Melbourne United vs Cairns Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2014

Tip-off: 03:00

Final 76-66

19-14 12-20 21-12 24-20

Position#3

Record9-6

FormWWWWW

Points / game80.5

Allowed / game78.1

Melbourne United 🏆

Cairns

Position#5

Record6-8

FormWWLWW

Points / game82.7

Allowed / game83.4

NBLRound 12

Other2013-14

Meetings · Melbourne United v Cairns

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cairns winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

81-76

H10/11

NBL

Cairns

88-85

H16/11

NBL

Townsville

75-90

-15

H24/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

74-84

-10

A28/11

NBL

Sydney

63-67

-4

H01/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

84-82

H08/12

NBL

Townsville

76-71

A14/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

74-67

H27/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

91-81 OT

+10

A31/12

NBL

Townsville

95-77

+18

A03/01

NBL

29-20

13-20

19-16

20-20

18-26

26-18

26-15

13-25

23-19

24-18

15-28

26-21

12-20

20-19

16-24

11-22

19-18

14-7

19-20

29-23

18-28

21-20

16-11

18-26

18-7

22-16

18-22

16-10

20-19

18-29

20-9

24-13

6-22

19-18

18-14

29-19

27-20

19-19

20-19

158.1Avg total

80.1Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	80.5	78.1	158.5	+2.4	60%
Season at home (8)	78.6	77.6	156.2	+1.0	62%
Season away (7)	82.6	78.6	161.1	+4.0	57%
Last 10 (10)	80.1	78.0	158.1	+2.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	75.6	159.6	+8.4	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	70.7	83.7	154.3	-13.0	0%
vs Similar ◀ (24)	79.1	76.5	155.6	+2.5	67%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cairns

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

86-99

-13

A08/11

NBL

Perth

68-75

-7

A14/11

NBL

Melbourne United

85-88

-3

A16/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

73-75

-2

H23/11

NBL

Perth

75-85 OT

-10

H30/11

NBL

Adelaide

98-78

+20

H07/12

NBL

Townsville

87-74

+13

H13/12

NBL

Adelaide

67-91

-24

A15/12

NBL

Perth

99-90

H31/12

NBL

Sydney

73-62

+11

A03/01

NBL

15-30

29-20

15-25

27-24

18-26

18-14

17-20

15-15

26-18

18-26

15-26

18-27

19-12

17-15

19-21

19-10

16-22

17-26

19-13

24-27

18-16

26-20

30-15

30-20

22-26

20-11

15-17

23-31

13-13

21-22

10-25

26-29

26-26

24-13

23-22

12-22

18-12

24-18

19-10

162.8Avg total

81.1Scored

81.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	82.7	83.4	166.1	-0.6	43%
Season at home (8)	84.5	82.5	167.0	+2.0	50%
Season away (6)	80.3	84.5	164.8	-4.2	33%
Last 10 (10)	81.1	81.7	162.8	-0.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	79.0	163.8	+5.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	71.2	78.8	150.0	-7.6	22%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	79.7	78.4	158.2	+1.3	53%
vs Weaker (2)	93.0	93.0	186.0	+0.0	50%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedCairns

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.3	41.9	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	20.1	41.4	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	20.5	42.4	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.2	41.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	23.8	23.2	47.0	+0.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	21.0	19.6	40.6	+1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	20.3	41.0	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	19.8	40.6	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.6	20.9	41.5	-0.2	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	24.0	45.1	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	25.8	48.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	17.2	18.2	35.4	-1.0	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	22.5	21.2	43.7	+1.3	63%	-
vs Weaker (2)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	20.2	37.4	-3.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.9	20.4	38.3	-2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.5	20.1	36.6	-3.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	19.9	37.3	-2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.0	23.5	38.5	-8.5	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.7	42%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.9	38.8	-1.1	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.0	20.6	39.6	-1.6	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	19.2	37.9	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	17.9	38.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.9	21.9	40.8	-3.0	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.9	19.1	37.9	-0.2	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	50%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

42-40

H10/11

NBL

Cairns

36-52

-16

H16/11

NBL

Townsville

36-44

-8

H24/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

38-41

-3

A28/11

NBL

Sydney

30-40

-10

H01/12

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

47-51

-4

H08/12

NBL

Townsville

36-33

A14/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

36-29

H27/12

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

30-35

-5

A31/12

NBL

Townsville

56-39

+17

A03/01

NBL

79.1Avg total

38.7Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	40.5	79.3	-1.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	40.5	79.6	-1.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.4	40.6	78.9	-2.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	40.4	79.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	37.4	78.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.8	46.7	85.5	-7.8	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	38.7	39.0	77.7	-0.3	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Cairns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CairnsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sydney

