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Butler vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 04 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 23:45
Final 72-65
39-36 33-29
Position#266
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Butler 🏆
USA
vs
Position#334
Record-
FormLLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Butler winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ButlerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#114
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H10/02
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H13/02
NCAA
Creighton
#43
L
57-79
57
79
-22
H17/02
NCAA
Villanova
#174
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A20/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A25/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
L
59-82
59
82
-23
H29/02
NCAA
DePaul
#367
W
82-63
82
63
+19
A02/03
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Xavier
#245
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H13/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#16
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H20/03
NIT
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-25
0-0
41-47
0-0
32-34
0-0
40-44
0-0
35-34
0-0
22-45
0-0
35-44
0-0
27-28
0-0
32-37
0-0
32-39
0-0
33-39
0-0
26-43
0-0
45-27
0-0
37-36
0-0
37-24
0-0
35-42
0-0
31-32
0-0
41-44
0-0
38-36
0-0
34-37
142.4Avg total
68.7Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)68.773.7142.4-5.030%
Last 5 (5)71.472.0143.4-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.577.9152.4-3.438%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.279.0152.2-5.836%
vs Weaker (6)81.567.0148.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#150
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A15/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H17/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
62-86
62
86
-24
H22/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A24/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A29/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H03/03
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
60-35
60
35
+25
A07/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A08/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-30
33-42
36-35
35-38
37-35
35-47
38-41
44-33
27-33
35-53
38-46
40-47
36-33
38-42
36-31
33-28
27-14
33-21
31-34
28-41
141.6Avg total
69.2Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.272.4141.6-3.230%
Last 5 (5)68.067.4135.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)67.077.9144.9-10.933%
vs Similar ◀ (16)70.568.9139.4+1.650%
vs Weaker (5)81.470.4151.8+11.080%
This opponent (Butler) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -7.0-7.02nd half: -3.8-3.8
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +2.0+2.01st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: -7.0-7.02nd half: -3.8-3.8
ButlerMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ButlerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#114
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H10/02
NCAA
Marquette
#36
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H13/02
NCAA
Creighton
#43
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H17/02
NCAA
Villanova
#174
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A20/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#108
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A25/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H29/02
NCAA
DePaul
#367
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A02/03
NCAA
Xavier
#245
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H07/03
NCAA
Xavier
#245
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H13/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H20/03
NIT
68.4Avg total
35.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.335.271.5+1.148%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.333.570.8+3.865%-
Last 30 away (12)34.937.672.5-2.725%-
Last 10 (10)35.233.268.4+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.831.668.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.836.972.6-1.138%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.437.471.8-3.129%-
vs Weaker (5)40.227.267.4+13.0100%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#150
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H10/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A15/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H17/02
NCAA
Bradley
#71
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A24/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A29/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H03/03
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
27-14
27
14
+13
A07/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A08/03
NCAA
67.0Avg total
33.8Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.334.367.6-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.333.467.7+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)32.435.267.6-2.847%-
Last 10 (10)33.833.267.0+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)33.631.665.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.837.867.6-8.011%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.333.267.5+1.169%-
vs Weaker (5)36.631.668.2+5.060%-
This opponent (Butler) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Butler wins
0
Missouri State wins
No previous meetings.
Butlerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/24HMinnesota72-73
13/03/24HXavier72-76
07/03/24HXavier72-66
02/03/24ADePaul82-63
29/02/24HSt. John's (N.Y.)59-82
25/02/24ASeton Hall64-76
20/02/24AVillanova62-72
17/02/24HCreighton57-79
13/02/24HMarquette72-78
10/02/24HProvidence75-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24AIndiana State59-75
07/03/24AMurray State60-35
03/03/24HIllinois (Chi.)69-59
29/02/24AIllinois State74-75
24/02/24ABelmont78-93
22/02/24HBradley62-86
17/02/24HValparaiso82-74
15/02/24AMurray State72-82
10/02/24HIndiana State71-73
08/02/24ANorthern Iowa65-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Butler
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Missouri State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jacksonville State110100%112.048.0+64.0
2 Winthrop110100%125.065.0+60.0
3 IUPUI110100%100.044.0+56.0
4 UMass Lowell110100%115.059.0+56.0
5 Wofford110100%112.058.0+54.0
6 Drexel110100%95.043.0+52.0
7 VMI110100%103.054.0+49.0
8 Middle Tenn. St.110100%97.051.0+46.0
9 Niagara110100%100.065.0+35.0
10 UT Arlington110100%90.055.0+35.0
11 St. John's (N.Y.)110100%92.060.0+32.0
12 UMBC Retrievers110100%95.066.0+29.0
13 Hofstra110100%89.062.0+27.0
14 Stanford110100%85.062.0+23.0
15 Liberty110100%83.063.0+20.0
16 Stonehill110100%81.062.0+19.0
17 Purdue110100%90.073.0+17.0
18 Miami (Ohio)110100%77.063.0+14.0
19 Harvard110100%79.066.0+13.0
20 Bucknell110100%85.073.0+12.0
21 Temple110100%81.070.0+11.0
22 Charleston110100%90.080.0+10.0
23 Santa Clara110100%85.078.0+7.0
24 South Dakota St.110100%80.073.0+7.0
25 McNeese State1010%73.080.0-7.0
26 St. Louis Billikens1010%78.085.0-7.0
27 Southern Illinois1010%80.090.0-10.0
28 Sacred Heart1010%70.081.0-11.0
29 Delaware1010%73.085.0-12.0
30 Marist1010%66.079.0-13.0
31 Appalachian State1010%63.077.0-14.0
32 Texas A&M-CC1010%73.090.0-17.0
33 Framingham State1010%62.081.0-19.0
34 Valparaiso1010%63.083.0-20.0
35 Denver1010%62.085.0-23.0
36 Old Westbury1010%62.089.0-27.0
37 Penn State-York1010%66.095.0-29.0
38 Fordham1010%60.092.0-32.0
39 Houghton1010%65.0100.0-35.0
40 North Texas-Dallas1010%55.090.0-35.0
41 Oglethorpe1010%51.097.0-46.0
42 Washington Coll1010%54.0103.0-49.0
43 Georgian Court Univ.1010%43.095.0-52.0
44 Erskine1010%58.0112.0-54.0
45 IUPUC1010%44.0100.0-56.0
46 Rivier1010%59.0115.0-56.0
47 Piedmont1010%65.0125.0-60.0
48 La Grange1010%48.0112.0-64.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 48 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Butler393372
Missouri State362965
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