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Buducnost vs Split Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-58
18-16 19-19 22-10 13-13
Position#2
Record5-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#8
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game81.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 7· Moraca Sports Center
Domestic2023
Meetings · Buducnost v Split
28 Sep 2024
BUD97
SPL75
11 Nov 2023
BUD72
SPL58
02 Oct 2022
BUD94
SPL59
10 Oct 2021
BUD75
SPL66
03 Oct 2020
BUD84
SPL59
09 Mar 2013
BUD66
SPL47
11 Oct 2008
BUD85
SPL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buducnost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuducnostLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBuducnost
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#13
W
87-61
87
61
+26
87avg 74
A07/10
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#15
L
77-79
77
79
-2
69avg 74
A11/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
82-69
82
69
+13
71avg 74
H14/10
ABA League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
103-89
103
89
+14
97avg 74
H17/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#12
W
93-85
93
85
+8
78avg 74
H20/10
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
67avg 74
A25/10
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#4
W
73-71
73
71
+2
66avg 74
H28/10
ABA League
JL Bourg
#2
L
73-78
73
78
-5
69avg 74
A01/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
86-95
86
95
-9
78avg 74
A05/11
ABA League
Aris
#11
L
63-65
63
65
-2
53avg 74
H08/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
24-21
17-16
26-9
20-25
18-25
20-19
19-10
24-20
21-14
19-23
18-12
21-20
29-24
24-22
29-23
19-16
24-25
24-15
26-29
25-25
18-23
15-20
16-21
18-13
23-18
17-22
15-18
21-17
22-21
13-21
17-19
18-21
24-32
21-16
23-26
20-11
19-23
17-17
7-14
159.2Avg total
81.1Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.375.7163.0+11.783%
Season at home (4)87.874.5162.2+13.2100%
Season away (2)86.578.0164.5+8.550%
Last 10 (10)81.178.1159.2+3.050%
Last 5 (5)73.879.6153.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.789.9160.6-19.10%
vs Similar (5)74.275.6149.8-1.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.475.7165.2+13.789%
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
80-62
80
62
+18
74avg 73
H08/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
69avg 73
A12/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
68-97
68
97
-29
55avg 73
A14/10
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
74-60
74
60
+14
66avg 73
H15/10
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
75-61
75
61
+14
70avg 73
H20/10
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
99-67
99
67
+32
99avg 73
A22/10
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
L
66-84
66
84
-18
54avg 73
A27/10
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
57-63
57
63
-6
50avg 73
H30/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 73
A02/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#3
L
53-76
53
76
-23
49avg 73
H05/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
24-11
16-22
23-11
20-18
16-16
17-21
23-17
23-27
9-28
16-16
20-26
19-14
19-14
24-13
12-19
20-6
16-29
21-12
18-14
20-25
24-17
30-17
25-8
21-25
10-19
23-19
12-21
17-20
13-15
14-11
13-17
23-28
19-16
21-15
17-29
13-22
16-22
11-20
13-12
145.8Avg total
72.8Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.781.5152.2-10.817%
Season at home (4)72.577.0149.5-4.525%
Season away (2)67.090.5157.5-23.50%
Last 10 (10)72.873.0145.8-0.250%
Last 5 (5)71.075.6146.6-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)68.886.0154.8-17.20%
vs Similar (11)79.983.8163.7-3.936%
vs Weaker (15)85.369.0154.3+16.380%
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
BuducnostSplit
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BuducnostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#13
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A07/10
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#15
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A11/10
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H14/10
ABA League
Slask Wroclaw
#18
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H17/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H20/10
ABA League
Cluj-Napoca
#4
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A25/10
Eurocup
Mega Basket
#4
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H28/10
ABA League
JL Bourg
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A01/11
Eurocup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A05/11
ABA League
Aris
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/11
Eurocup
83.7Avg total
42.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.982.7+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.739.282.9+4.469%-
