PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bursaspor vs Tofas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 89-95
14-24 25-27 29-20 21-24
Position#8
Record10-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Tofas 🏆
Turkey
Position#11
Record9-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game87.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 25· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bursaspor v Tofas
30 Apr 2027
BUR v TOF
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
BUR113
TOF115
08 Mar 2025
BUR98
TOF93
29 Mar 2024
BUR89
TOF95
12 May 2023
BUR77
TOF92
06 Nov 2021
BUR87
TOF75
24 Oct 2020
BUR83
TOF70
29 Sep 2019
BUR80
TOF76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bursaspor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
73-83
73
83
-10
68avg 70
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#9
L
69-103
69
103
-34
57avg 70
H14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
L
85-94
85
94
-9
78avg 70
A21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
59-88
59
88
-29
46avg 70
A27/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
94-81
94
81
+13
no box
H03/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
L
76-87
76
87
-11
68avg 70
A12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
68-102
68
102
-34
58avg 70
H01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
W
80-67
80
67
+13
74avg 70
A10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
L
65-81
65
81
-16
60avg 70
H17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
108-80
108
80
+28
112avg 70
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
14-20
12-22
20-20
17-33
11-23
23-21
18-26
18-17
22-27
27-27
18-23
11-20
17-22
14-18
17-28
22-15
21-23
23-23
28-20
11-21
15-23
27-21
23-22
17-26
14-23
25-26
12-27
18-23
15-17
27-13
20-14
17-21
14-22
17-20
17-18
21-28
39-18
25-19
23-15
164.3Avg total
77.7Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.784.1164.8-3.542%
Season at home (12)80.282.9163.2-2.758%
Season away (12)81.185.3166.4-4.225%
Last 10 (10)77.786.6164.3-8.930%
Last 5 (5)79.483.4162.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.884.5158.3-10.733%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.783.4165.1-1.743%
vs Weaker (4)86.277.5163.8+8.875%
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Manisa
#6
L
89-91
89
91
-2
84avg 80
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
W
84-71
84
71
+13
83avg 80
H07/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#7
W
84-71
84
71
+13
88avg 80
H11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
77-109
77
109
-32
70avg 80
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
L
74-77
74
77
-3
66avg 80
A06/03
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
93-95
93
95
-2
92avg 80
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 80
H13/03
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
L
83-87
83
87
-4
82avg 80
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
L
65-78
65
78
-13
59avg 80
A19/03
Champions League
Darussafaka
#13
L
83-90
83
90
-7
82avg 80
H24/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
19-19
22-16
31-33
19-17
23-14
18-16
24-24
21-28
24-10
21-16
18-17
13-30
15-32
23-25
26-22
7-13
20-21
17-23
30-20
17-23
23-28
31-16
22-28
28-23
17-20
23-18
8-19
15-25
21-20
30-22
17-20
16-30
16-21
18-12
15-15
14-26
23-19
25-15
21-30
165.7Avg total
80.8Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)84.987.0172.0-2.138%
Season at home (12)88.884.0172.8+4.858%
Season away (12)81.090.1171.1-9.117%
Last 10 (10)80.884.9165.7-4.120%
Last 5 (5)80.086.0166.0-6.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.095.1174.1-16.10%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.580.8164.2+2.850%
vs Weaker (6)92.276.0168.2+16.267%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.6-1.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: -7.1-7.1Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.6-1.6
BursasporTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H07/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#9
L
28-56
28
56
-28
H14/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Darussafaka
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A21/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#3
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A27/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#10
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H03/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Çağdaş Bodrum Spor
#15
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A12/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#12
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H17/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Samsunspor
#16
W
60-46
60
46
+14
A22/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
80.4Avg total
36.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.941.579.4-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.241.479.6-3.247%-
Last 30 away (15)37.541.779.2-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)36.144.380.4-8.220%-
