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Sydney vs Brisbane Bullets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 30 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 93-78
23-34 20-10 29-14 21-20
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game95.0
Sydney 🏆
Australia
vs
Brisbane Bullets
Australia
Position#8
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game90.0
AustraliaNBLRound 3· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Sydney v Brisbane Bullets
25 Jan 2027
SYDN v BRIS
upcoming
30 Sep 2026
SYDN93
BRIS78
15 Jan 2026
SYDN95
BRIS80
30 Dec 2025
SYDN95
BRIS70
15 Dec 2024
SYDN93
BRIS81
07 Jan 2024
SYDN93
BRIS101
12 Nov 2023
SYDN104
BRIS95
07 Oct 2022
SYDN100
BRIS90
13 Feb 2022
SYDN71
BRIS69
23 Jan 2022
SYDN97
BRIS73
05 Jun 2021
SYDN83
BRIS82
03 Apr 2021
SYDN90
BRIS71
26 Oct 2019
SYDN94
BRIS79
03 Feb 2019
SYDN107
BRIS91
29 Dec 2018
SYDN75
BRIS68
10 Feb 2018
SYDN92
BRIS80
09 Dec 2017
SYDN77
BRIS85
30 Oct 2016
SYDN87
BRIS78
08 Oct 2016
SYDN73
BRIS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brisbane Bullets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
117-77
117
77
+40
A20/02
NBL
Perth
#5
W
105-104
105
104
+1
H11/03
NBL
Perth
#5
W
89-75
89
75
+14
A14/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
112-68
112
68
+44
H21/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A27/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
106-93
106
93
+13
H29/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
91-92
91
92
-1
A01/04
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
113-101 OT
113
101
+12
H05/04
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
111-90
111
90
+21
H20/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
121-100
121
100
+21
H27/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-33
32-17
32-10
27-17
22-24
26-20
25-31
32-29
22-23
21-23
17-13
29-16
31-23
28-16
31-17
22-12
30-25
22-28
25-15
12-23
24-31
28-22
21-17
33-23
24-22
29-24
21-26
17-20
29-31
27-24
13-21
26-19
32-26
27-27
31-20
21-17
31-27
34-18
33-26
23-29
194.5Avg total
105.4Scored
89.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)116.095.0211.0+21.0100%
Season at home (2)116.095.0211.0+21.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)105.489.1194.5+16.380%
Last 5 (5)108.495.2203.6+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)103.789.4193.0+14.380%
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A15/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
66-98
66
98
-32
A21/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
75-113
75
113
-38
H26/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
74-107
74
107
-33
H28/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
70-114
70
114
-44
A06/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H08/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
75-94
75
94
-19
A13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
77-117
77
117
-40
H20/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H22/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
103-95
103
95
+8
H25/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
18-23
17-23
22-20
19-29
17-28
14-24
16-17
11-22
20-33
21-41
23-17
24-33
22-19
9-16
19-39
14-33
17-24
17-30
22-27
13-24
23-19
21-18
15-20
19-29
18-22
18-25
20-18
33-26
17-32
10-32
17-27
19-26
18-18
28-19
23-22
25-18
25-24
23-24
30-29
177.9Avg total
78.0Scored
99.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.590.0185.5+5.5100%
Season at home (2)95.590.0185.5+5.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.099.9177.9-21.920%
Last 5 (5)83.094.4177.4-11.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)80.598.5179.0-18.019%
vs Similar (3)89.384.7174.0+4.733%
vs Weaker (1)103.095.0198.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -6.9-6.9Q2Q2: +5.5+5.5Q2: -4.7-4.7Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -7.4-7.4Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -2.9-2.9
SydneyBrisbane Bullets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A20/02
NBL
Perth
#5
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H11/03
NBL
Perth
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A14/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
59-39
59
39
+20
H21/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A27/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H29/03
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A01/04
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
56-55
56
55
+1
H05/04
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H20/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H27/09
NBL
102.9Avg total
