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Cal Poly vs UC Riverside Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 84-88
36-46 48-42
Position#266
Record5-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Position#334
Record4-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game72.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cal Poly v UC Riverside
06 Dec 2025
CAL 84
UC R88
22 Feb 2025
CAL 112
UC R100
24 Feb 2024
CAL 78
UC R84
04 Mar 2023
CAL 72
UC R73
13 Jan 2022
CAL 46
UC R57
16 Jan 2021
CAL 53
UC R70
15 Jan 2021
CAL 51
UC R86
22 Feb 2020
CAL 49
UC R61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Riverside winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
L
64-94
64
94
-30
A04/11
NCAA
Pacific Lutheran
#427
W
101-79
101
79
+22
H06/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A09/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A13/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A15/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
92-85
92
85
+7
A21/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
87-93
87
93
-6
A25/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H26/11
NCAA
Redlands
#383
W
87-81
87
81
+6
H30/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
W
94-91
94
91
+3
A05/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
33-57
41-36
60-43
39-38
34-33
37-47
42-46
26-37
56-53
50-39
42-46
46-52
41-41
31-29
37-55
41-35
46-46
43-44
51-47
168.8Avg total
82.7Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.786.1168.8-3.450%
Season at home (3)85.381.3166.7+4.067%
Season away (7)81.688.1169.7-6.643%
Last 10 (10)82.786.1168.8-3.450%
Last 5 (5)85.686.8172.4-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.288.5164.7-12.317%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.280.0161.2+1.258%
vs Weaker (4)89.870.5160.2+19.2100%
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC RiversideUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#9
L
62-101
62
101
-39
A19/03
NIT
La Sierra
#545
W
90-49
90
49
+41
H04/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A07/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A12/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H15/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A19/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A22/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H24/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
69-77
69
77
-8
A29/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A05/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-44
0-0
29-57
0-0
45-27
0-0
45-22
0-0
37-34
0-0
37-36
0-0
32-36
0-0
36-46
0-0
32-41
0-0
42-35
0-0
31-49
0-0
26-31
0-0
39-29
0-0
46-42
0-0
30-36
0-0
53-38
0-0
35-41
0-0
34-36
0-0
26-37
0-0
34-36
147.5Avg total
72.2Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)73.372.4145.8+0.944%
Season at home (3)82.366.3148.7+16.067%
Season away (6)68.875.5144.3-6.733%
Last 10 (10)72.275.3147.5-3.140%
Last 5 (5)70.875.0145.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)73.477.2150.6-3.847%
vs Similar ◀ (10)79.277.6156.8+1.660%
vs Weaker (4)79.258.5137.8+20.8100%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: -2.5-2.52nd half: +0.3+0.3
Cal PolyUC Riverside
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC
#153
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A04/11
NCAA
Pacific Lutheran
#427
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H06/11
NCAA
Seattle
#108
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A09/11
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A13/11
NCAA
Montana
#186
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A15/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A21/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A25/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H26/11
NCAA
Redlands
#383
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H30/11
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A05/12
NCAA
77.9Avg total
38.5Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.677.2-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.535.372.7+2.255%-
Last 30 away (19)39.240.679.8-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.477.9-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.882.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.940.477.3-3.542%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.839.076.8-1.233%-
vs Weaker (4)44.833.878.5+11.0100%-
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC RiversideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Clara
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A19/03
NIT
La Sierra
#545
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H04/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A07/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A12/11
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H15/11
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A19/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A22/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#260
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H24/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A29/11
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A05/12
NCAA
71.4Avg total
34.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.635.771.3-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.634.670.1+1.043%-
Last 30 away (16)35.636.872.3-1.244%-
Last 10 (10)34.037.471.4-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.238.470.6-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)34.536.971.5-2.433%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.036.073.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (4)36.528.565.0+8.075%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cal Poly wins
8
UC Riverside wins
DateGameScore
14/03/25UC Riverside v Cal Poly83-96
22/02/25Cal Poly v UC Riverside112-100 OT
02/02/25UC Riverside v Cal Poly80-62
25/02/24Cal Poly v UC Riverside78-84
12/01/24UC Riverside v Cal Poly71-56
05/03/23Cal Poly v UC Riverside72-73 OT
17/01/23UC Riverside v Cal Poly83-78 OT
20/02/22UC Riverside v Cal Poly78-58
14/01/22Cal Poly v UC Riverside46-57
17/01/21Cal Poly v UC Riverside53-70
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25ACS Fullerton94-91
30/11/25HRedlands87-81
26/11/25HSoutheast Missouri State68-84
25/11/25ANorthern Arizona87-93
21/11/25AUtah Utes92-85
15/11/25AMontana82-90
13/11/25AColorado State79-93
09/11/25ASeattle73-71
06/11/25HPacific Lutheran101-79
04/11/25AUSC64-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/12/25AUC Irvine60-73
29/11/25AUtah Tech69-77
24/11/25HGrambling St.83-74
22/11/25ASan Diego Toreros85-71
19/11/25ACalifornia Baptist57-80
15/11/25HNorth Dakota74-76
12/11/25ANew Mexico68-82
07/11/25ANorth Dakota74-70
04/11/25HLa Sierra90-49
19/03/25ASanta Clara62-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %50%67%43%
Points / game82.785.381.6
Allowed / game86.181.388.1
Point differential-3.4+4.0-6.6
Avg total168.8166.7169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UC Riverside
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL44%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %44%67%33%
Points / game73.382.368.8
Allowed / game72.466.375.5
Point differential+0.9+16.0-6.7
Avg total145.8148.7144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego87188%83.971.9+12.0
2 Hawaii97278%81.365.7+15.7
3 UC Santa Barbara97278%80.872.2+8.6
4 UC Davis85362%77.071.8+5.2
5 UC Irvine106460%79.063.2+15.8
6 CS Northridge84450%76.578.8-2.2
7 Cal Poly105550%82.786.1-3.4
8 UC Riverside94544%73.372.4+0.9
9 CSU Bakersfield94544%71.677.6-6.0
10 CS Fullerton93633%88.488.3+0.1
11 Long Beach State92722%70.976.8-5.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cal Poly364884
UC Riverside464288
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