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Cal Poly vs UC Riverside Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 112-100 (OT)
43-47 52-48 17-5
Position#235
Record10-17
FormLWWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#98
Record18-10
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game72.4
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cal Poly v UC Riverside
06 Dec 2025
CAL 84
UC R88
22 Feb 2025
CAL 112
UC R100
24 Feb 2024
CAL 78
UC R84
04 Mar 2023
CAL 72
UC R73
13 Jan 2022
CAL 46
UC R57
16 Jan 2021
CAL 53
UC R70
15 Jan 2021
CAL 51
UC R86
22 Feb 2020
CAL 49
UC R61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Riverside winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H12/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H17/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
71-101
71
101
-30
A19/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H25/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A31/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A02/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H07/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
98-83
98
83
+15
A14/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A16/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
67-81
67
81
-14
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-34
47-41
26-31
28-34
35-45
36-56
40-28
38-41
45-37
45-44
28-39
34-41
34-35
45-28
40-36
58-47
50-46
35-43
34-42
33-39
154.3Avg total
75.6Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)79.483.3162.6-3.937%
Season at home (11)80.178.5158.5+1.655%
Season away (16)78.986.6165.4-7.725%
Last 10 (10)75.678.7154.3-3.140%
Last 5 (5)78.279.2157.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.886.2161.0-11.38%
vs Similar ◀ (13)77.881.4159.2-3.638%
vs Weaker (4)92.578.0170.5+14.5100%
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC RiversideUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#11
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H19/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
W
84-80 OT
84
80
+4
H24/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A26/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H02/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
71-91
71
91
-20
A07/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H09/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
74-75
74
75
-1
A14/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H16/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-35
41-46
35-35
31-31
41-44
42-35
24-26
36-32
39-28
41-34
44-46
27-45
36-41
33-23
43-40
31-35
37-37
44-32
38-30
49-36
149.9Avg total
77.4Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.572.4145.9+1.164%
Season at home (14)77.667.7145.4+9.993%
Season away (14)69.377.1146.4-7.836%
Last 10 (10)77.472.5149.9+4.980%
Last 5 (5)76.473.0149.4+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.179.9153.0-6.850%
vs Similar ◀ (12)72.273.3145.5-1.258%
vs Weaker (5)77.259.4136.6+17.8100%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +2.6+2.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +2.6+2.6
Cal PolyUC Riverside
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H12/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H17/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A19/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H25/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A31/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A02/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H07/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A14/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A16/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H21/02
NCAA
73.0Avg total
35.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.638.974.5-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (12)34.837.071.8-2.242%-
Last 30 away (18)36.140.276.3-4.133%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.373.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.676.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.042.078.0-6.031%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)34.737.271.8-2.531%-
vs Weaker (4)37.034.871.8+2.275%-
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC RiversideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H19/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H24/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A26/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H31/01
NCAA
Cal Poly
#235
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H02/02
NCAA
UC San Diego
#11
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A07/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H09/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H16/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H21/02
NCAA
74.3Avg total
38.1Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.735.370.0-0.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.833.369.1+2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)33.737.371.0-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.274.3+1.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.878.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.136.369.4-3.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.637.972.5-3.325%-
vs Weaker (5)36.830.066.8+6.880%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cal Poly wins
10
UC Riverside wins
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/25HUC San Diego67-81
16/02/25ACS Northridge85-89
14/02/25ACS Fullerton98-83
07/02/25HHawaii79-63
02/02/25AUC Riverside62-80
31/01/25ACSU Bakersfield90-81
25/01/25HLong Beach State78-69
19/01/25AUC Irvine71-101
17/01/25HUC Davis54-65
12/01/25HUC Santa Barbara72-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/25HLong Beach State87-66
16/02/25HUC Santa Barbara81-69
14/02/25AUC Davis74-75
09/02/25HCSU Bakersfield69-64
07/02/25AUC San Diego71-91
02/02/25HCal Poly80-62
31/01/25HUC Davis60-58
26/01/25ACSU Bakersfield83-79
24/01/25HUC Irvine84-80 OT
19/01/25HUC San Diego85-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL37%
HomeLLWWL55%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %37%55%25%
Points / game79.480.178.9
Allowed / game83.378.586.6
Point differential-3.9+1.6-7.7
Avg total162.6158.5165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%18%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %11%18%6%
UC Riverside
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %64%93%36%
Points / game73.577.669.3
Allowed / game72.467.777.1
Point differential+1.1+9.9-7.8
Avg total145.9145.4146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (12)100% (6)67% (6)
Overtime %11%14%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego2723485%80.462.7+17.7
2 UC Irvine2722581%74.865.8+9.0
3 CS Northridge2619773%81.171.5+9.6
4 UC Riverside28181064%73.572.4+1.1
5 UC Santa Barbara27171063%74.466.7+7.7
6 UC Davis27151256%68.669.0-0.5
7 Hawaii26141254%70.769.8+0.9
8 CSU Bakersfield28121643%73.972.8+1.0
9 Cal Poly27101737%79.483.3-3.9
10 Long Beach State2772026%67.374.3-7.0
11 CS Fullerton2862221%64.276.2-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Cal Poly435217112
UC Riverside47485100
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