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Missouri State vs Bradley Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 62-86
27-33 35-53
Position#198
Record15-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game71.4
vs
Bradley 🏆
USA
Position#71
Record18-9
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game68.3
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Missouri State v Bradley
21 Feb 2024
MISS62
BRAD86
03 Dec 2022
MISS40
BRAD58
23 Feb 2022
MISS83
BRAD67
14 Feb 2021
MISS72
BRAD57
13 Feb 2021
MISS80
BRAD58
15 Jan 2020
MISS78
BRAD91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bradley winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#13
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
60-69
60
69
-9
H20/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A27/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
A01/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A08/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A15/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
82-74
82
74
+8
H17/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-44
36-44
33-42
27-27
29-42
36-23
40-37
41-33
31-42
32-21
36-37
51-43
32-30
33-42
36-35
35-38
37-35
35-47
38-41
44-33
150.6Avg total
74.3Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.271.4143.6+0.756%
Season at home (14)75.469.7145.1+5.671%
Season away (13)68.873.3142.1-4.538%
Last 10 (10)74.376.3150.6-2.050%
Last 5 (5)75.476.2151.6-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.575.2143.8-6.850%
vs Similar (15)70.168.3138.4+1.953%
vs Weaker (7)77.168.0145.1+9.171%
This opponent (Bradley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BradleyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#131
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A18/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H20/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
86-95 OT
86
95
-9
A27/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A03/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
70-73
70
73
-3
A08/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
67-74
67
74
-7
H10/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H15/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
24-45
46-24
44-34
51-38
44-34
27-29
29-33
49-45
46-30
39-39
39-20
34-40
27-32
43-41
30-41
37-33
40-28
45-45
26-44
37-30
148.7Avg total
76.5Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.368.3143.7+7.067%
Season at home (14)78.766.6145.3+12.179%
Season away (13)71.770.2141.9+1.554%
Last 10 (10)76.572.2148.7+4.360%
Last 5 (5)71.670.8142.4+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.590.0171.5-8.50%
vs Similar (10)67.868.4136.2-0.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)77.967.6145.4+10.375%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.3-4.31st half: +0.8+0.82nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +4.4+4.4
Missouri StateBradley
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana State
#13
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H20/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H25/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H03/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A08/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H10/02
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A15/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H17/02
NCAA
72.7Avg total
34.2Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.833.367.1+0.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.932.967.9+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)32.733.666.3-0.960%-
Last 10 (10)34.238.572.7-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.835.671.4+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)30.537.267.8-6.825%-
vs Similar (15)34.932.567.4+2.373%-
vs Weaker (7)35.330.365.6+5.071%-
This opponent (Bradley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BradleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#131
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A18/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H20/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A27/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H01/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
W
39-20
39
20
+19
A03/02
NCAA
Evansville
#225
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A08/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H10/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H15/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A18/02
NCAA
69.0Avg total
34.9Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.333.068.3+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.232.969.1+3.269%-
Last 30 away (14)34.433.067.4+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)34.934.169.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)32.433.065.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.541.070.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (10)32.534.466.9-1.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)38.131.169.2+7.075%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Missouri State wins
5
Bradley wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HValparaiso82-74
15/02/24AMurray State72-82
10/02/24HIndiana State71-73
08/02/24ANorthern Iowa65-72
03/02/24HBelmont87-80
01/02/24ASouthern Illinois76-75 OT
27/01/24AValparaiso81-70
25/01/24HDrake83-80 OT
20/01/24HIllinois State60-69
17/01/24AIndiana State66-88
Bradleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24ANorthern Iowa63-74
15/02/24HIllinois (Chi.)85-73
10/02/24HDrake67-74
08/02/24AEvansville70-73
03/02/24AIllinois State73-60
01/02/24HNorthern Iowa85-69
27/01/24AIndiana State86-95 OT
25/01/24HMurray State71-63
20/01/24HBelmont95-72
18/01/24ASouthern Illinois70-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW56%
HomeLWWLW71%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%71%38%
Points / game72.275.468.8
Allowed / game71.469.773.3
Point differential+0.7+5.6-4.5
Avg total143.6145.1142.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%36%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %11%7%15%
Bradley
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL67%
HomeWWWLW79%
AwayWLWLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %67%79%54%
Points / game75.378.771.7
Allowed / game68.366.670.2
Point differential+7.0+12.1+1.5
Avg total143.7145.3141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%57%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)-67% (6)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Western Kentucky2619773%80.373.8+6.5
2 Louisiana Tech2618869%75.163.5+11.6
3 Delaware27171063%74.769.3+5.5
4 Liberty26161062%75.364.7+10.6
5 Sam Houston St.26151158%71.670.9+0.7
6 Missouri State27151256%72.271.4+0.7
7 Kennesaw State27141352%83.580.4+3.1
8 UTEP26131350%74.370.3+4.0
9 Jacksonville State27131448%70.165.0+5.1
10 New Mexico State26111542%68.571.8-3.3
11 Middle Tenn. St.27111641%65.469.2-3.8
12 Florida International2681831%73.576.5-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State2722581%84.372.3+12.0
2 Drake2722581%80.068.9+11.0
3 Bradley2718967%75.368.3+7.0
4 Southern Illinois27171063%72.967.0+5.9
5 Belmont27161159%77.676.9+0.7
6 Northern Iowa27151256%72.770.7+2.1
7 Evansville27151256%73.373.1+0.1
8 Illinois State27131448%66.768.0-1.3
9 Murray State27111641%70.869.1+1.7
10 Illinois (Chi.)27101737%69.069.0+0.0
11 Valparaiso2762122%68.275.1-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State273562
Bradley335386
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