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Cairns Taipans vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 97-91
23-17 24-33 27-22 23-19
Position#4
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game94.8
vs
Position#6
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game95.5
AustraliaNBLRound 4· Cairns Convention Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v Brisbane Bullets
12 Dec 2026
CAIR v BRIS
upcoming
08 Oct 2026
CAIR97
BRIS91
12 Jan 2026
CAIR88
BRIS83
26 Sep 2025
CAIR83
BRIS82
06 Feb 2025
CAIR100
BRIS88
02 Nov 2024
CAIR88
BRIS92
21 Jan 2024
CAIR84
BRIS102
01 Dec 2023
CAIR79
BRIS84
28 Jan 2023
CAIR94
BRIS87
14 Dec 2022
CAIR85
BRIS76
23 Apr 2022
CAIR112
BRIS98
24 Feb 2022
CAIR73
BRIS69
29 Jan 2017
CAIR97
BRIS83
13 Nov 2016
CAIR76
BRIS84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
92-106
92
106
-14
80avg 75
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
84-98
84
98
-14
36avg 75
A06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
81-72
81
72
+9
69avg 75
A08/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 75
H12/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
84-115
84
115
-31
74avg 75
A19/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
90-111
90
111
-21
78avg 75
A20/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
93-87
93
87
+6
84avg 75
H23/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
69-83
69
83
-14
58avg 75
A27/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
75-98
75
98
-23
59avg 75
A30/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
107-95
107
95
+12
99avg 75
A03/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-17
20-28
22-26
16-35
22-22
18-28
19-18
25-30
24-13
19-23
18-21
20-15
19-19
27-21
14-16
25-33
24-24
20-37
22-27
18-27
26-32
27-27
20-31
17-21
32-16
13-28
21-22
27-21
17-32
17-20
17-15
18-16
18-19
17-23
25-30
15-26
18-14
29-32
25-35
35-14
181.4Avg total
86.0Scored
95.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.894.8181.6-8.040%
Season at home (1)93.087.0180.0+6.0100%
Season away (4)85.296.8182.0-11.525%
Last 10 (10)86.095.4181.4-9.430%
Last 5 (5)86.894.8181.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)86.998.5185.4-11.628%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.689.8169.4-10.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
75-113
75
113
-38
64avg 73
H26/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
74-107
74
107
-33
60avg 73
H28/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
70-114
70
114
-44
no box
A06/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
37avg 73
H08/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
75-94
75
94
-19
63avg 73
A13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
77-117
77
117
-40
71avg 73
H20/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
88-85
88
85
+3
89avg 73
H22/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
103-95
103
95
+8
98avg 73
H25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
78-93
78
93
-15
66avg 73
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
99-109 OT
99
109
-10
91avg 73
H03/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
20-33
21-41
23-17
24-33
22-19
9-16
19-39
14-33
17-24
17-30
22-27
13-24
23-19
21-18
15-20
19-29
18-22
18-25
20-18
33-26
17-32
10-32
17-27
19-26
18-18
28-19
23-22
25-18
25-24
23-24
30-29
34-23
10-20
14-29
20-21
23-17
24-23
18-34
26-17
181.9Avg total
81.1Scored
100.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.095.5187.5-3.550%
Season at home (3)96.796.3193.0+0.367%
Season away (1)78.093.0171.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)81.1100.8181.9-19.720%
Last 5 (5)89.099.8188.8-10.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)79.499.6179.1-20.212%
vs Similar ◀ (5)91.886.8178.6+5.060%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -8.9-8.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.2-2.2
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: -8.9-8.9Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -2.2-2.2
Cairns TaipansBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A08/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H12/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A19/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A20/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H23/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A27/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A30/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A03/10
NBL
91.6Avg total
44.1Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.147.292.3-2.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.245.992.2+0.362%-
Last 30 away (17)44.248.292.4-3.935%-
Last 10 (10)44.147.591.6-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.848.691.4-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)45.947.893.6-1.948%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.244.485.6-3.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H26/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H28/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A06/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H08/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H20/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H22/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H03/10
NBL
89.4Avg total
40.9Scored
48.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.249.891.0-8.630%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.449.192.5-5.735%-
Last 30 away (13)38.350.789.0-12.423%-
Last 10 (10)40.948.589.4-7.630%-
Last 5 (5)45.645.491.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)40.850.891.7-10.028%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)43.044.687.6-1.640%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.318.7
54.5%
56.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.39.3
29.7%
34.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws16.914.0
82.8%
74.0%14.0
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.620.0
51.8%
56.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.79.1
28.7%
34.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.911.3
63.1%
74.0%11.3
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
WLLWLLLWLL
Brisbane Bullets
LLWWLLLLLL
#4
League position
#6
-10.4
Net rating
-20.3
92.5
Offensive rating
86.8
102.9
Defensive rating
107.1
49.8%
Effective FG%
47.9%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
12.6%
Turnover %
14.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
29.7%
3-point %
28.7%
67.5%
Assist %
67.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 86.8Defence102.9 · 107.1Shooting49.8% · 47.9%3-point %29.7% · 28.7%Ball care12.6% · 14.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26AMelbourne United107-95
30/09/26ANew Zealand Breakers75-98
27/09/26AAdelaide69-83
23/09/26HTasmania JackJumpers93-87
20/09/26ASydney90-111
19/02/26ANew Zealand Breakers84-115
12/02/26HMelbourne United85-89
08/02/26ABrisbane Bullets81-72
06/02/26APerth84-98
01/02/26HSydney92-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/10/26HTasmania JackJumpers99-109 OT
30/09/26ASydney78-93
25/09/26HIllawarra Hawks103-95
22/09/26HNew Zealand Breakers88-85
20/02/26HSydney77-117
13/02/26APerth75-94
08/02/26HCairns Taipans72-81
06/02/26ATasmania JackJumpers70-114
28/01/26HAdelaide74-107
26/01/26HIllawarra Hawks75-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%100%25%
Points / game86.893.085.2
Allowed / game94.887.096.8
Point differential-8.0+6.0-11.5
Avg total181.6180.0182.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game92.096.778.0
Allowed / game95.596.393.0
Point differential-3.5+0.3-15.0
Avg total187.5193.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney330100%108.389.3+19.0
2 Tasmania JackJumpers43175%94.091.2+2.8
3 Perth43175%91.594.5-3.0
4 New Zealand Breakers53260%91.882.6+9.2
5 Brisbane Bullets42250%92.095.5-3.5
6 Melbourne United52340%90.888.0+2.8
7 South East Melbourne52340%90.689.8+0.8
8 Cairns Taipans52340%86.894.8-8.0
9 Adelaide62433%88.793.3-4.7
10 Illawarra Hawks51420%97.2104.8-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Taipans2324272397
Brisbane Bullets1733221991
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