Melbourne United vs Cairns Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Nov 2013

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 88-85

18-26 18-26 26-18 26-15

Position#3

Record3-3

FormLWWLW

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game77.8

Melbourne United 🏆

Cairns

Position#5

Record2-4

FormWLLLL

Points / game83.5

Allowed / game87.3

NBLRound 6

Other2013-14

Meetings · Melbourne United v Cairns

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cairns winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

84-114

114

-30

A14/03

NBL

Townsville

73-75

-2

A17/03

NBL

Cairns

66-64

A22/03

NBL

Townsville

78-70

H24/03

NBL

Sydney

69-73

-4

A13/10

NBL

Perth

71-75

-4

H20/10

NBL

Adelaide

93-79

+14

H27/10

NBL

Cairns

86-74

+12

A02/11

NBL

Adelaide

87-90

-3

A08/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

81-76

H10/11

NBL

34-30

16-30

15-21

19-33

21-18

18-17

15-14

19-26

16-18

18-12

16-18

16-16

28-10

10-19

12-19

28-22

16-17

15-23

26-10

12-23

31-26

15-22

14-12

11-15

15-16

26-18

18-22

34-23

27-23

18-18

25-16

16-17

13-22

20-31

33-22

21-15

29-20

13-20

19-16

20-20

157.8Avg total

78.8Scored

79.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	81.2	77.8	159.0	+3.3	50%
Season at home (3)	81.7	76.7	158.3	+5.0	67%
Season away (3)	80.7	79.0	159.7	+1.7	33%
Last 10 (10)	78.8	79.0	157.8	-0.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	78.8	162.4	+4.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	69.7	85.1	154.9	-15.4	0%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	79.1	74.6	153.7	+4.5	65%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

70-69

A09/03

NBL

Adelaide

76-73

H15/03

NBL

Perth

53-70

-17

A17/03

NBL

Melbourne United

64-66

-2

H22/03

NBL

Townsville

103-92

103

+11

A12/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

86-85

H19/10

NBL

Adelaide

84-87

-3

H25/10

NBL

Melbourne United

74-86

-12

H02/11

NBL

Sydney

86-99

-13

A08/11

NBL

Perth

68-75

-7

A14/11

NBL

14-8

20-23

24-20

12-18

23-20

17-16

13-13

23-24

21-16

11-19

10-22

11-13

18-16

12-18

18-16

16-16

33-26

22-20

25-23

23-23

24-20

19-23

27-21

16-21

29-15

15-30

22-10

18-32

23-27

18-18

16-25

17-16

15-30

29-20

15-25

27-24

18-26

18-14

17-20

15-15

156.6Avg total

76.4Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (6)	83.5	87.3	170.8	-3.8	33%
Season at home (3)	81.3	86.0	167.3	-4.7	33%
Season away (3)	85.7	88.7	174.3	-3.0	33%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	80.2	156.6	-3.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	86.4	166.0	-6.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	66.3	78.2	144.6	-11.9	11%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	77.2	77.7	154.8	-0.5	44%
vs Weaker (3)	92.7	88.7	181.3	+4.0	67%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedCairns

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	19.4	41.7	+2.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	21.4	44.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.7	24.0	46.7	-1.3	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	21.3	18.8	40.1	+2.5	52%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	19.3	38.1	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.7	39.5	+0.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	20.4	42.2	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.6	45.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.8	18.8	34.6	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.6	61%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.3	38.3	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	21.7	38.7	-4.6	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.9	21.0	37.9	-4.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	21.8	40.2	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.9	23.7	39.6	-7.9	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	18.7	19.3	38.0	-0.7	39%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.1	38.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.4	18.9	37.3	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	21.3	40.2	-2.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	20.1	38.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.2	21.7	39.9	-3.4	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	39%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	67%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

New Zealand Breakers

50-60

-10

A14/03

NBL

Townsville

39-35

A17/03

NBL

Cairns

34-30

A22/03

NBL

Townsville

38-29

H24/03

NBL

Sydney

31-40

-9

A13/10

NBL

Perth

46-48

-2

H20/10

NBL

Adelaide

41-34

H27/10

NBL

Cairns

45-41

A02/11

NBL

Adelaide

33-53

-20

A08/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

42-40

H10/11

NBL

80.9Avg total

39.9Scored

41.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	40.3	80.0	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.2	38.4	79.6	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	42.3	80.3	-4.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	41.0	80.9	-1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	43.2	84.6	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	38.6	47.7	86.3	-9.1	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	40.0	38.1	78.0	+1.9	65%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

