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Bursaspor vs Tofas Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 30 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game84.2
vs
Position#10
Record2-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game84.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 29· Tofas Spor Salonu
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Bursaspor v Tofas
30 Apr 2027
BUR v TOF
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
BUR113
TOF115
08 Mar 2025
BUR98
TOF93
29 Mar 2024
BUR89
TOF95
12 May 2023
BUR77
TOF92
06 Nov 2021
BUR87
TOF75
24 Oct 2020
BUR83
TOF70
29 Sep 2019
BUR80
TOF76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bursaspor win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Tofas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BursasporTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBursaspor
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#5
L
92-94
92
94
-2
no box
H12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
83-82
83
82
+1
82avg 74
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
L
82-84
82
84
-2
75avg 74
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
70avg 74
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#1
L
69-78
69
78
-9
67avg 74
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
93-88
93
88
+5
94avg 74
A12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
72avg 74
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#15
L
64-83
64
83
-19
55avg 74
A23/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
25-25
15-22
24-19
18-29
20-18
21-19
27-18
24-27
25-10
18-19
24-16
23-24
26-25
16-19
18-14
14-16
34-15
18-31
16-22
22-26
17-16
17-22
20-18
26-19
10-20
15-18
18-21
20-20
25-21
21-19
27-28
20-20
16-21
31-28
13-21
15-20
13-23
17-22
19-18
165.3Avg total
81.6Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.484.2160.6-7.820%
Season at home (2)74.584.0158.5-9.50%
Season away (3)77.784.3162.0-6.733%
Last 10 (10)81.683.7165.3-2.140%
Last 5 (5)76.484.2160.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)80.392.4172.7-12.222%
vs Similar ◀ (12)84.787.0171.7-2.342%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTofas
Date
Competition
Bordo Bandirma
#13
W
90-89
90
89
+1
76avg 75
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#5
W
82-69
82
69
+13
78avg 75
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#16
L
87-101
87
101
-14
79avg 75
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#25
W
89-82
89
82
+7
81avg 75
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
63avg 75
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#18
W
90-85
90
85
+5
78avg 75
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#12
W
71-69
71
69
+2
38avg 75
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#3
L
101-105 OT
101
105
-4
89avg 75
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#7
L
72-74
72
74
-2
67avg 75
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#29
W
90-74
90
74
+16
91avg 75
A28/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
21-31
27-21
15-21
22-15
24-15
14-23
22-16
22-30
14-20
25-25
26-26
18-21
31-19
18-24
22-18
17-29
17-19
25-11
20-28
22-25
30-19
19-20
19-21
19-20
7-15
15-19
30-15
20-29
22-24
24-20
27-20
21-14
19-24
19-14
13-22
22-24
33-14
15-22
20-14
168.6Avg total
85.1Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)79.884.0163.8-4.240%
Season at home (3)80.383.3163.7-3.033%
Season away (2)79.085.0164.0-6.050%
Last 10 (10)85.183.5168.6+1.660%
Last 5 (5)84.881.4166.2+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)80.087.7167.7-7.70%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.989.5173.4-5.625%
vs Weaker (9)90.984.6175.4+6.389%
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
BursasporTofas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BursasporLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turk Telekom
#5
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H12/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Mersin SK
#13
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A18/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buyukcekmece
#16
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H26/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A02/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Karsiyaka
#15
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A10/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Trabzonspor
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Turk Telekom
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Galatasaray
#8
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bahcesehir Kol.
