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Cantu vs Fortitudo Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 88-63
24-14 11-15 31-17 22-17
Position#2
Record26-16
FormLWWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game73.6
Cantu 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#7
Record24-19
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game73.8
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Quarter-finals· PalaFitLineDesio
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cantu v Fortitudo Bologna
20 May 2025
KAN88
FBO63
12 May 2025
KAN81
FBO67
10 May 2025
KAN72
FBO64
13 Nov 2024
KAN89
FBO60
02 Jan 2021
KAN67
FBO80
24 Nov 2019
KAN82
FBO84
26 Apr 2009
KAN74
FBO64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cantu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CantuItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCantu
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 70
H30/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
87-73
87
73
+14
80avg 70
A02/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
70-85
70
85
-15
56avg 70
A06/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
85-78
85
78
+7
83avg 70
H13/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
82-76
82
76
+6
78avg 70
A19/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
75-79
75
79
-4
74avg 70
H27/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
72-64
72
64
+8
68avg 70
H10/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
82avg 70
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
68-77
68
77
-9
59avg 70
A15/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
68-74
68
74
-6
51avg 70
A17/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
20-11
18-16
25-27
21-22
26-15
23-19
17-17
15-14
22-24
22-25
11-22
22-16
21-25
31-22
11-15
26-33
16-19
21-14
19-10
20-24
18-13
23-21
14-21
18-24
23-14
15-14
16-12
14-18
24-14
27-24
16-11
23-17
17-15
9-23
19-22
17-25
11-14
16-16
24-19
151.8Avg total
76.9Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)77.673.6151.2+4.062%
Season at home (21)79.969.7149.5+10.281%
Season away (21)75.377.6152.9-2.343%
Last 10 (10)76.974.9151.8+2.060%
Last 5 (5)72.872.2145.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)79.080.4159.4-1.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)76.071.7147.7+4.457%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Udine
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
60avg 70
A30/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
79-86
79
86
-7
75avg 70
H06/04
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
58-67
58
67
-9
47avg 70
A13/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
79avg 70
H23/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
71-66
71
66
+5
66avg 70
A27/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
94-85
94
85
+9
95avg 70
H06/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
64-72
64
72
-8
58avg 70
A10/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
59avg 70
A12/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
77-68
77
68
+9
82avg 70
H15/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
60avg 70
H17/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
20-22
11-28
17-12
20-21
17-23
31-17
11-25
11-11
19-16
17-24
11-16
27-26
15-19
23-11
10-28
21-9
17-18
15-28
18-11
32-18
24-24
19-22
19-21
24-18
14-23
14-15
12-16
18-14
14-24
24-27
11-16
17-23
15-17
23-9
22-19
25-17
14-11
16-16
19-24
148.9Avg total
73.1Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)75.373.8149.2+1.556%
Season at home (22)80.071.6151.6+8.482%
Season away (21)70.576.2146.7-5.729%
Last 10 (10)73.175.8148.9-2.740%
Last 5 (5)75.274.8150.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.672.6146.1+1.057%
vs Similar (17)74.874.5149.4+0.353%
vs Weaker (6)78.071.3149.3+6.783%
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -3.8-3.8
CantuFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CantuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H30/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A02/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A06/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H13/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A19/04
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H27/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A15/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A17/05
Serie A2
77.1Avg total
39.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.436.575.9+2.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.235.276.4+6.094%-
Last 30 away (14)37.438.175.4-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)39.237.977.1+1.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.672.6+1.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)37.638.676.1-1.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.235.775.9+4.576%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Udine
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A30/03
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H06/04
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A13/04
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H23/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A27/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H06/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H15/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H17/05
Serie A2
76.1Avg total
38.8Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.137.475.5+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.837.777.5+2.150%-
Last 30 away (14)36.137.173.2-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)38.837.376.1+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.437.877.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.137.474.6-0.343%-
vs Similar (17)37.737.375.0+0.441%-
vs Weaker (6)40.237.878.0+2.367%-
This opponent (Cantu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cantutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cantu: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.816.9
51.5%
50.1%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.3
36.4%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.311.4
69.9%
74.4%11.4
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 72.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.615.5
44.8%
50.1%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.8
34.4%
34.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.511.7
75.5%
74.4%11.7
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cantu
LLWWLWWLWW
Fortitudo Bologna
WWLLWWLLLL
#2
League position
#7
+2.3
Net rating
-3.7
107.1
Offensive rating
100.1
104.8
Defensive rating
103.9
52.9%
Effective FG%
47.9%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.4%
3-point %
34.4%
59.2%
Assist %
76.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 100.1Defence104.8 · 103.9Shooting52.9% · 47.9%3-point %36.4% · 34.4%Ball care18.5% · 16.4%Off. rebounds28.5% · 25.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Cantu   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cantu wins
6
Fortitudo Bologna wins
Cantulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25AFortitudo Bologna68-74
15/05/25AFortitudo Bologna68-77
12/05/25HFortitudo Bologna81-67
10/05/25HFortitudo Bologna72-64
27/04/25HVigevano75-79
19/04/25AAvellino Basket82-76
13/04/25HPesaro85-78
06/04/25ABasket Torino70-85
02/04/25ANardo87-73
30/03/25HVerona81-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/25HCantu74-68
15/05/25HCantu77-68
12/05/25ACantu67-81
10/05/25ACantu64-72
06/05/25HPesaro94-85
27/04/25ALibertas Livorno71-66
23/04/25HRimini75-84
13/04/25AForli58-67
06/04/25HCividale79-86
30/03/25AUdine72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cantu
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL62%
HomeWWLWW81%
AwayWLWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %62%81%43%
Points / game77.679.975.3
Allowed / game73.669.777.6
Point differential+4.0+10.2-2.3
Avg total151.2149.5152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%48%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (15)60% (5)50% (10)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeLLWWW82%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %56%82%29%
Points / game75.380.070.5
Allowed / game73.871.676.2
Point differential+1.5+8.4-5.7
Avg total149.2151.6146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%41%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)60% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3830879%84.075.9+8.2
2 Rimini42281467%80.977.3+3.6
3 Sebastiani Rieti41261563%75.773.4+2.3
4 Cantu42261662%77.673.6+4.0
5 Forli42251760%78.076.2+1.7
6 Cividale42251760%80.478.9+1.5
7 Fortitudo Bologna43241956%75.373.8+1.5
8 Verona39211854%77.975.2+2.8
9 Pesaro40211952%82.280.6+1.6
10 Brindisi44232152%76.375.7+0.6
11 Basket Torino39201951%77.577.0+0.5
12 Avellino Basket39201951%79.680.3-0.7
13 Urania Milano41212051%75.976.7-0.8
14 Orzinuovi38162242%77.880.3-2.5
15 Cento38152339%73.977.3-3.4
16 JuVi Cremona42162638%81.983.4-1.5
17 Libertas Livorno42152736%77.178.9-1.8
18 Vigevano42152736%77.281.9-4.7
19 Nardo42132931%76.482.6-6.2
20 Assigeco Piacenza3873118%76.483.3-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cantu2411312288
Fortitudo Bologna1415171763
← all games of the day
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