Last 30 away (14)39.742.782.4-3.043%-
Last 10 (10)42.840.983.7+1.970%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.882.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.146.782.9-10.614%-
vs Similar (5)38.240.678.8-2.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.138.783.7+6.478%-
This opponent (Split) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H08/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A12/10
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
32-55
32
55
-23
A14/10
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#5
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H15/10
Premijer liga
Borac Mozzart
#10
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H20/10
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A22/10
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A27/10
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H30/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A02/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#3
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H05/11
ABA League
74.9Avg total
35.9Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.678.8-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.236.876.9+3.461%-
Last 30 away (12)37.843.881.6-6.142%-
Last 10 (10)35.939.074.9-3.150%-
Last 5 (5)35.241.877.0-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)34.845.580.2-10.80%-
vs Similar (11)39.541.781.3-2.255%-
vs Weaker (15)40.136.576.6+3.767%-
This opponent (Buducnost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Buducnosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Buducnost: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.821.7
55.9%
54.3%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.88.1
35.5%
34.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.512.4
75.2%
73.8%12.4
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.6
47.1%
54.3%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.8
31.5%
34.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.113.4
70.2%
73.8%13.4
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Buducnost
LLLWLWWWLW
Split
LLLLWWWLWW
#2
League position
#8
+4.2
Net rating
+0.0
111.2
Offensive rating
97.6
107.0
Defensive rating
97.6
55.0%
Effective FG%
47.1%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
16.1%
Turnover %
20.6%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.5%
3-point %
31.5%
54.7%
Assist %
64.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 97.6Defence107.0 · 97.6Shooting55.0% · 47.1%3-point %35.5% · 31.5%Ball care16.1% · 20.6%Off. rebounds27.3% · 33.2%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Buducnost   ■ Split
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Buducnost wins
3
Split wins
DateGameScore
05/01/23Split v Buducnost87-85
02/10/22Buducnost v Split94-59
23/04/22Split v Buducnost61-72
10/10/21Buducnost v Split75-66
09/01/21Split v Buducnost78-77
03/10/20Buducnost v Split84-59
09/03/13Buducnost v Split66-47
01/12/12Split v Buducnost71-69
10/01/09Split v Buducnost64-75
11/10/08Buducnost v Split85-68
Buducnostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23HAris63-65
05/11/23ACrvena zvezda86-95
01/11/23AJL Bourg73-78
28/10/23HMega Basket73-71
25/10/23ACluj-Napoca74-89
20/10/23HCibona93-85
17/10/23HSlask Wroclaw103-89
14/10/23HKK Krka Novo mesto82-69
11/10/23ATurk Telekom77-79
07/10/23AMornar Bar87-61
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23HPartizan53-76
02/11/23AZadar80-88
30/10/23HCibona57-63
27/10/23AFMP Beograd66-84
22/10/23ADubrava99-67
20/10/23HBorac Mozzart75-61
15/10/23HDinamo Zagreb74-60
14/10/23ACedevita Olimpija68-97
12/10/23ADubrovnik76-72
08/10/23HCedevita Junior80-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buducnost
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%100%50%
Points / game87.387.886.5
Allowed / game75.774.578.0
Point differential+11.7+13.2+8.5
Avg total163.0162.2164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Split
ABA League 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game70.772.567.0
Allowed / game81.577.090.5
Point differential-10.8-4.5-23.5
Avg total152.2149.5157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan65183%93.771.5+22.2
2 Crvena zvezda65183%88.876.2+12.7
3 Buducnost65183%87.375.7+11.7
4 Cedevita Olimpija75271%84.183.9+0.3
5 Igokea64267%79.277.2+2.0
6 Studentski Centar74357%84.782.3+2.4
7 Zadar63350%83.379.7+3.7
8 Mega Basket63350%84.882.0+2.8
9 Borac Mozzart73443%79.080.6-1.6
10 FMP Beograd73443%82.484.1-1.7
11 Split61517%70.781.5-10.8
12 Cibona61517%76.288.5-12.3
13 KK Krka Novo mesto61517%75.388.8-13.5
14 Mornar Bar61517%72.289.8-17.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Buducnost1819221372
Split1619101358
← all games of the day
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