#17
L
77-79
77
79
-2
A17/10
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
28-17
17-23
23-16
30-28
17-17
21-21
18-20
28-20
14-20
9-20
9-26
14-21
14-24
24-18
19-20
25-14
15-18
24-17
23-17
16-18
19-16
21-22
23-26
21-19
13-27
22-24
15-11
20-26
20-21
12-26
17-18
29-16
19-21
10-17
33-27
20-17
22-20
19-23
16-19
160.7Avg total
78.9Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.776.3162.0+9.367%
Season at home (2)89.073.5162.5+15.5100%
Season away (1)79.082.0161.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)78.981.8160.7-2.940%
Last 5 (5)77.482.8160.2-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)75.780.7156.3-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)83.375.0158.3+8.383%
vs Weaker (19)82.874.3157.2+8.579%
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.9+3.9Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
Mega BemaxPetrol Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BemaxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost Admiral
#12
W
64-36
64
36
+28
A09/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#4
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A12/05
Super League
Zlatibor Cajetina
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H15/05
Super League
Partizan
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A22/05
Super League
Partizan
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H24/05
Super League
Vrsac
#9
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H28/05
Super League
Vrsac
#9
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A30/05
Super League
Igokea
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A30/09
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H06/10
ABA League
Cedevita
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A13/10
ABA League
84.2Avg total
44.8Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.841.384.1+1.543%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.741.587.2+4.257%-
Last 30 away (16)40.241.181.3-0.931%-
Last 10 (10)44.839.484.2+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.434.878.2+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.445.084.4-5.60%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.441.280.6-1.950%-
vs Weaker (10)48.237.785.9+10.580%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A27/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H29/05
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A21/09
ABA Supercup
KK Primorska
#1
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H24/09
Supercup
Mornar Bar
#10
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H28/09
ABA League
Partizan
#4
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A06/10
ABA League
Strasbourg
#13
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H09/10
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A11/10
Liga Nova KBM
Zadar
#11
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H14/10
ABA League
Promitheas
#17
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A17/10
Champions League
80.8Avg total
40.5Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.179.4+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.437.479.8+5.062%-
Last 30 away (14)40.138.979.1+1.257%-
Last 10 (10)40.540.380.8+0.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.840.280.0-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.039.076.0-2.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.837.381.2+6.567%-
vs Weaker (19)41.937.779.6+4.258%-
This opponent (Mega Bemax) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Bemaxtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Bemax: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.5
53.4%
51.6%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.58.5
36.2%
33.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.815.0
65.8%
72.5%15.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
47%
32%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.0
50.0%
51.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.6
37.7%
33.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws22.816.4
71.9%
72.5%16.4
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Bemax
WWWWWLLWLW
Petrol Olimpija
LWLLLWLLWW
#7
League position
#13
+6.3
Net rating
+4.4
107.3
Offensive rating
105.9
101.1
Defensive rating
101.6
53.7%
Effective FG%
52.5%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
19.2%
Turnover %
17.5%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
36.2%
3-point %
37.7%
63.5%
Assist %
69.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 105.9Defence101.1 · 101.6Shooting53.7% · 52.5%3-point %36.2% · 37.7%Ball care19.2% · 17.5%Off. rebounds34.3% · 27.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Mega Bemax   ■ Petrol Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mega Bemax wins
6
Petrol Olimpija wins
Mega Bemaxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/18ACedevita95-86
06/10/18HFMP Beograd89-61
30/09/18AIgokea80-79
30/05/18AVrsac83-61
28/05/18HVrsac94-76
24/05/18HPartizan79-93
22/05/18APartizan68-97
15/05/18HZlatibor Cajetina96-90
12/05/18ABorac Mozzart77-89
09/05/18AMladost Admiral125-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/18APromitheas77-79
14/10/18HZadar91-81
11/10/18AKK Krka Novo mesto69-91
09/10/18HStrasbourg71-81
06/10/18APartizan79-82
28/09/18HMornar Bar87-66
24/09/18HKK Primorska71-83
21/09/18ACrvena zvezda60-86
29/05/18HKK Krka Novo mesto95-90 OT
27/05/18AKK Krka Novo mesto89-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Bemax
ABA League 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.089.087.5
Allowed / game75.361.082.5
Point differential+12.7+28.0+5.0
Avg total163.3150.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game85.789.079.0
Allowed / game76.373.582.0
Point differential+9.3+15.5-3.0
Avg total162.0162.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda330100%81.768.3+13.3
2 Mega Bemax330100%88.075.3+12.7
3 Petrol Olimpija32167%85.776.3+9.3
4 Buducnost32167%80.776.3+4.3
5 Partizan32167%87.786.7+1.0
6 FMP Beograd32167%84.387.7-3.3
7 Cedevita31233%88.389.0-0.7
8 Igokea31233%81.083.0-2.0
9 Mornar Bar31233%79.787.0-7.3
10 KK Krka Novo mesto31233%70.080.7-10.7
11 Cibona3030%80.085.7-5.7
12 Zadar3030%84.095.0-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Mega Bemax20191718781
Petrol Olimpija18301511377
← all games of the day
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