PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Brisbane Bullets vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 26 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 75-113
11-22 20-33 21-41 23-17
Position#10
Record6-21
FormLLLLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game95.2
Brisbane Bullets
Australia
vs
Illawarra Hawks 🏆
Australia
Position#8
Record9-16
FormWLLLW
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game96.6
AustraliaNBLRound 18· Brisbane Entertainment Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks
17 Jan 2027
BRIS v ILLA
upcoming
25 Sep 2026
BRIS103
ILLA95
26 Jan 2026
BRIS75
ILLA113
27 Dec 2024
BRIS84
ILLA102
14 Jan 2024
BRIS110
ILLA103
03 Dec 2023
BRIS78
ILLA77
27 Oct 2022
BRIS86
ILLA61
09 Apr 2022
BRIS77
ILLA108
19 Dec 2021
BRIS96
ILLA92
26 Feb 2021
BRIS97
ILLA91
21 Jan 2021
BRIS82
ILLA90
16 Jan 2021
BRIS84
ILLA90
18 Jan 2020
BRIS106
ILLA77
07 Dec 2019
BRIS101
ILLA91
07 Feb 2019
BRIS98
ILLA87
22 Nov 2018
BRIS104
ILLA85
08 Feb 2018
BRIS99
ILLA91
03 Nov 2017
BRIS81
ILLA112
19 Dec 2016
BRIS85
ILLA91
10 Dec 2016
BRIS88
ILLA98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBullets
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
L
62-86
62
86
-24
45avg 74
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
78-107
78
107
-29
65avg 74
A20/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
99-85
99
85
+14
99avg 74
H22/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
87-92
87
92
-5
80avg 74
H27/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
70-95
70
95
-25
62avg 74
A30/12
NBL
Perth
#5
L
75-95
75
95
-20
68avg 74
H01/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
86-97
86
97
-11
77avg 74
H04/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
70avg 74
A12/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
no box
A15/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
66-98
66
98
-32
48avg 74
A21/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
21-27
15-16
13-21
17-22
21-33
12-25
28-27
26-20
30-21
23-22
20-22
26-28
19-31
26-21
16-12
15-24
15-27
19-26
21-18
16-25
28-15
11-31
20-24
20-15
25-23
20-30
21-29
16-28
19-19
27-21
21-20
23-29
18-23
17-23
22-20
19-29
17-28
14-24
16-17
172.4Avg total
78.6Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.095.2179.1-11.222%
Season at home (12)84.696.7181.2-12.117%
Season away (15)83.594.0177.5-10.527%
Last 10 (10)78.693.8172.4-15.210%
Last 5 (5)78.094.6172.6-16.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)83.197.2180.2-14.120%
vs Similar (5)91.689.0180.6+2.640%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
100-85
100
85
+15
99avg 86
H11/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
75-97
75
97
-22
62avg 86
A18/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
78-84
78
84
-6
66avg 86
H20/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
84-108
84
108
-24
72avg 86
A25/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
92-90
92
90
+2
89avg 86
H31/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
96-78
96
78
+18
90avg 86
H03/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
113-124 OT
113
124
-11
108avg 86
A08/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
96-101
96
101
-5
91avg 86
H11/01
NBL
Perth
#5
L
87-92
87
92
-5
no box
A16/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
101-91
101
91
+10
102avg 86
A24/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-33
26-17
22-18
29-17
20-24
21-23
26-27
8-23
21-21
18-20
20-19
19-24
19-34
22-28
17-21
26-25
23-18
27-21
23-26
19-25
22-18
23-31
27-15
24-14
25-23
25-32
29-24
27-27
25-28
18-21
23-22
30-30
13-18
24-26
21-21
29-27
27-26
33-22
22-26
19-17
187.2Avg total
92.2Scored
95.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)90.696.6187.3-6.036%
Season at home (13)91.893.7185.5-1.946%
Season away (12)89.499.8189.2-10.425%
Last 10 (10)92.295.0187.2-2.840%
Last 5 (5)98.697.2195.8+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)89.199.2188.4-10.121%
vs Similar (6)87.298.7185.8-11.533%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)95.886.3182.1+9.570%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.1+0.1
Brisbane BulletsIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A20/12
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H22/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
45-59
45
59
-14
H27/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A30/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H01/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H04/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A12/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A15/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A21/01
NBL
89.3Avg total
40.4Scored
48.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.550.493.0-7.930%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.350.794.0-7.438%-
Last 30 away (17)41.950.292.2-8.324%-
