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Bursaspor vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 83-70
22-27 18-15 21-14 22-14
Position#10
Record2-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Position#4
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game83.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 5
Domestic2020-21
Meetings · Bursaspor v Tofas
30 Apr 2027
BUR v TOF
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
BUR113
TOF115
08 Mar 2025
BUR98
TOF93
29 Mar 2024
BUR89
TOF95
12 May 2023
BUR77
TOF92
06 Nov 2021
BUR87
TOF75
24 Oct 2020
BUR83
TOF70
29 Sep 2019
BUR80
TOF76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bursaspor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#15
W
95-77
95
77
+18
no box
A07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#8
W
98-87
98
87
+11
no box
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
55-86
55
86
-31
no box
A17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
W
89-73
89
73
+16
86avg 77
H26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#9
L
86-93
86
93
-7
79avg 77
H29/09
Eurocup
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
89-75
89
75
+14
88avg 77
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
L
78-90
78
90
-12
72avg 77
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Promitheas
#22
L
84-93
84
93
-9
77avg 77
H13/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#14
L
80-108
80
108
-28
68avg 77
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#4
L
76-94
76
94
-18
68avg 77
H21/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
29-25
28-16
22-22
19-24
20-23
28-19
31-21
13-19
13-21
16-28
13-18
28-18
22-16
19-22
20-17
29-19
20-21
16-27
21-26
18-18
18-23
32-15
21-19
21-27
21-18
22-23
14-22
25-26
18-20
16-22
25-25
11-30
19-30
24-25
26-23
18-33
15-20
27-23
16-18
170.6Avg total
83.0Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.086.5170.5-2.550%
Season at home (2)83.581.5165.0+2.050%
Season away (2)84.591.5176.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)83.087.6170.6-4.640%
Last 5 (5)81.492.0173.4-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.284.2160.4-7.925%
vs Similar (9)80.887.7168.4-6.956%
vs Weaker (5)88.479.0167.4+9.480%
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#9
L
67-68
67
68
-1
no box
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
L
81-98
81
98
-17
no box
A11/02
Turkish Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#14
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
H26/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
no box
A29/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
79-71
79
71
+8
no box
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
73-84
73
84
-11
67avg 80
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
94-85
94
85
+9
92avg 80
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#9
W
89-75
89
75
+14
84avg 80
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
78-88
78
88
-10
76avg 80
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-7
17-22
15-15
22-24
24-25
23-30
17-18
17-25
17-18
20-13
23-17
17-28
20-20
15-18
19-15
21-27
22-13
23-23
19-18
15-17
20-19
17-25
17-22
21-18
14-22
14-26
25-18
20-18
25-16
25-28
27-18
17-23
26-18
24-17
23-17
16-23
19-30
18-24
21-14
20-20
159.7Avg total
78.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.583.0166.5+0.550%
Season at home (2)86.086.5172.5-0.550%
Season away (2)81.079.5160.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)78.880.9159.7-2.140%
Last 5 (5)81.883.2165.0-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.389.7163.0-16.333%
vs Similar (5)72.680.2152.8-7.60%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.677.5167.1+12.076%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.7-3.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -3.7-3.7
BursasporTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buyukcekmece
#15
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A07/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#5
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trento
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H29/09
Eurocup
Fethiye Bld.
#15
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Promitheas
#22
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H13/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#14
L
30-60
30
60
-30
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gran Canaria
#4
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H21/10
Eurocup
83.8Avg total
39.3Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.641.480.1-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.142.485.5+0.650%-
Last 30 away (14)33.640.373.9-6.721%-
Last 10 (10)39.344.583.8-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.849.085.8-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)39.241.480.6-2.238%-
vs Similar (9)37.044.281.2-7.222%-
vs Weaker (5)39.836.476.2+3.460%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#9
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A08/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A11/02
Turkish Cup
Bahcesehir Kol.
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H26/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#4
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A29/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#13
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#9
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#3
L
37-54
37
54
-17
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.0Avg total
39.6Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.981.9+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.340.686.9+5.764%-
Last 30 away (16)38.239.377.6-1.144%-
Last 10 (10)39.641.481.0-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.445.085.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.749.087.7-10.333%-
vs Similar (5)35.041.276.2-6.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)43.937.681.5+6.367%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.317.4
54.0%
53.2%34.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.712.0
39.1%
36.1%36.0
🏀 Free throws15.412.0
77.8%
74.6%12.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.223.6
55.9%
53.2%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.28.0
37.7%
36.1%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.813.2
74.2%
74.6%13.2
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bursaspor
LLLLWLWLWW
Tofas
LWWLLWLWLL
#10
League position
#4
-6.8
Net rating
-2.9
110.2
Offensive rating
112.4
117.0
Defensive rating
115.3
56.2%
Effective FG%
56.2%
56.2%
Opp. effective FG%
58.3%
17.1%
Turnover %
14.5%
23.3%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
39.1%
3-point %
37.7%
65.5%
Assist %
62.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence110.2 · 112.4Defence117.0 · 115.3Shooting56.2% · 56.2%3-point %39.1% · 37.7%Ball care17.1% · 14.5%Off. rebounds23.3% · 23.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Bursaspor   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Bursaspor wins
1
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
12/01/20Tofas v Bursaspor109-59
29/09/19Bursaspor v Tofas80-76
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/20HGran Canaria76-94
17/10/20APetkim Spor80-108
13/10/20HPromitheas84-93
11/10/20HGaziantep78-90
03/10/20AFethiye Bld.89-75
29/09/20HTrento86-93
26/09/20HBesiktas89-73
17/03/20AAnadolu Efes55-86
15/03/20HBesiktas98-87
07/03/20ABuyukcekmece95-77
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/20HKarsiyaka78-88
11/10/20AAfyon Belediye89-75
03/10/20HBuyukcekmece94-85
27/09/20ABahcesehir Kol.73-84
15/03/20AFenerbahce75-84
08/03/20HAfyon Belediye79-71
29/02/20AGalatasaray75-80
26/02/20HBahcesehir Kol.77-76
11/02/20AGalatasaray81-98
08/02/20ATurk Telekom67-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.083.584.5
Allowed / game86.581.591.5
Point differential-2.5+2.0-7.0
Avg total170.5165.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game83.586.081.0
Allowed / game83.086.579.5
Point differential+0.5-0.5+1.5
Avg total166.5172.5160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes440100%91.869.0+22.8
2 Fenerbahce440100%91.569.8+21.8
3 Karsiyaka43175%83.068.0+15.0
4 Turk Telekom43175%87.282.2+5.0
5 Gaziantep42250%69.569.0+0.5
6 Tofas42250%83.583.0+0.5
7 Buyukcekmece42250%87.089.2-2.2
8 Bursaspor42250%84.086.5-2.5
9 Bahcesehir Kol.42250%83.287.5-4.2
10 Galatasaray42250%81.285.5-4.2
11 Afyon Belediye42250%77.884.8-7.0
12 Darussafaka41325%86.884.8+2.0
13 Petkim Spor41325%87.286.0+1.2
14 OGM Ormanspor41325%80.298.8-18.5
15 Fethiye Bld.41325%73.894.0-20.2
16 Besiktas4040%80.290.0-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bursaspor2218212283
Tofas2715141470
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