Last 5 (5)36.244.480.6-8.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.642.178.7-5.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.941.680.6-2.736%-
vs Weaker (4)38.039.577.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manisa
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H07/02
Champions League
Petkim Spor
#7
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Fenerbahce
#1
L
28-62
28
62
-34
A03/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cholet
#14
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A06/03
Champions League
Anadolu Efes
#2
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H10/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Unicaja
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H13/03
Champions League
Turk Telekom
#9
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A16/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Strasbourg
#11
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A19/03
Champions League
Darussafaka
#13
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H24/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
81.0Avg total
36.8Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.741.982.6-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.740.184.8+4.573%-
Last 30 away (15)36.743.780.4-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)36.844.281.0-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.047.085.0-9.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.548.587.0-10.012%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.340.981.2-0.650%-
vs Weaker (6)44.735.880.5+8.883%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.3
56.4%
53.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.35.6
29.0%
36.3%16.8
🏀 Free throws19.313.0
67.4%
74.7%13.0
They take 55.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.8
54.8%
53.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.3
32.9%
36.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.517.3
76.9%
74.7%17.3
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bursaspor
WLWLLWLLLL
Tofas
LLLLLLLWWL
#8
League position
#11
-13.2
Net rating
-5.7
105.7
Offensive rating
110.6
118.9
Defensive rating
116.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
52.5%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
18.0%
25.5%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
29.0%
3-point %
32.9%
54.8%
Assist %
73.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 110.6Defence118.9 · 116.3Shooting51.9% · 52.5%3-point %29.0% · 32.9%Ball care16.2% · 18.0%Off. rebounds25.5% · 31.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Bursaspor   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bursaspor wins
4
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
03/12/23Tofas v Bursaspor91-85
12/05/23Bursaspor v Tofas77-92
07/01/23Tofas v Bursaspor82-83
06/03/22Tofas v Bursaspor83-90
06/11/21Bursaspor v Tofas87-75
07/02/21Tofas v Bursaspor84-77
24/10/20Bursaspor v Tofas83-70
12/01/20Tofas v Bursaspor109-59
29/09/19Bursaspor v Tofas80-76
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24ASamsunspor108-80
17/03/24HGalatasaray65-81
10/03/24ABahcesehir Kol.80-67
01/03/24HKarsiyaka68-102
12/02/24AÇağdaş Bodrum Spor76-87
03/02/24HBuyukcekmece94-81
27/01/24ABesiktas59-88
21/01/24ADarussafaka85-94
14/01/24HTurk Telekom69-103
07/01/24HAnadolu Efes73-83
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24HDarussafaka83-90
19/03/24AStrasbourg65-78
16/03/24ATurk Telekom83-87
13/03/24HUnicaja76-80
10/03/24HAnadolu Efes93-95
06/03/24ACholet74-77
03/03/24AFenerbahce77-109
11/02/24HPetkim Spor84-71
07/02/24HCholet84-71
04/02/24AManisa89-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW42%
HomeLLWLL58%
AwayLLLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%58%25%
Points / game80.780.281.1
Allowed / game84.182.985.3
Point differential-3.5-2.7-4.2
Avg total164.8163.2166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeLWWLL58%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %38%58%17%
Points / game84.988.881.0
Allowed / game87.084.090.1
Point differential-2.1+4.8-9.1
Avg total172.0172.8171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%42%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)33% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce2421388%91.574.1+17.5
2 Anadolu Efes2421388%86.580.6+5.9
3 Besiktas2419579%81.372.8+8.5
4 Karsiyaka2416867%88.284.8+3.5
5 Galatasaray25131252%82.982.0+0.9
6 Petkim Spor24121250%82.880.9+1.9
7 Manisa24121250%81.783.9-2.2
8 Darussafaka24121250%82.084.6-2.5
9 Turk Telekom24111346%80.680.4+0.2
10 Buyukcekmece25111444%81.081.4-0.4
11 Bursaspor24101442%80.784.1-3.5
12 Bahcesehir Kol.2491538%86.087.2-1.2
13 Tofas2491538%84.987.0-2.1
14 Merkezefendi2481633%79.686.1-6.5
15 Çağdaş Bodrum Spor2571828%80.186.2-6.1
16 Samsunspor2532212%74.387.4-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bursaspor1425292189
Tofas2427202495
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.