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Brisbane Bullets vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 103-95
25-18 25-24 23-24 30-29
Position#8
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game85.0
vs
Position#10
Record0-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game95.0
AustraliaNBLRound 2· Brisbane Entertainment Centre
Other2026-27
Meetings · Brisbane Bullets v Illawarra Hawks
17 Jan 2027
BRIS v ILLA
upcoming
25 Sep 2026
BRIS103
ILLA95
26 Jan 2026
BRIS75
ILLA113
27 Dec 2024
BRIS84
ILLA102
14 Jan 2024
BRIS110
ILLA103
03 Dec 2023
BRIS78
ILLA77
27 Oct 2022
BRIS86
ILLA61
09 Apr 2022
BRIS77
ILLA108
19 Dec 2021
BRIS96
ILLA92
26 Feb 2021
BRIS97
ILLA91
21 Jan 2021
BRIS82
ILLA90
16 Jan 2021
BRIS84
ILLA90
18 Jan 2020
BRIS106
ILLA77
07 Dec 2019
BRIS101
ILLA91
07 Feb 2019
BRIS98
ILLA87
22 Nov 2018
BRIS104
ILLA85
08 Feb 2018
BRIS99
ILLA91
03 Nov 2017
BRIS81
ILLA112
19 Dec 2016
BRIS85
ILLA91
10 Dec 2016
BRIS88
ILLA98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brisbane Bullets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
83-88
83
88
-5
A12/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A15/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
66-98
66
98
-32
A21/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
75-113
75
113
-38
H26/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
74-107
74
107
-33
H28/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
70-114
70
114
-44
A06/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H08/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
75-94
75
94
-19
A13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
77-117
77
117
-40
H20/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H22/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-28
19-19
27-21
21-20
23-29
18-23
17-23
22-20
19-29
17-28
14-24
16-17
11-22
20-33
21-41
23-17
24-33
22-19
9-16
19-39
14-33
17-24
17-30
22-27
13-24
23-19
21-18
15-20
19-29
18-22
18-25
20-18
33-26
17-32
10-32
17-27
19-26
18-18
28-19
23-22
175.2Avg total
76.0Scored
99.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.085.0173.0+3.0100%
Season at home (1)88.085.0173.0+3.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.099.2175.2-23.210%
Last 5 (5)76.498.2174.6-21.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)80.899.2180.0-18.419%
vs Similar (3)89.384.7174.0+4.733%
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
101-91
101
91
+10
A24/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
113-75
113
75
+38
A26/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
104-122
104
122
-18
A29/01
NBL
Perth
#5
L
99-106
99
106
-7
H31/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
100-99
100
99
+1
H05/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
95-106
95
106
-11
A07/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
94-120
94
120
-26
H13/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
100-91
100
91
+9
A15/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
103-70
103
70
+33
A18/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A20/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
33-22
22-26
19-17
22-11
33-20
41-21
17-23
22-28
23-35
29-28
30-31
30-25
24-23
20-32
25-26
27-21
18-30
24-27
31-21
25-33
25-28
30-23
15-22
19-34
27-24
23-26
25-36
29-24
25-21
23-18
23-28
26-18
28-16
27-17
22-19
24-28
23-26
14-22
20-19
196.5Avg total
99.0Scored
97.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.095.0176.0-14.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)81.095.0176.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)99.097.5196.5+1.550%
Last 5 (5)94.696.4191.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)91.7101.6193.3-9.926%
vs Similar (6)91.293.3184.5-2.250%
vs Weaker (5)98.484.2182.6+14.280%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -8.8-8.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -1.5-1.5
Brisbane BulletsIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A12/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A15/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A21/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H26/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H28/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A06/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H08/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H20/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H22/09
NBL
89.6Avg total
38.0Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.251.392.5-10.223%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.450.592.9-8.125%-
Last 30 away (14)39.852.392.1-12.521%-
Last 10 (10)38.051.689.6-13.60%-
Last 5 (5)38.250.688.8-12.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (27)41.052.093.0-11.022%-
vs Similar (3)42.745.788.3-3.033%-
vs Weaker ◀no games
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A24/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
55-31
55
31
+24
A26/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A29/01
NBL
Perth
#5
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H31/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H05/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A07/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H13/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A15/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
54-34
54
34
+20
A18/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A20/09
NBL
100.3Avg total
51.0Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.448.594.9-2.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.348.593.8-3.229%-
Last 30 away (16)47.348.695.9-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)51.049.3100.3+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)50.250.4100.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)45.549.895.3-4.332%-
vs Similar (6)48.547.295.7+1.350%-
vs Weaker (5)47.045.492.4+1.640%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.4
51.9%
56.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.2
27.0%
34.4%21.6
🏀 Free throws19.412.9
66.5%
73.7%12.9
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 98.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.926.6
56.7%
56.0%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.5
33.6%
34.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.516.9
78.6%
73.7%16.9
They take 75.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brisbane Bullets
WLLLLLLLLL
Illawarra Hawks
LWWLLWLLWW
#8
League position
#10
-23.5
Net rating
+1.2
89.2
Offensive rating
103.4
112.6
Defensive rating
102.3
47.3%
Effective FG%
54.3%
58.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
14.6%
Turnover %
12.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
27.0%
3-point %
33.6%
68.1%
Assist %
61.2%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence89.2 · 103.4Defence112.6 · 102.3Shooting47.3% · 54.3%3-point %27.0% · 33.6%Ball care14.6% · 12.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Brisbane Bullets   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/26HNew Zealand Breakers88-85
20/02/26HSydney77-117
13/02/26APerth75-94
08/02/26HCairns Taipans72-81
06/02/26ATasmania JackJumpers70-114
28/01/26HAdelaide74-107
26/01/26HIllawarra Hawks75-113
21/01/26AMelbourne United66-98
15/01/26ASydney80-95
12/01/26ACairns Taipans83-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/09/26ANew Zealand Breakers81-95
18/02/26ATasmania JackJumpers103-70
15/02/26AMelbourne United100-91
13/02/26HSydney94-120
07/02/26ANew Zealand Breakers95-106
05/02/26HAdelaide100-99
31/01/26HPerth99-106
29/01/26ASydney104-122
26/01/26ABrisbane Bullets113-75
24/01/26ATasmania JackJumpers101-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game85.085.0-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total173.0173.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game81.0-81.0
Allowed / game95.0-95.0
Point differential-14.0--14.0
Avg total176.0-176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney110100%111.090.0+21.0
2 Brisbane Bullets110100%88.085.0+3.0
3 Melbourne United21150%90.579.0+11.5
4 New Zealand Breakers21150%90.084.5+5.5
5 Adelaide21150%97.096.5+0.5
6 Tasmania JackJumpers21150%91.592.0-0.5
7 Cairns Taipans21150%91.599.0-7.5
8 Perth21150%88.598.5-10.0
9 South East Melbourne31233%84.087.0-3.0
10 Illawarra Hawks1010%81.095.0-14.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brisbane Bullets25252330103
Illawarra Hawks1824242995
← all games of the day
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