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Cayirova
#15
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A23/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.4Avg total
42.1Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.045.585.5-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.944.986.8-3.133%-
Last 30 away (15)38.246.184.3-7.920%-
Last 10 (10)42.142.384.4-0.230%-
Last 5 (5)36.841.278.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.847.186.9-7.322%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.443.183.5-2.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Tofas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TofasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bordo Bandirma
#13
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H25/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Chemnitz
#5
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H29/09
Eurocup
Denizli Basket
#16
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A03/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
JL Bourg
#25
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A06/10
Eurocup
Esenler Erokspor
#5
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H10/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#18
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H14/10
Eurocup
Korfez Basket
#12
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A17/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Basket Napoli
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A21/10
Eurocup
Petkim Spor
#7
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H25/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Slask Wroclaw
#29
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A28/10
Eurocup
85.1Avg total
42.8Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.644.386.9-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.845.387.1-3.644%-
Last 30 away (14)43.643.186.8+0.550%-
Last 10 (10)42.842.385.1+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.041.684.6+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)41.942.284.1-0.356%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.346.886.1-7.417%-
vs Weaker (9)47.843.190.9+4.778%-
This opponent (Bursaspor) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bursasportheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bursaspor: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.0
57.2%
54.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.79.0
38.0%
35.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.311.7
71.8%
75.6%11.7
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tofastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tofas: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.222.8
59.7%
54.9%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.56.5
26.5%
35.8%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.816.1
77.4%
75.6%16.1
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bursaspor
LLWLLLWWWL
Tofas
WLLWWLWLWW
#14
League position
#10
-8.2
Net rating
-0.3
94.0
Offensive rating
92.3
102.2
Defensive rating
92.6
57.1%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
38.0%
3-point %
26.5%
73.2%
Assist %
58.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 92.3Defence102.2 · 92.6Shooting57.1% · 51.9%3-point %38.0% · 26.5%Ball care18.7% · 17.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Bursaspor   ■ Tofas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bursaspor wins
6
Tofas wins
DateGameScore
15/03/26Bursaspor v Tofas113-115 OT
08/11/25Tofas v Bursaspor84-70
08/03/25Bursaspor v Tofas98-93
03/11/24Tofas v Bursaspor94-71
29/03/24Bursaspor v Tofas89-95
03/12/23Tofas v Bursaspor91-85
12/05/23Bursaspor v Tofas77-92
07/01/23Tofas v Bursaspor82-83
06/03/22Tofas v Bursaspor83-90
06/11/21Bursaspor v Tofas87-75
Bursasporlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26ACayirova64-83
17/10/26HBahcesehir Kol.80-90
12/10/26AGalatasaray93-88
03/10/26HTurk Telekom69-78
27/09/26ATrabzonspor76-82
10/05/26AKarsiyaka82-84
02/05/26AEsenler Erokspor83-82
26/04/26HBuyukcekmece91-72
18/04/26AMersin SK86-84
12/04/26HTurk Telekom92-94
Tofaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ASlask Wroclaw90-74
25/10/26HPetkim Spor72-74
21/10/26ABasket Napoli101-105 OT
17/10/26AKorfez Basket71-69
14/10/26HBuducnost90-85
10/10/26HEsenler Erokspor79-87
06/10/26AJL Bourg89-82
03/10/26ADenizli Basket87-101
29/09/26HChemnitz82-69
25/09/26HBordo Bandirma90-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bursaspor
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game76.474.577.7
Allowed / game84.284.084.3
Point differential-7.8-9.5-6.7
Avg total160.6158.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tofas
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game79.880.379.0
Allowed / game84.083.385.0
Point differential-4.2-3.0-6.0
Avg total163.8163.7164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turk Telekom65183%81.871.7+10.2
2 Bahcesehir Kol.65183%92.086.7+5.3
3 Anadolu Efes54180%85.677.2+8.4
4 Trabzonspor64267%83.382.0+1.3
5 Esenler Erokspor64267%83.283.8-0.7
6 Fenerbahce53260%88.484.2+4.2
7 Petkim Spor53260%83.683.4+0.2
8 Galatasaray63350%88.379.2+9.2
9 Karsiyaka52340%79.882.4-2.6
10 Tofas52340%79.884.0-4.2
11 Besiktas52340%82.688.8-6.2
12 Korfez Basket62433%82.084.5-2.5
13 Bordo Bandirma62433%83.085.7-2.7
14 Bursaspor51420%76.484.2-7.8
15 Cayirova51420%80.489.0-8.6
16 Denizli Basket61517%79.786.0-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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