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Missouri State vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 71-73
36-35 35-38
Position#198
Record14-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#13
Record21-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Missouri State v Indiana State
07 Dec 2024
MISS77
INDI80
10 Feb 2024
MISS71
INDI73
15 Jan 2023
MISS64
INDI62
15 Feb 2022
MISS79
INDI70
03 Jan 2021
MISS70
INDI66
02 Jan 2021
MISS84
INDI74
01 Feb 2020
MISS68
INDI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
L
60-86
60
86
-26
A06/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
53-77
53
77
-24
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A14/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
60-69
60
69
-9
H20/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
83-80 OT
83
80
+3
H25/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A27/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
A01/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H03/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-42
32-44
19-42
34-35
36-35
38-29
30-44
36-44
33-42
27-27
29-42
36-23
40-37
41-33
31-42
32-21
36-37
51-43
32-30
33-42
146.6Avg total
70.5Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.870.8142.7+1.058%
Season at home (12)75.269.1144.2+6.175%
Season away (12)68.572.6141.1-4.142%
Last 10 (10)70.576.1146.6-5.650%
Last 5 (5)78.475.4153.8+3.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)66.474.1140.5-7.850%
vs Similar (16)70.667.5138.1+3.156%
vs Weaker (6)76.367.0143.3+9.367%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#150
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A07/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H13/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
88-66
88
66
+22
H17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
89-83
89
83
+6
A25/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
95-86 OT
95
86
+9
H27/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H03/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
101-61
101
61
+40
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-27
33-39
43-43
35-46
48-32
46-32
44-30
44-36
25-28
47-35
41-39
48-44
33-29
45-49
37-45
41-27
37-36
38-31
50-36
51-25
156.4Avg total
84.7Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.172.0158.1+14.288%
Season at home (12)89.564.8154.2+24.8100%
Season away (12)82.879.2161.9+3.675%
Last 10 (10)84.771.7156.4+13.090%
Last 5 (5)87.673.8161.4+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)78.283.6161.8-5.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.070.2157.1+16.892%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.9-7.91st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +6.4+6.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -7.9-7.91st half: +5.7+5.72nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: +6.4+6.4
Missouri StateIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#71
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A06/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
19-42
19
42
-23
H11/01
NCAA
Evansville
#225
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A14/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A17/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#240
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H20/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H25/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#131
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A01/02
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H03/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A08/02
NCAA
70.7Avg total
31.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.833.066.8+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.632.367.9+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)31.933.765.7-1.853%-
Last 10 (10)31.439.370.7-7.930%-
Last 5 (5)33.637.671.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)29.237.566.8-8.212%-
vs Similar (16)35.632.568.1+3.175%-
vs Weaker (6)34.828.563.3+6.383%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#150
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A07/01
NCAA
Drake
#15
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A11/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H13/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#198
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H17/01
NCAA
Murray State
#296
L
25-28
25
28
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Bradley
#71
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H27/01
NCAA
Belmont
#128
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/02
NCAA
Drake
#15
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H03/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#355
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H08/02
NCAA
74.7Avg total
40.2Scored
34.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.734.376.0+7.473%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.030.572.5+11.593%-
Last 30 away (15)41.438.079.4+3.453%-
Last 10 (10)40.234.574.7+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.637.076.6+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)39.641.080.6-1.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)42.432.975.3+9.579%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Missouri State wins
3
Indiana State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24ANorthern Iowa65-72
03/02/24HBelmont87-80
01/02/24ASouthern Illinois76-75 OT
27/01/24AValparaiso81-70
25/01/24HDrake83-80 OT
20/01/24HIllinois State60-69
17/01/24AIndiana State66-88
14/01/24AEvansville74-64
11/01/24HMurray State53-77
06/01/24ABradley60-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/24HValparaiso101-61
03/02/24HDrake75-67
01/02/24ABelmont78-72
27/01/24HBradley95-86 OT
25/01/24AIllinois (Chi.)89-83
21/01/24AMurray State72-63
17/01/24HMissouri State88-66
13/01/24HBelmont94-64
11/01/24ADrake78-89
07/01/24ANorthern Iowa77-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeLLLWW75%
AwayWLWWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %58%75%42%
Points / game71.875.268.5
Allowed / game70.869.172.6
Point differential+1.0+6.1-4.1
Avg total142.7144.2141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%42%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %12%8%17%
Indiana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game86.189.582.8
Allowed / game72.064.879.2
Point differential+14.2+24.8+3.6
Avg total158.1154.2161.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%83%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Louisiana Tech2316770%76.263.5+12.7
2 Western Kentucky2316770%80.774.9+5.9
3 Liberty2415962%75.864.0+11.8
4 Delaware2415962%75.870.2+5.6
5 Missouri State24141058%71.870.8+1.0
6 Kennesaw State24131154%83.880.2+3.6
7 Sam Houston St.24131154%71.271.4-0.2
8 UTEP23121152%73.469.3+4.2
9 Jacksonville State24121250%70.964.8+6.1
10 New Mexico State23111248%69.771.5-1.7
11 Florida International2381535%74.977.2-2.3
12 Middle Tenn. St.2381535%63.468.2-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana State2421388%86.172.0+14.2
2 Drake2419579%79.768.6+11.0
3 Bradley2417771%75.867.7+8.1
4 Southern Illinois2415962%73.266.4+6.9
5 Evansville2415962%73.172.4+0.7
6 Northern Iowa24131154%72.571.1+1.3
7 Belmont24131154%76.777.9-1.2
8 Illinois State24111346%65.467.5-2.1
9 Murray State2491538%70.267.8+2.3
10 Illinois (Chi.)2491538%69.168.2+0.9
11 Valparaiso2461825%67.673.5-5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State363571
Indiana State353873
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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