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Cairns Taipans vs Melbourne United Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 08:30
Final 85-89
19-19 27-21 14-16 25-33
Position#9
Record9-22
FormLWLLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game96.5
Cairns Taipans
Australia
vs
Melbourne United 🏆
Australia
Position#4
Record18-12
FormWWWLL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game87.6
AustraliaNBLRound 21· Cairns Convention Centre
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United
31 Oct 2026
CAIR97
MELB113
12 Feb 2026
CAIR85
MELB89
24 Oct 2025
CAIR67
MELB94
26 Dec 2024
CAIR66
MELB76
16 Feb 2024
CAIR97
MELB88
31 Dec 2023
CAIR95
MELB78
04 Nov 2022
CAIR97
MELB72
10 Apr 2022
CAIR63
MELB92
27 Feb 2022
CAIR73
MELB89
29 Dec 2016
CAIR78
MELB79
27 Oct 2016
CAIR83
MELB76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
78-96
78
96
-18
70avg 75
A03/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
93-92
93
92
+1
96avg 75
A07/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
88-83
88
83
+5
84avg 75
H12/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
86-104
86
104
-18
no box
H17/01
NBL
Perth
#5
L
69-106
69
106
-37
53avg 75
A22/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
91-118
91
118
-27
84avg 75
A24/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
96-93 OT
96
93
+3
82avg 75
H30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
92-106
92
106
-14
80avg 75
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
84-98
84
98
-14
36avg 75
A06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
81-72
81
72
+9
69avg 75
A08/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
31-23
15-27
14-24
29-22
14-23
33-30
17-17
28-16
19-19
21-27
20-21
21-26
30-29
17-25
18-24
25-30
18-24
13-38
13-14
26-16
26-33
15-32
24-37
27-17
27-22
17-26
13-19
34-17
20-28
22-26
16-35
22-22
18-28
19-18
25-30
24-13
19-23
18-21
20-15
182.6Avg total
85.8Scored
96.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)83.496.5179.8-13.129%
Season at home (16)85.796.9182.6-11.225%
Season away (15)80.996.0176.9-15.133%
Last 10 (10)85.896.8182.6-11.040%
Last 5 (5)88.897.4186.2-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)83.597.2180.7-13.723%
vs Similar (4)84.287.5171.8-3.275%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
73-92
73
92
-19
62avg 84
H23/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
92-87
92
87
+5
89avg 84
A27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
75-84
75
84
-9
63avg 84
A03/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
92-93
92
93
-1
75avg 84
H07/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
94-97
94
97
-3
86avg 84
A11/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
H17/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
98-66
98
66
+32
98avg 84
H21/01
NBL
Perth
#5
W
74-73
74
73
+1
69avg 84
A25/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
95-97
95
97
-2
88avg 84
A30/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
76-87
76
87
-11
51avg 84
H07/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
20-20
9-23
25-27
28-26
31-19
21-26
12-16
16-19
19-25
15-19
25-21
22-29
23-14
30-33
17-17
23-26
25-30
25-23
21-18
23-21
20-21
18-17
18-18
29-19
28-17
24-14
17-16
12-24
26-16
12-12
24-21
21-28
27-21
25-22
22-26
23-29
16-12
14-26
23-20
170.1Avg total
84.8Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)92.287.6179.8+4.660%
Season at home (15)92.583.3175.8+9.167%
Season away (15)91.991.9183.9+0.053%
Last 10 (10)84.885.3170.1-0.540%
Last 5 (5)84.480.0164.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)94.894.2189.0+0.525%
vs Similar (9)88.890.2179.0-1.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)93.484.7178.1+8.771%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -8.0-8.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -8.0-8.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -5.6-5.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
Cairns TaipansMelbourne United
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A03/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H12/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H17/01
NBL
Perth
#5
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A22/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A24/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H30/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A06/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A08/02
NBL
92.9Avg total
47.6Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.947.090.9-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.647.391.9-2.750%-
Last 30 away (14)43.146.689.7-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)47.645.392.9+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.643.892.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)43.747.791.4-4.038%-
