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Cal Poly vs UC San Diego Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 67-81
34-42 33-39
Position#235
Record10-16
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game83.3
vs
Position#11
Record22-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game62.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cal Poly v UC San Diego
01 Jan 2026
CAL 67
UC S65
20 Feb 2025
CAL 67
UC S81
13 Jan 2024
CAL 61
UC S86
19 Jan 2023
CAL 64
UC S71
05 Mar 2022
CAL 80
UC S76
02 Jan 2021
CAL v UC S
upcoming
01 Jan 2021
CAL v UC S
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC San Diego winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#11
L
68-95
68
95
-27
A10/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
72-75
72
75
-3
H12/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H17/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
71-101
71
101
-30
A19/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H25/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
90-81
90
81
+9
A31/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
62-80
62
80
-18
A02/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H07/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
98-83
98
83
+15
A14/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-38
26-57
25-34
47-41
26-31
28-34
35-45
36-56
40-28
38-41
45-37
45-44
28-39
34-41
34-35
45-28
40-36
58-47
50-46
35-43
155.8Avg total
75.7Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.883.3163.2-3.538%
Season at home (10)81.478.2159.6+3.260%
Season away (16)78.986.6165.4-7.725%
Last 10 (10)75.780.1155.8-4.440%
Last 5 (5)82.879.2162.0+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)75.586.3161.8-10.88%
vs Similar (13)77.881.4159.2-3.638%
vs Weaker (4)92.578.0170.5+14.5100%
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC San DiegoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#16
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H12/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
80-54
80
54
+26
A17/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A19/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H24/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H26/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A31/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
91-71
91
71
+20
H07/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A09/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
73-54
73
54
+19
A14/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H16/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-34
20-26
38-23
42-31
35-44
46-41
44-31
33-32
41-22
38-32
33-34
41-29
46-44
45-27
32-30
53-37
31-19
42-35
52-31
33-29
140.8Avg total
77.7Scored
63.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)80.362.5142.9+17.885%
Season at home (14)82.362.0144.3+20.386%
Season away (12)78.163.2141.2+14.983%
Last 10 (10)77.763.1140.8+14.680%
Last 5 (5)81.663.0144.6+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)80.163.9144.0+16.283%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: +7.4+7.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.4-0.41st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: +7.4+7.4
Cal PolyUC San Diego
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A10/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H12/01
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
L
26-31
26
31
-5
H17/01
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A19/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H25/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A31/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A02/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H07/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#359
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A14/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A16/02
NCAA
73.4Avg total
36.5Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.638.874.3-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.836.571.4-1.745%-
Last 30 away (19)36.040.176.1-4.132%-
Last 10 (10)36.536.973.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.678.0+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.041.677.6-5.631%-
vs Similar (13)34.737.271.8-2.531%-
vs Weaker (4)37.034.871.8+2.275%-
This opponent (UC San Diego) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC San DiegoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#16
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H12/01
NCAA
Long Beach State
#347
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A17/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A19/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#115
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H24/01
NCAA
CS Northridge
#60
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H26/01
NCAA
Hawaii
#218
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A31/01
NCAA
UC Riverside
#98
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H07/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#16
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A09/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#265
W
31-19
31
19
+12
A14/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#231
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H16/02
NCAA
69.6Avg total
38.4Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.531.269.7+7.363%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.632.273.8+9.465%-
Last 30 away (13)34.529.864.4+4.762%-
Last 10 (10)38.431.269.6+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.831.670.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (29)38.631.069.5+7.666%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cal Poly wins
4
UC San Diego wins
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25ACS Northridge85-89
14/02/25ACS Fullerton98-83
07/02/25HHawaii79-63
02/02/25AUC Riverside62-80
31/01/25ACSU Bakersfield90-81
25/01/25HLong Beach State78-69
19/01/25AUC Irvine71-101
17/01/25HUC Davis54-65
12/01/25HUC Santa Barbara72-75
10/01/25AUC San Diego68-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/25HUC Davis85-60
14/02/25ACSU Bakersfield73-54
09/02/25AUC Irvine85-67
07/02/25HUC Riverside91-71
31/01/25AHawaii74-63
26/01/25HCS Northridge79-54
24/01/25HUC Santa Barbara77-63
19/01/25AUC Riverside81-85
17/01/25ALong Beach State80-54
12/01/25HUC Irvine52-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL38%
HomeLLLWW60%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261016
Win %38%60%25%
Points / game79.881.478.9
Allowed / game83.378.286.6
Point differential-3.5+3.2-7.7
Avg total163.2159.6165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %12%20%6%
UC San Diego
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %85%86%83%
Points / game80.382.378.1
Allowed / game62.562.063.2
Point differential+17.8+20.3+14.9
Avg total142.9144.3141.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%71%58%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego2622485%80.362.5+17.8
2 UC Irvine2622485%74.965.1+9.8
3 CS Northridge2518772%81.071.4+9.5
4 UC Riverside27171063%73.072.6+0.3
5 UC Santa Barbara26161062%73.967.1+6.8
6 UC Davis27151256%68.669.0-0.5
7 Hawaii26141254%70.769.8+0.9
8 CSU Bakersfield28121643%73.972.8+1.0
9 Cal Poly26101638%79.883.3-3.5
10 Long Beach State2671927%67.373.8-6.4
11 CS Fullerton2762122%64.575.9-11.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cal Poly343367
UC San Diego423981
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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