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Cal Poly vs UC San Diego Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 61-86
23-41 38-45
Position#364
Record4-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game64.1
Allowed / game72.9
vs
Position#79
Record10-6
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game67.9
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cal Poly v UC San Diego
01 Jan 2026
CAL 67
UC S65
20 Feb 2025
CAL 67
UC S81
13 Jan 2024
CAL 61
UC S86
19 Jan 2023
CAL 64
UC S71
05 Mar 2022
CAL 80
UC S76
02 Jan 2021
CAL v UC S
upcoming
01 Jan 2021
CAL v UC S
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC San Diego winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#313
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A02/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
63-70 OT
63
70
-7
A05/12
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
50-78
50
78
-28
A10/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H19/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
66-53
66
53
+13
H22/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
73-83
73
83
-10
H29/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
L
46-71
46
71
-25
A30/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
L
82-89
82
89
-7
H05/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H07/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-43
40-42
28-25
21-24
22-42
28-36
23-26
30-36
35-21
31-32
35-46
38-37
27-33
19-38
37-38
45-51
24-32
28-29
23-32
33-39
133.4Avg total
61.1Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)64.172.9137.0-8.824%
Season at home (7)69.669.6139.1+0.043%
Season away (10)60.375.2135.5-14.910%
Last 10 (10)61.172.3133.4-11.210%
Last 5 (5)61.875.0136.8-13.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)61.370.7132.0-9.415%
vs Similar (2)57.567.0124.5-9.50%
vs Weaker (1)80.062.0142.0+18.0100%
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC San DiegoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#181
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A29/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H02/12
NCAA
Occidental
#606
W
98-67
98
67
+31
H06/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A10/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
83-52
83
52
+31
A19/12
NCAA
California
#283
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A20/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H29/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A05/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
W
76-58
76
58
+18
A07/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-34
32-49
31-30
31-33
50-23
48-44
28-25
34-43
50-22
33-30
27-44
40-27
34-23
42-41
45-24
34-48
40-26
36-32
42-42
46-32
141.9Avg total
74.7Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.367.9145.2+9.462%
Season at home (9)83.067.0150.0+16.078%
Season away (7)70.069.0139.0+1.043%
Last 10 (10)74.767.2141.9+7.560%
Last 5 (5)77.267.8145.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.181.9157.0-6.811%
vs Similar (7)65.965.1131.0+0.743%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)79.167.4146.6+11.771%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: -0.3-0.3
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -5.4-5.41st half: +7.8+7.82nd half2nd half: -5.1-5.12nd half: -0.3-0.3
Cal PolyUC San Diego
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Idaho
#313
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A02/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A05/12
NCAA
Weber State
#101
L
22-42
22
42
-20
A10/12
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H19/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H22/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#172
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H29/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#133
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A30/12
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H05/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H07/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#231
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A12/01
NCAA
62.2Avg total
28.4Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.632.961.5-4.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)29.632.261.8-2.643%-
Last 30 away (16)27.833.461.2-5.725%-
Last 10 (10)28.433.862.2-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)29.236.265.4-7.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)28.033.661.6-5.626%-
vs Similar (2)27.523.050.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker (1)47.033.080.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC San DiegoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington
#181
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A29/11
NCAA
San Diego State
#48
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H02/12
NCAA
Occidental
#606
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H06/12
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A10/12
NCAA
Sacramento State
#329
W
50-22
50
22
+28
A19/12
NCAA
California
#283
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A20/12
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#280
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H29/12
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#189
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A05/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#263
W
40-26
40
26
+14
A07/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#140
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H12/01
NCAA
66.4Avg total
37.1Scored
29.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.130.766.8+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.131.468.4+5.769%-
Last 30 away (14)34.929.964.9+5.064%-
Last 10 (10)37.129.366.4+7.870%-
Last 5 (5)37.631.869.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.935.072.9+2.956%-
vs Similar (7)31.327.759.0+3.686%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)37.329.466.7+7.964%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cal Poly wins
1
UC San Diego wins
DateGameScore
20/01/23Cal Poly v UC San Diego64-71
06/03/22Cal Poly v UC San Diego80-76
28/01/22UC San Diego v Cal Poly55-59
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/24AUC Riverside56-71
07/01/24HUC Santa Barbara52-61
05/01/24HLong Beach State82-89
30/12/23AUC Davis46-71
29/12/23HCS Northridge73-83
22/12/23HNebraska O.66-53
19/12/23HEast. Washington53-62
10/12/23AWeber State50-78
05/12/23AOregon State63-70 OT
02/12/23AIdaho70-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/24HLong Beach State88-74
07/01/24ACS Fullerton76-58
05/01/24AUC Santa Barbara79-72
29/12/23HCSU Bakersfield76-64
20/12/23ACalifornia67-71
19/12/23ASacramento State83-52
10/12/23APepperdine62-68
06/12/23HOccidental98-67
02/12/23HSan Diego State62-63
29/11/23AWashington56-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeLWLLL43%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %24%43%10%
Points / game64.169.660.3
Allowed / game72.969.675.2
Point differential-8.8+0.0-14.9
Avg total137.0139.1135.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%14%10%
UC San Diego
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeLLWWW78%
AwayLWLWW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %62%78%43%
Points / game77.383.070.0
Allowed / game67.967.069.0
Point differential+9.4+16.0+1.0
Avg total145.2150.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%56%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CS Northridge1713476%79.871.1+8.7
2 UC Irvine1712571%76.966.5+10.5
3 Long Beach State1711665%80.477.6+2.8
4 UC San Diego1610662%77.367.9+9.4
5 UC Santa Barbara159660%77.773.1+4.6
6 UC Davis169756%73.668.2+5.4
7 Hawaii158753%70.966.5+4.4
8 CS Fullerton178947%67.469.2-1.9
9 UC Riverside1771041%69.672.2-2.5
10 CSU Bakersfield1651131%69.271.3-2.1
11 Cal Poly1741324%64.172.9-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cal Poly233861
UC San Diego414586
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