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Melbourne United vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 95-107
14-18 32-29 35-25 14-35
Position#3
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game80.7
Melbourne United
Australia
vs
Cairns Taipans 🏆
Australia
Position#4
Record1-3
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game94.8
AustraliaNBLRound 3· John Cain Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans
13 Jan 2027
MELB v CAIR
upcoming
23 Dec 2026
MELB v CAIR
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
MELB95
CAIR107
07 Jan 2026
MELB92
CAIR93
12 Oct 2025
MELB95
CAIR60
27 Oct 2024
MELB106
CAIR63
06 Oct 2024
MELB88
CAIR101
03 Dec 2023
MELB103
CAIR115
23 Dec 2022
MELB84
CAIR81
20 Oct 2022
MELB77
CAIR81
18 Apr 2022
MELB92
CAIR80
14 Jan 2017
MELB92
CAIR85
18 Nov 2016
MELB84
CAIR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
95-97
95
97
-2
88avg 80
A30/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
51avg 80
H07/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
72avg 80
A12/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
91-100
91
100
-9
74avg 80
H15/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
95-91
95
91
+4
88avg 80
H19/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
82-68
82
68
+14
81avg 80
H05/03
NBL
Perth
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
54avg 80
A07/03
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
95-97
95
97
-2
85avg 80
H19/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
86-61
86
61
+25
78avg 80
A24/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
82-84
82
84
-2
69avg 80
A01/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-28
27-21
25-22
22-26
23-29
16-12
14-26
23-20
19-19
21-27
16-14
33-25
24-29
21-25
18-23
28-23
33-23
19-19
16-30
27-19
15-17
25-14
16-24
26-13
19-22
34-22
10-23
14-28
23-25
25-24
22-26
25-22
16-14
29-21
24-22
17-4
14-23
21-29
19-16
28-16
173.3Avg total
86.8Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.780.7168.3+7.033%
Season at home (1)95.097.0192.0-2.00%
Season away (2)84.072.5156.5+11.550%
Last 10 (10)86.886.5173.3+0.340%
Last 5 (5)84.481.0165.4+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)90.794.7185.3-4.00%
vs Similar (11)86.490.8177.2-4.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.186.5176.6+3.656%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
82avg 74
H30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
92-106
92
106
-14
80avg 74
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
84-98
84
98
-14
36avg 74
A06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
81-72
81
72
+9
69avg 74
A08/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 74
H12/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
84-115
84
115
-31
74avg 74
A19/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
90-111
90
111
-21
78avg 74
A20/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
93-87
93
87
+6
84avg 74
H23/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
69-83
69
83
-14
58avg 74
A27/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
75-98
75
98
-23
59avg 74
A30/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
27-22
17-26
13-19
34-17
20-28
22-26
16-35
22-22
18-28
19-18
25-30
24-13
19-23
18-21
20-15
19-19
27-21
14-16
25-33
24-24
20-37
22-27
18-27
26-32
27-27
20-31
17-21
32-16
13-28
21-22
27-21
17-32
17-20
17-15
18-16
18-19
17-23
25-30
15-26
180.1Avg total
84.9Scored
95.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.894.8176.5-13.025%
Season at home (1)93.087.0180.0+6.0100%
Season away (3)78.097.3175.3-19.30%
Last 10 (10)84.995.2180.1-10.330%
Last 5 (5)82.298.8181.0-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)85.899.1184.9-13.424%
vs Similar (5)79.689.8169.4-10.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -4.6-4.6Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: -4.9-4.9
Melbourne UnitedCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A30/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H07/02
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A12/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H15/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H19/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/03
NBL
Perth
#5
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A07/03
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H19/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#8
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A01/10
NBL
88.8Avg total
44.5Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.946.192.0-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.242.889.0+3.467%-
Last 30 away (15)45.649.394.9-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)44.544.388.8+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)44.242.286.4+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)49.351.7101.0-2.333%-
vs Similar (11)44.547.592.1-3.045%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.244.090.2+2.256%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A08/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H12/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A19/02
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A20/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H23/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A27/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A30/09
NBL
91.6Avg total
44.8Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.947.792.6-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.946.992.9-1.057%-
Last 30 away (16)44.148.392.4-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)44.846.891.6-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.251.693.8-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)45.748.394.0-2.644%-
vs Similar (5)41.244.485.6-3.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.821.7
50.7%
56.4%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.79.6
30.3%
34.2%28.8
🏀 Free throws18.813.5
71.8%
74.0%13.5
They take 74.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.0
53.4%
56.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.38.7
28.7%
34.2%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.014.1
82.9%
74.0%14.1
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
LWLLWWLWLL
Cairns Taipans
LLWLLLWLLW
#3
League position
#4
-0.4
Net rating
-11.4
92.5
Offensive rating
91.0
93.0
Defensive rating
102.5
48.5%
Effective FG%
48.6%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
12.0%
Turnover %
12.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
30.3%
3-point %
28.7%
56.2%
Assist %
65.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 91.0Defence93.0 · 102.5Shooting48.5% · 48.6%3-point %30.3% · 28.7%Ball care12.0% · 12.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Melbourne United wins
5
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
12/02/26Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United85-89
07/01/26Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans92-93
24/10/25Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United67-94
12/10/25Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans95-60
26/12/24Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United66-76
27/10/24Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans106-63
06/10/24Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans88-101
16/02/24Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United97-88
31/12/23Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United95-78
03/12/23Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans103-115
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers82-84
24/09/26ASouth East Melbourne86-61
19/09/26HAdelaide95-97
07/03/26APerth77-95
05/03/26HTasmania JackJumpers82-68
19/02/26HSouth East Melbourne95-91
15/02/26HIllawarra Hawks91-100
12/02/26ACairns Taipans89-85
07/02/26HAdelaide76-87
30/01/26ANew Zealand Breakers95-97
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/26ANew Zealand Breakers75-98
27/09/26AAdelaide69-83
23/09/26HTasmania JackJumpers93-87
20/09/26ASydney90-111
19/02/26ANew Zealand Breakers84-115
12/02/26HMelbourne United85-89
08/02/26ABrisbane Bullets81-72
06/02/26APerth84-98
01/02/26HSydney92-106
30/01/26HTasmania JackJumpers96-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game87.795.084.0
Allowed / game80.797.072.5
Point differential+7.0-2.0+11.5
Avg total168.3192.0156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game81.893.078.0
Allowed / game94.887.097.3
Point differential-13.0+6.0-19.3
Avg total176.5180.0175.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney330100%108.389.3+19.0
2 Tasmania JackJumpers43175%94.091.2+2.8
3 Perth43175%91.594.5-3.0
4 New Zealand Breakers42250%92.885.2+7.5
5 Adelaide42250%92.294.0-1.8
6 Brisbane Bullets42250%92.095.5-3.5
7 Melbourne United31233%87.780.7+7.0
8 South East Melbourne41325%85.088.2-3.2
9 Illawarra Hawks41325%97.5102.8-5.2
10 Cairns Taipans41325%81.894.8-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United1432351495
Cairns Taipans18292535107
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