34-31

A09/03

NBL

Adelaide

40-36

H15/03

NBL

Perth

32-35

-3

A17/03

NBL

Melbourne United

30-34

-4

H22/03

NBL

Townsville

55-46

A12/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

43-43

H19/10

NBL

Adelaide

44-45

-1

H25/10

NBL

Melbourne United

41-45

-4

H02/11

NBL

Sydney

44-50

-6

A08/11

NBL

Perth

36-40

-4

A14/11

NBL

80.4Avg total

39.9Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	39.6	77.6	-1.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	38.3	75.4	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.8	40.9	79.7	-2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.9	40.5	80.4	-0.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	44.6	86.2	-3.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	34.0	40.4	74.4	-6.4	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	39.9	39.2	79.1	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	38.3	39.7	78.0	-1.3	67%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	17.4	35.5	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.1	17.3	35.3	+0.8	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	17.6	35.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.0	36.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.6	39.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	14.4	18.4	32.9	-4.0	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.2	17.1	36.3	+2.1	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.1	36.7	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	16.5	35.1	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	19.8	38.3	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	20.2	39.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.2	19.6	36.8	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.3	17.8	36.1	+0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.0	16.0	40.0	+8.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.1	37.8	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	19.2	36.6	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	18.0	38.4	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.7	19.0	35.7	-2.3	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.2	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	19.6	36.4	-2.8	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.7	19.6	36.3	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.0	19.6	36.6	-2.6	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.2	38.0	-2.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	15.1	18.2	33.3	-3.1	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.7	19.8	37.4	-2.1	39%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	22.7	39.7	-5.7	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.8	36.5	73.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.1	36.3	74.3	+1.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.5	36.8	72.3	-1.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.9	38.0	76.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	35.6	77.8	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	31.1	37.4	68.6	-6.3	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	38.5	36.3	74.8	+2.3	48%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.4	37.7	73.1	-2.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.3	36.1	71.4	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.5	39.4	74.9	-3.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.5	39.7	76.2	-3.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	41.8	79.8	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	32.3	37.8	70.1	-5.4	11%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.0	37.6	73.6	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	41.0	38.7	79.7	+2.3	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Cairns wins

Date	Game	Score
02/11/13	Cairns v Melbourne United	74-86
22/03/13	Cairns v Melbourne United	64-66
03/02/13	Melbourne United v Cairns	67-64
25/01/13	Cairns v Melbourne United	85-71
16/12/12	Melbourne United v Cairns	83-77
18/02/12	Cairns v Melbourne United	77-56
23/12/11	Melbourne United v Cairns	67-65
10/12/11	Cairns v Melbourne United	79-77 OT
06/11/11	Melbourne United v Cairns	80-63
12/03/11	Cairns v Melbourne United	79-63

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/11/13	H	Illawarra Hawks	81-76
08/11/13	A	Adelaide	87-90
02/11/13	A	Cairns	86-74
27/10/13	H	Adelaide	93-79
20/10/13	H	Perth	71-75
13/10/13	A	Sydney	69-73
24/03/13	H	Townsville	78-70
22/03/13	A	Cairns	66-64
17/03/13	A	Townsville	73-75
14/03/13	A	New Zealand Breakers	84-114

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/11/13	A	Perth	68-75
08/11/13	A	Sydney	86-99
02/11/13	H	Melbourne United	74-86
25/10/13	H	Adelaide	84-87
19/10/13	H	New Zealand Breakers	86-85
12/10/13	A	Townsville	103-92
22/03/13	H	Melbourne United	64-66
17/03/13	A	Perth	53-70
15/03/13	H	Adelaide	76-73
09/03/13	A	Adelaide	70-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	50%
Home	LWW	67%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	81.2	81.7	80.7
Allowed / game	77.8	76.7	79.0
Point differential	+3.3	+5.0	+1.7
Avg total	159.0	158.3	159.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	33%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	50% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Cairns

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	33%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	WLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	6	3	3
Win %	33%	33%	33%
Points / game	83.5	81.3	85.7
Allowed / game	87.3	86.0	88.7
Point differential	-3.8	-4.7	-3.0
Avg total	170.8	167.3	174.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	17%	0%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	7	7	0	100%	82.7	70.9	+11.9
2	Adelaide	8	6	2	75%	90.1	88.6	+1.5
3	Sydney	7	4	3	57%	81.9	81.1	+0.7
4	Melbourne United	6	3	3	50%	81.2	77.8	+3.3
5	Townsville	6	2	4	33%	85.2	87.7	-2.5
6	Cairns	6	2	4	33%	83.5	87.3	-3.8
7	New Zealand Breakers	8	2	6	25%	89.0	90.0	-1.0
8	Illawarra Hawks	6	1	5	17%	76.8	89.2	-12.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	18	18	26	26	88
Cairns	26	26	18	15	85

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Cairns Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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