Last 10 (10)40.448.989.3-8.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.246.887.0-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)42.151.293.4-9.132%-
vs Similar (5)44.646.491.0-1.820%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H11/12
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A18/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H20/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-62
41
62
-21
A25/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H31/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H03/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A08/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H11/01
NBL
Perth
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A16/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A24/01
NBL
93.9Avg total
45.5Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.446.692.0-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.246.492.6-0.240%-
Last 30 away (15)44.646.991.5-2.333%-
Last 10 (10)45.548.493.9-2.920%-
Last 5 (5)47.049.096.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)44.147.992.0-3.929%-
vs Similar (6)46.849.596.3-2.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.443.189.5+3.350%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.321.5
49.7%
54.6%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.26.8
27.0%
33.3%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.114.8
70.1%
74.8%14.8
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.126.7
55.5%
54.6%53.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.28.2
31.3%
33.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.912.5
69.8%
74.8%12.5
They take 74.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brisbane Bullets
LLLLLLLWLL
Illawarra Hawks
WLLLWWLLLW
#10
League position
#8
-18.4
Net rating
-3.7
94.1
Offensive rating
106.0
112.5
Defensive rating
109.8
46.3%
Effective FG%
52.5%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
18.3%
Turnover %
14.7%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.24
27.0%
3-point %
31.3%
61.8%
Assist %
58.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.1 · 106.0Defence112.5 · 109.8Shooting46.3% · 52.5%3-point %27.0% · 31.3%Ball care18.3% · 14.7%Off. rebounds29.9% · 31.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Brisbane Bullets   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brisbane Bullets wins
6
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
11/12/25Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets100-85
11/10/25Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets116-89
20/01/25Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets121-87
27/12/24Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks84-102
27/09/24Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets113-101
03/02/24Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets89-76
14/01/24Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks110-103
03/12/23Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks78-77
21/01/23Illawarra Hawks v Brisbane Bullets86-103
27/10/22Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks86-61
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26AMelbourne United66-98
15/01/26ASydney80-95
12/01/26ACairns Taipans83-88
04/01/26HAdelaide86-97
01/01/26HPerth75-95
30/12/25ASydney70-95
27/12/25HMelbourne United87-92
22/12/25HNew Zealand Breakers99-85
20/12/25ASouth East Melbourne78-107
14/12/25HPerth62-86
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26ATasmania JackJumpers101-91
16/01/26APerth87-92
11/01/26HNew Zealand Breakers96-101
08/01/26ASouth East Melbourne113-124 OT
03/01/26HCairns Taipans96-78
31/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers92-90
25/12/25ASydney84-108
20/12/25HAdelaide78-84
18/12/25AMelbourne United75-97
11/12/25HBrisbane Bullets100-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %22%17%27%
Points / game84.084.683.5
Allowed / game95.296.794.0
Point differential-11.2-12.1-10.5
Avg total179.1181.2177.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW36%
HomeWLWWL46%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %36%46%25%
Points / game90.691.889.4
Allowed / game96.693.799.8
Point differential-6.0-1.9-10.4
Avg total187.3185.5189.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%31%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %8%8%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide2720774%92.887.7+5.1
2 South East Melbourne2719870%100.892.1+8.7
3 Sydney2718967%96.186.7+9.4
4 Melbourne United28181064%92.787.3+5.4
5 Perth27161159%89.985.7+4.2
6 Tasmania JackJumpers28121643%85.885.9-0.2
7 New Zealand Breakers27101737%90.592.1-1.6
8 Illawarra Hawks2591636%90.696.6-6.0
9 Cairns Taipans2772026%82.797.1-14.4
10 Brisbane Bullets2762122%84.095.2-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisbane Bullets1120212375
Illawarra Hawks22334117113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.