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CA Queluz vs Ovarense Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 20:15
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-3
FormWLWWL
Points / game87.8
Allowed / game91.7
CA Queluz
Portugal
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.7/10
Around normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Ovarense
Portugal
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game76.9
PortugalLPBRound 18· Pavilhão Henrique Miranda
Other2026-27
Meetings · CA Queluz v Ovarense
20 Mar 2027
CA Q v OVAR
upcoming
27 Dec 2025
CA Q82
OVAR84
26 Oct 2024
CA Q86
OVAR87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CA Queluz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Ovarense win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CA QueluzPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQueluz
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
91-84
91
84
+7
88avg 82
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
74-73
74
73
+1
71avg 82
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
69-83
69
83
-14
52avg 82
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
105-74
105
74
+31
99avg 82
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
93-110
93
110
-17
80avg 82
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
87-83
87
83
+4
84avg 82
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-89
72
89
-17
54avg 82
H24/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
W
104-93
104
93
+11
96avg 82
A31/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
90-86
90
86
+4
no box
H07/11
LPB
Ovarense
#3
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
A14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
22-26
22-20
24-17
25-16
13-16
14-24
22-17
13-12
18-19
27-26
11-26
27-16
22-17
21-24
35-17
20-26
23-28
28-29
22-27
28-20
18-18
22-24
19-21
20-22
29-22
10-18
13-27
23-24
26-29
34-13
21-27
20-18
23-18
20-30
27-20
20-14
24-23
26-24
11-28
173.0Avg total
86.6Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.891.7179.5-3.850%
Season at home (3)85.095.0180.0-10.033%
Season away (3)90.788.3179.0+2.367%
Last 10 (10)86.686.4173.0+0.260%
Last 5 (5)86.888.0174.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)80.093.5173.5-13.59%
vs Similar (13)83.183.8166.8-0.754%
vs Weaker (6)97.089.2186.2+7.867%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
93-79
93
79
+14
90avg 66
H09/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
72-90
72
90
-18
56avg 66
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
65-69
65
69
-4
48avg 66
H16/05
LPB
Braga
#6
W
96-83
96
83
+13
47avg 66
H03/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
87-71
87
71
+16
81avg 66
A10/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
63avg 66
H17/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
70-71
70
71
-1
64avg 66
A24/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
56avg 66
H31/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A07/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H14/11
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
21-19
18-15
29-27
23-27
24-25
13-19
12-19
16-10
18-17
18-18
13-24
26-19
26-9
23-20
21-35
17-21
20-17
30-9
20-24
17-12
20-17
25-23
16-17
24-16
12-22
16-14
18-19
23-12
15-24
17-20
23-20
16-26
34-31
26-19
17-11
14-20
23-24
24-26
28-11
159.7Avg total
82.1Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)84.476.9161.3+7.686%
Season at home (4)85.277.2162.5+8.0100%
Season away (3)83.376.3159.7+7.067%
Last 10 (10)82.177.6159.7+4.570%
Last 5 (5)81.676.8158.4+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)71.880.3152.2-8.517%
vs Similar (8)82.279.0161.2+3.262%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.377.4162.8+7.981%
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -1.0-1.0
CA QueluzOvarense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CA QueluzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H04/04
LPB
Ovarense
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A11/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A18/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#12
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H25/04
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
43-54
43
54
-11
H02/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/10
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H24/10
LPB
Esgueira
#12
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A31/10
LPB
CAB Madeira
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/11
LPB
Ovarense
#3
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A14/11
LPB
84.2Avg total
43.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.644.688.2-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.445.589.9-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)42.743.786.5-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)43.740.584.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.687.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)41.646.488.0-4.736%-
vs Similar (13)42.242.784.9-0.531%-
vs Weaker (6)50.045.795.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#5
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H09/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#5
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H16/05
LPB
Braga
#6
W
52-28
52
28
+24
H03/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A10/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#7
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H17/10
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A24/10
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H31/10
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A07/11
LPB
CA Queluz
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H14/11
LPB
80.0Avg total
41.4Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.581.7+0.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.738.377.9+1.453%-
Last 30 away (15)42.842.785.5+0.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.680.0+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.640.880.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.541.577.0-6.017%-
vs Similar (8)43.439.082.4+4.462%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.340.983.2+1.438%-
This opponent (CA Queluz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CA Queluztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CA Queluz: 89.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.122.2
52.7%
51.1%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.79.0
36.4%
31.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.318.0
74.1%
71.1%18.0
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 71.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.519.3
48.9%
51.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.76.8
27.5%
31.9%20.4
🏀 Free throws16.412.0
73.2%
71.1%12.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CA Queluz
LWWLWLWLWW
Ovarense
WWWLWWWLLW
#8
League position
#3
+0.7
Net rating
-5.3
98.7
Offensive rating
83.9
98.0
Defensive rating
89.2
53.4%
Effective FG%
46.0%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
13.6%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.4%
3-point %
27.5%
63.5%
Assist %
64.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.7 · 83.9Defence98.0 · 89.2Shooting53.4% · 46.0%3-point %36.4% · 27.5%Ball care13.6% · 14.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ CA Queluz   ■ Ovarense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
CA Queluz wins
4
Ovarense wins
DateGameScore
14/11/26Ovarense v CA Queluz89-81
11/04/26Ovarense v CA Queluz73-74
27/12/25CA Queluz v Ovarense82-84
11/01/25Ovarense v CA Queluz86-84
26/10/24CA Queluz v Ovarense86-87
CA Queluzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AOvarense81-89
07/11/26HCAB Madeira90-86
31/10/26AEsgueira104-93
24/10/26HBenfica72-89
17/10/26APortimonense87-83
02/10/26HFC Porto93-110
25/04/26HGalitos Barreiro105-74
18/04/26ASporting CP69-83
11/04/26AOvarense74-73
04/04/26HOliveirense91-84
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCA Queluz89-81
07/11/26AOliveirense93-87
31/10/26HFC Porto78-76
24/10/26ASporting CP70-71
17/10/26HCD Povoa78-69
10/10/26AVitoria87-71
03/10/26HBraga96-83
16/05/26HOliveirense65-69
13/05/26AOliveirense72-90
09/05/26HOliveirense93-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CA Queluz
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game87.885.090.7
Allowed / game91.795.088.3
Point differential-3.8-10.0+2.3
Avg total179.5180.0179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ovarense
LPB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game84.485.283.3
Allowed / game76.977.276.3
Point differential+7.6+8.0+7.0
Avg total161.3162.5159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica76186%88.373.6+14.7
2 FC Porto76186%91.681.6+10.0
3 Ovarense76186%84.476.9+7.6
4 Oliveirense64267%92.290.0+2.2
5 Sporting CP74357%83.674.6+9.0
6 Braga74357%88.181.1+7.0
7 CD Povoa74357%75.075.3-0.3
8 CA Queluz63350%87.891.7-3.8
9 Vitoria72529%68.783.9-15.1
10 CAB Madeira71614%82.786.4-3.7
11 Portimonense71614%78.789.0-10.3
12 Esgueira7070%80.397.7-17.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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