54.5Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.746.198.8+6.673%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.845.7101.5+10.188%-
Last 30 away (13)48.546.695.2+1.954%-
Last 10 (10)54.548.4102.9+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)57.050.4107.4+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)52.746.198.8+6.673%-
This opponent (Brisbane Bullets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brisbane BulletsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A15/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A21/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H26/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H28/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A06/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H08/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A13/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H20/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H22/09
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H25/09
NBL
90.6Avg total
39.5Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.350.591.7-9.227%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.850.092.8-7.229%-
Last 30 away (13)39.251.190.3-11.823%-
Last 10 (10)39.551.190.6-11.610%-
Last 5 (5)42.047.689.6-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)40.851.392.1-10.623%-
vs Similar (3)42.745.788.3-3.033%-
vs Weaker (1)50.042.092.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 104.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.925.6
59.7%
56.0%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.212.2
40.4%
34.4%36.6
🏀 Free throws22.116.7
75.6%
73.7%16.7
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brisbane Bulletstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brisbane Bullets: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.521.3
52.6%
56.0%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.27.4
27.2%
34.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws20.313.3
65.5%
73.7%13.3
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
WWWLWLWWWW
Brisbane Bullets
WWLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#8
+17.8
Net rating
-19.8
113.2
Offensive rating
90.1
95.4
Defensive rating
110.0
60.1%
Effective FG%
47.9%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
59.2%
9.7%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.4%
3-point %
27.2%
60.3%
Assist %
65.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 90.1Defence95.4 · 110.0Shooting60.1% · 47.9%3-point %40.4% · 27.2%Ball care9.7% · 13.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Sydney   ■ Brisbane Bullets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Sydney wins
1
Brisbane Bullets wins
DateGameScore
20/02/26Brisbane Bullets v Sydney77-117
15/01/26Sydney v Brisbane Bullets95-80
30/12/25Sydney v Brisbane Bullets95-70
01/11/25Brisbane Bullets v Sydney79-116
04/01/25Brisbane Bullets v Sydney86-91
15/12/24Sydney v Brisbane Bullets93-81
05/10/24Brisbane Bullets v Sydney82-91
07/01/24Sydney v Brisbane Bullets93-101
12/11/23Sydney v Brisbane Bullets104-95
13/10/23Brisbane Bullets v Sydney102-113
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26HIllawarra Hawks121-100
20/09/26HCairns Taipans111-90
05/04/26HAdelaide113-101 OT
01/04/26AAdelaide91-92
29/03/26HAdelaide106-93
27/03/26AAdelaide89-91
21/03/26HAdelaide112-68
14/03/26APerth89-75
11/03/26HPerth105-104
20/02/26ABrisbane Bullets117-77
Brisbane Bulletslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/09/26HIllawarra Hawks103-95
22/09/26HNew Zealand Breakers88-85
20/02/26HSydney77-117
13/02/26APerth75-94
08/02/26HCairns Taipans72-81
06/02/26ATasmania JackJumpers70-114
28/01/26HAdelaide74-107
26/01/26HIllawarra Hawks75-113
21/01/26AMelbourne United66-98
15/01/26ASydney80-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game116.0116.0-
Allowed / game95.095.0-
Point differential+21.0+21.0-
Avg total211.0211.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Brisbane Bullets
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.595.5-
Allowed / game90.090.0-
Point differential+5.5+5.5-
Avg total185.5185.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney220100%116.095.0+21.0
2 Brisbane Bullets220100%95.590.0+5.5
3 Adelaide32167%92.387.3+5.0
4 Perth32167%91.396.7-5.3
5 Melbourne United21150%90.579.0+11.5
6 New Zealand Breakers42250%92.885.2+7.5
7 Tasmania JackJumpers21150%91.592.0-0.5
8 South East Melbourne31233%84.087.0-3.0
9 Cairns Taipans41325%81.894.8-13.0
10 Illawarra Hawks3030%92.0106.3-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney2320292193
Brisbane Bullets3410142078
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