vs Similar (4)45.542.287.8+3.275%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H23/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A27/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A03/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/01
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A11/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H17/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H21/01
NBL
Perth
#5
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A25/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A30/01
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H07/02
NBL
88.9Avg total
45.1Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.744.792.3+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.940.588.5+7.480%-
Last 30 away (15)47.448.896.2-1.440%-
Last 10 (10)45.143.888.9+1.340%-
Last 5 (5)45.041.686.6+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)49.551.8101.2-2.225%-
vs Similar (9)44.747.992.6-3.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)48.841.390.1+7.576%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.118.8
55.1%
54.6%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.0
34.5%
33.3%27.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.7
78.5%
74.8%15.7
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 85.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.421.1
49.8%
54.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.49.6
32.7%
33.3%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.014.6
76.8%
74.8%14.6
They take 71.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
WLLWLLLWWL
Melbourne United
LLWWWLLLWL
#9
League position
#4
-12.6
Net rating
+1.9
98.4
Offensive rating
101.9
111.1
Defensive rating
100.0
53.7%
Effective FG%
49.4%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
15.9%
Turnover %
13.2%
20.2%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.5%
3-point %
32.7%
66.2%
Assist %
62.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.4 · 101.9Defence111.1 · 100.0Shooting53.7% · 49.4%3-point %34.5% · 32.7%Ball care15.9% · 13.2%Off. rebounds20.2% · 28.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ Melbourne United
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cairns Taipans wins
5
Melbourne United wins
DateGameScore
07/01/26Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans92-93
24/10/25Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United67-94
12/10/25Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans95-60
26/12/24Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United66-76
27/10/24Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans106-63
06/10/24Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans88-101
16/02/24Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United97-88
31/12/23Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United95-78
03/12/23Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans103-115
23/12/22Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans84-81
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26ABrisbane Bullets81-72
06/02/26APerth84-98
01/02/26HSydney92-106
30/01/26HTasmania JackJumpers96-93 OT
24/01/26ASouth East Melbourne91-118
22/01/26APerth69-106
17/01/26HNew Zealand Breakers86-104
12/01/26HBrisbane Bullets88-83
07/01/26AMelbourne United93-92
03/01/26AIllawarra Hawks78-96
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HAdelaide76-87
30/01/26ANew Zealand Breakers95-97
25/01/26APerth74-73
21/01/26HBrisbane Bullets98-66
17/01/26HTasmania JackJumpers79-77
11/01/26ASydney94-97
07/01/26HCairns Taipans92-93
03/01/26ATasmania JackJumpers75-84
27/12/25ABrisbane Bullets92-87
23/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers73-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW29%
HomeLWLWL25%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %29%25%33%
Points / game83.485.780.9
Allowed / game96.596.996.0
Point differential-13.1-11.2-15.1
Avg total179.8182.6176.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%0%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)67% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %6%6%7%
Melbourne United
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL60%
HomeLLWWL67%
AwayWLLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %60%67%53%
Points / game92.292.591.9
Allowed / game87.683.391.9
Point differential+4.6+9.1+0.0
Avg total179.8175.8183.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%47%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)50% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide3122971%92.887.6+5.2
2 Sydney3021970%97.987.5+10.4
3 South East Melbourne31211068%100.492.3+8.1
4 Perth30191163%91.186.3+4.8
5 Melbourne United30181260%92.287.6+4.6
6 Tasmania JackJumpers31141745%87.185.8+1.2
7 New Zealand Breakers31121939%90.993.0-2.1
8 Illawarra Hawks30111937%92.697.5-4.9
9 Cairns Taipans3192229%83.496.5-13.1
10 Brisbane Bullets3162519%82.596.3-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Taipans1927142585
Melbourne United1921163389
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