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Buffalo vs Northern Illinois Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 70-60
36-29 34-31
Position#109
Record18-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game72.2
Buffalo 🏆
USA
vs
Northern Illinois
USA
Position#320
Record8-19
FormWWLLL
Points / game64.8
Allowed / game72.4
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Buffalo v Northern Illinois
17 Feb 2026
BUFF70
NORT72
08 Mar 2024
BUFF68
NORT78
07 Jan 2023
BUFF80
NORT62
26 Feb 2022
BUFF70
NORT60
04 Jan 2020
BUFF72
NORT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Buffalo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Northern Illinois winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BuffaloUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#21
L
75-86
75
86
-11
A26/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
53-74
53
74
-21
H29/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
74-54
74
54
+20
A05/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
102-64
102
64
+38
H09/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H12/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
112-85
112
85
+27
A16/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
83-69
83
69
+14
A17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H19/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
86-84
86
84
+2
A23/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
79-68
79
68
+11
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
41-41
34-45
20-37
33-37
34-27
40-27
50-35
52-29
38-36
42-38
51-38
61-47
38-30
45-39
33-38
54-35
45-40
41-44
37-32
42-36
156.2Avg total
83.1Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)81.572.2153.7+9.369%
Season at home (11)84.169.6153.7+14.573%
Season away (15)79.674.0153.6+5.667%
Last 10 (10)83.173.1156.2+10.080%
Last 5 (5)89.475.8165.2+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.086.0161.0-11.00%
vs Similar (9)70.272.3142.6-2.144%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.372.3157.7+13.083%
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#341
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
75-56
75
56
+19
A02/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A05/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H09/02
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
72-100
72
100
-28
H12/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A16/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A18/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H19/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A23/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
68-79
68
79
-11
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-33
35-36
38-30
37-26
31-35
34-52
33-35
31-35
35-53
37-47
27-27
37-31
22-25
44-38
38-37
37-41
34-40
38-34
32-37
36-42
141.8Avg total
68.4Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)64.872.4137.3-7.630%
Season at home (9)69.375.2144.6-5.922%
Season away (18)62.671.1133.6-8.533%
Last 10 (10)68.473.4141.8-5.030%
Last 5 (5)69.070.4139.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)65.577.3142.7-11.823%
vs Similar (6)64.065.0129.0-1.033%
vs Weaker (2)62.552.0114.5+10.5100%
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: -1.6-1.6
BuffaloNorthern Illinois
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BuffaloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#21
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A26/01
NCAA
Ohio
#47
L
20-37
20
37
-17
H29/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#341
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A05/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H09/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H12/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A16/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A17/02
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H19/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A23/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#320
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A25/02
NCAA
74.1Avg total
38.7Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.234.571.6+2.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.133.470.4+3.771%-
Last 30 away (16)37.235.472.7+1.862%-
Last 10 (10)38.735.474.1+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.835.676.4+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.041.082.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (9)30.634.264.8-3.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.834.774.6+5.178%-
This opponent (Northern Illinois) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Northern IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Michigan
#341
L
28-33
28
33
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#335
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A02/02
NCAA
Bowling Green
#256
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H09/02
NCAA
Toledo
#21
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H12/02
NCAA
Ball State
#237
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A16/02
NCAA
Akron
#57
L
22-25
22
25
-3
A18/02
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#240
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H19/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A23/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#109
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H25/02
NCAA
67.0Avg total
31.8Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.434.664.0-5.223%-
Last 30 at home (10)32.435.167.5-2.730%-
Last 30 away (20)27.934.462.2-6.520%-
Last 10 (10)31.835.267.0-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)30.633.263.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)29.636.165.7-6.518%-
vs Similar (6)29.732.261.8-2.533%-
vs Weaker (2)26.025.051.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Buffalo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Buffalo wins
1
Northern Illinois wins
DateGameScore
25/02/22Northern Illinois v Buffalo68-79
23/02/21Northern Illinois v Buffalo74-102
04/01/20Buffalo v Northern Illinois72-73
Buffalolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/22ANorthern Illinois79-68
23/02/22AMiami (Ohio)86-84
19/02/22HWestern Michigan87-73
17/02/22AEastern Michigan83-69
16/02/22ABowling Green112-85
12/02/22HBall State80-74
09/02/22HEastern Michigan102-64
05/02/22ACentral Michigan74-54
29/01/22HOhio53-74
26/01/22AToledo75-86
Northern Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/22HBuffalo68-79
23/02/22AEastern Michigan72-74
19/02/22HMiami (Ohio)75-78
18/02/22AAkron66-63
16/02/22ABall State64-58
12/02/22HToledo72-100
09/02/22HAkron64-70
05/02/22ABowling Green65-87
02/02/22AWestern Michigan75-56
29/01/22HCentral Michigan63-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Buffalo
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW69%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %69%73%67%
Points / game81.584.179.6
Allowed / game72.269.674.0
Point differential+9.3+14.5+5.6
Avg total153.7153.7153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%64%47%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Northern Illinois
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL30%
HomeLLLLL22%
AwayWLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27918
Win %30%22%33%
Points / game64.869.362.6
Allowed / game72.475.271.1
Point differential-7.6-5.9-8.5
Avg total137.3144.6133.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (1)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toledo2923679%80.768.5+12.2
2 Ohio2923679%74.867.3+7.5
3 Buffalo2618869%81.572.2+9.3
4 Akron2819968%71.463.3+8.1
5 Kent State2718967%71.564.1+7.4
6 UMass26121446%75.177.7-2.6
7 Ball State27121544%75.577.7-2.2
8 Bowling Green28121643%81.680.1+1.5
9 Miami (Ohio)29121741%75.273.9+1.4
10 Eastern Michigan28101836%69.976.2-6.4
11 Northern Illinois2781930%64.872.4-7.6
12 Central Michigan2671927%66.178.2-12.0
13 Western Michigan2862221%64.876.4-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Buffalo363470
Northern Illinois293160
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