44-50

-6

A08/11

NBL

Perth

36-40

-4

A14/11

NBL

Melbourne United

52-36

+16

A16/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

37-39

-2

H23/11

NBL

Perth

35-32

H30/11

NBL

Adelaide

42-43

-1

H07/12

NBL

Townsville

52-46

H13/12

NBL

Adelaide

36-44

-8

A15/12

NBL

Perth

52-55

-3

H31/12

NBL

Sydney

30-34

-4

A03/01

NBL

83.5Avg total

41.6Scored

41.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	40.2	79.8	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.8	40.4	80.1	-0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.3	40.1	79.4	-0.8	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	41.9	83.5	-0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	44.4	86.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	36.1	40.1	76.2	-4.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	41.4	40.3	81.6	+1.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	37.5	40.5	78.0	-3.0	50%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	18.0	37.1	+1.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	17.6	36.6	+1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.0	38.2	+2.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	15.2	18.3	33.5	-3.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.4	62%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	19.0	38.3	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	17.1	36.8	+2.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	21.1	40.1	-2.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.6	39.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	16.8	39.8	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.7	19.8	38.4	-1.1	44%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	16.0	38.5	+6.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	19.0	39.1	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	19.4	37.1	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	15.0	33.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.7	18.7	35.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	19.4	19.3	38.7	+0.0	46%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	18.5	35.3	-1.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	16.0	17.3	33.3	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.3	19.1	37.4	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	37.0	74.8	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	37.0	76.1	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.8	36.9	73.7	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	36.2	75.2	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	35.4	73.6	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	31.8	37.0	68.8	-5.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (24)	39.4	37.0	76.3	+2.4	54%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	37.8	74.9	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.2	36.2	74.4	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.7	39.6	75.4	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	38.4	77.5	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	34.6	77.0	+7.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	34.7	37.1	71.8	-2.4	22%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	37.6	38.1	75.6	-0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (2)	43.0	38.5	81.5	+4.5	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Cairns wins

Date	Game	Score
16/11/13	Melbourne United v Cairns	88-85
02/11/13	Cairns v Melbourne United	74-86
22/03/13	Cairns v Melbourne United	64-66
03/02/13	Melbourne United v Cairns	67-64
25/01/13	Cairns v Melbourne United	85-71
16/12/12	Melbourne United v Cairns	83-77
18/02/12	Cairns v Melbourne United	77-56
23/12/11	Melbourne United v Cairns	67-65
10/12/11	Cairns v Melbourne United	79-77 OT
06/11/11	Melbourne United v Cairns	80-63

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/01/14	A	Townsville	95-77
31/12/13	A	Illawarra Hawks	91-81 OT
27/12/13	H	Illawarra Hawks	74-67
14/12/13	A	Townsville	76-71
08/12/13	H	New Zealand Breakers	84-82
01/12/13	H	Sydney	63-67
28/11/13	A	New Zealand Breakers	74-84
24/11/13	H	Townsville	75-90
16/11/13	H	Cairns	88-85
10/11/13	H	Illawarra Hawks	81-76

Cairnslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
03/01/14	A	Sydney	73-62
31/12/13	H	Perth	99-90
15/12/13	A	Adelaide	67-91
13/12/13	H	Townsville	87-74
07/12/13	H	Adelaide	98-78
30/11/13	H	Perth	75-85 OT
23/11/13	H	Illawarra Hawks	73-75
16/11/13	A	Melbourne United	85-88
14/11/13	A	Perth	68-75
08/11/13	A	Sydney	86-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	60%
Home	WLLWW	62%
Away	LLWWW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	60%	62%	57%
Points / game	80.5	78.6	82.6
Allowed / game	78.1	77.6	78.6
Point differential	+2.4	+1.0	+4.0
Avg total	158.5	156.2	161.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	12%	43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (8)	60% (5)	33% (3)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

Cairns

NBL 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	43%
Home	LLWWW	50%
Away	LLLLW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	43%	50%	33%
Points / game	82.7	84.5	80.3
Allowed / game	83.4	82.5	84.5
Point differential	-0.6	+2.0	-4.2
Avg total	166.1	167.0	164.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	25%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	33% (3)	0% (1)
Overtime %	7%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	15	12	3	80%	85.6	76.1	+9.5
2	Adelaide	15	11	4	73%	89.7	86.7	+3.0
3	Melbourne United	15	9	6	60%	80.5	78.1	+2.4
4	Cairns	14	6	8	43%	82.7	83.4	-0.6
5	Sydney	13	5	8	38%	74.8	80.2	-5.5
6	Illawarra Hawks	14	5	9	36%	77.1	83.4	-6.3
7	New Zealand Breakers	15	5	10	33%	85.6	86.7	-1.1
8	Townsville	13	4	9	31%	83.4	86.5	-3.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	19	12	21	24	76
Cairns	14	20	12	20	66

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Cairns Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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