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Bulgaria vs Norway Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 88-57
27-10 25-17 22-12 14-18
Position#5
Record2-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#7
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeEuroBasketRound 6· Arena Botevgrad
Other2029
Meetings · Bulgaria v Norway
05 Jul 2026
BULG88
NORW57
29 Jul 2023
BULG91
NORW69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bulgaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Norway winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#19
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H25/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
W
81-77 OT
81
77
+4
H20/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A06/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H16/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
70-97
70
97
-27
A20/08
World Cup
Armenia
#16
W
98-88
98
88
+10
H27/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#7
L
67-76
67
76
-9
A27/02
EuroBasket
Armenia
#16
W
100-80
100
80
+20
A02/03
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
27-19
19-25
19-24
25-22
9-17
24-15
12-16
21-28
14-34
22-13
28-19
14-24
14-24
25-28
23-12
15-22
17-22
21-18
17-19
23-17
15-20
24-22
25-19
29-25
12-26
14-16
15-30
25-21
26-20
27-26
20-21
16-29
17-17
14-16
20-14
22-17
17-18
21-21
40-24
166.9Avg total
82.0Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.381.3169.7+7.067%
Season at home (1)98.088.0186.0+10.0100%
Season away (2)83.578.0161.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)82.084.9166.9-2.940%
Last 5 (5)84.483.8168.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)79.387.2166.6-7.925%
vs Similar (7)76.479.1155.6-2.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)83.574.8158.3+8.673%
This opponent (Norway) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Romania
#34
L
62-75
62
75
-13
H21/11
World Cup
Luxembourg
#70
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H20/02
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
71-85
71
85
-14
A23/02
World Cup
Denmark
#79
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A02/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
68-101
68
101
-33
H06/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
L
70-79
70
79
-9
H13/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
53-102
53
102
-49
A16/08
World Cup
Armenia
#16
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A30/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#5
W
76-67
76
67
+9
H27/02
EuroBasket
Armenia
#16
W
116-103
116
103
+13
H02/07
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
18-17
12-12
12-20
15-21
15-17
22-8
16-13
22-23
20-18
15-22
14-22
15-25
21-20
17-20
18-24
21-20
18-31
12-27
17-23
12-15
15-22
22-18
21-24
14-28
8-34
13-22
18-18
17-18
18-13
14-20
25-11
29-16
17-17
16-14
14-20
32-20
31-27
30-29
23-27
155.1Avg total
72.9Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)88.777.3166.0+11.3100%
Season at home (2)96.085.0181.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)74.062.0136.0+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.982.2155.1-9.340%
Last 5 (5)77.882.6160.4-4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)65.776.4142.1-10.731%
vs Similar (8)76.979.0155.9-2.150%
vs Weaker (6)91.770.7162.3+21.0100%
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
BulgariaNorway
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BulgariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#19
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H25/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#26
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H20/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
35-62
35
62
-27
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#54
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A06/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H16/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A20/08
World Cup
Armenia
#16
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H27/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A27/02
EuroBasket
Armenia
#16
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A02/03
EuroBasket
82.3Avg total
37.9Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.479.4-1.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.337.677.9+2.773%-
Last 30 away (15)37.643.280.8-5.640%-
Last 10 (10)37.944.482.3-6.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.082.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.244.580.7-8.342%-
vs Similar (7)39.738.378.0+1.471%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)41.537.378.8+4.364%-
This opponent (Norway) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorwayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Romania
#34
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H21/11
World Cup
Luxembourg
#70
L
30-38
30
38
-8
H20/02
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A23/02
World Cup
Denmark
#79
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A02/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H06/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H13/08
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
22-62
22
62
-40
A16/08
World Cup
Armenia
#16
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A30/11
EuroBasket
Bulgaria
#5
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H27/02
EuroBasket
Armenia
#16
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H02/07
EuroBasket
80.6Avg total
37.8Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.839.476.2-2.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.738.578.2+1.250%-
Last 30 away (14)33.540.574.0-7.036%-
Last 10 (10)37.842.880.6-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.642.080.6-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.441.475.8-7.031%-
vs Similar (8)34.939.974.8-5.038%-
vs Weaker (6)45.833.779.5+12.283%-
This opponent (Bulgaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bulgariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bulgaria: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.917.8
52.5%
-35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.1
34.0%
-30.3
🏀 Free throws17.412.1
69.5%
-12.1
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Norwaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norway: 67.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.215.8
47.6%
-31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.87.9
29.5%
-23.7
🏀 Free throws16.712.2
73.1%
-12.2
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bulgaria
WLWLWLLLWL
Norway
WWWLLLLLWL
#5
League position
#7
-0.1
Net rating
-8.8
107.9
Offensive rating
96.2
108.0
Defensive rating
105.0
51.8%
Effective FG%
46.1%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
17.4%
Turnover %
18.2%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.0%
3-point %
29.5%
62.4%
Assist %
67.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Bulgaria   ■ Norway
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bulgaria wins
2
Norway wins
DateGameScore
27/02/26Norway v Bulgaria76-67
29/07/23Bulgaria v Norway91-69
19/07/23Norway v Bulgaria86-80
Bulgarialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/26AArmenia100-80
27/02/26ANorway67-76
27/11/25HArmenia98-88
20/08/25ANetherlands70-97
16/08/25HAustria87-78
09/08/25HNetherlands70-81
06/08/25AAustria76-88
23/02/25AGermany85-94
20/02/25HSweden81-77 OT
25/11/24HMontenegro86-90
Norwaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/07/26HArmenia116-103
27/02/26HBulgaria76-67
30/11/25AArmenia74-62
16/08/25ACroatia53-102
13/08/25HDenmark70-79
06/08/25HCroatia68-101
02/08/25ADenmark71-89
23/02/25ARomania71-85
20/02/25HLuxembourg68-59
21/11/24HRomania62-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bulgaria
EuroBasket 2029
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game88.398.083.5
Allowed / game81.388.078.0
Point differential+7.0+10.0+5.5
Avg total169.7186.0161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Norway
EuroBasket 2029
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game88.796.074.0
Allowed / game77.385.062.0
Point differential+11.3+11.0+12.0
Avg total166.0181.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Macedonia660100%81.564.5+17.0
2 Slovakia440100%85.573.0+12.5
3 Norway330100%88.777.3+11.3
4 Bulgaria32167%88.381.3+7.0
5 Luxembourg62433%79.882.2-2.3
6 Ireland62433%75.280.8-5.7
7 Azerbaijan62433%71.880.8-9.0
8 Kosovo41325%85.587.0-1.5
9 Albania41325%76.087.0-11.0
10 Armenia4040%83.297.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bulgaria2725221488
Norway1017121857
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