Virtus Bologna vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Nov 2009

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 72-84

18-17 14-17 13-21 27-29

Position#5

Record5-3

FormWWLWW

Points / game74.5

Allowed / game71.5

Virtus Bologna

Caserta 🏆

Position#2

Record5-2

FormWWWLW

Points / game90.1

Allowed / game78.6

Lega A

Domestic2009-10

Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Caserta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caserta winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

99-78

+21

H25/05

Lega A

Treviso

72-78

-6

A27/05

Lega A

Siena

65-87

-22

A04/10

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

76-68

H11/10

Lega A

Biella

#14

76-79

-3

A18/10

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

76-62

+14

H25/10

Lega A

Teramo

#13

69-66

A01/11

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

83-87 OT

-4

H08/11

Lega A

Varese

#10

78-68

+10

A15/11

Lega A

Avellino

73-55

+18

H22/11

Lega A

31-24

24-15

21-26

23-13

17-21

19-23

24-15

12-19

17-13

16-28

19-26

13-20

23-19

19-17

12-18

22-14

26-21

10-18

20-22

20-18

20-12

22-21

12-10

22-19

17-15

18-10

18-20

16-21

14-18

18-23

23-13

18-19

22-14

16-21

20-13

20-20

25-16

9-10

22-13

17-16

149.5Avg total

76.7Scored

72.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	74.5	71.5	146.0	+3.0	62%
Season at home (4)	77.0	68.0	145.0	+9.0	75%
Season away (4)	72.0	75.0	147.0	-3.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	72.8	149.5	+3.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	67.6	143.4	+8.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	80.0	83.3	163.3	-3.3	33%
vs Similar (18)	77.0	75.1	152.1	+1.9	56%
vs Weaker (9)	78.9	76.2	155.1	+2.7	67%

This opponent (Caserta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NSB Napoli

#13

77-63

+14

H26/04

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

65-74

-9

A07/05

Lega A

Avellino

#10

65-74

-9

H10/05

Lega A

Biella

#14

77-68

H11/10

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

84-86

-2

A18/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

104-100 OT

104

100

H25/10

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

89-49

+40

A31/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

95-81

+14

H07/11

Lega A

Teramo

#13

85-92

-7

A15/11

Lega A

Cremona

#12

97-74

+23

H22/11

Lega A

18-12

17-12

23-23

19-16

17-23

18-8

14-21

16-22

22-19

20-20

15-17

8-18

20-10

14-17

19-14

24-27

12-22

25-19

28-27

19-18

19-23

23-23

22-11

14-21

21-20

27-16

18-8

23-5

21-25

21-24

25-16

28-16

27-28

21-21

25-14

12-29

27-19

15-22

32-17

23-16

159.9Avg total

83.8Scored

76.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	90.1	78.6	168.7	+11.6	71%
Season at home (4)	93.2	80.8	174.0	+12.5	100%
Season away (3)	86.0	75.7	161.7	+10.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	76.1	159.9	+7.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	94.0	79.2	173.2	+14.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	73.1	79.8	152.9	-6.8	31%
vs Similar (11)	77.6	81.2	158.8	-3.5	45%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	87.8	75.0	162.8	+12.8	67%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus BolognaCaserta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.3	16.9	38.2	+4.4	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	17.3	38.5	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	15.0	34.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	19.0	14.7	33.7	+4.3	100%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.7	18.5	38.2	+1.2	61%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.1	16.1	36.2	+4.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.7	38.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	16.7	36.9	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.1	39.5	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	23.0	46.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	17.2	17.9	35.2	-0.7	46%	-
vs Similar (11)	20.8	18.6	39.5	+2.2	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.3	20.7	42.0	+0.7	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	19.6	38.5	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.5	19.4	40.9	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.9	19.8	36.6	-2.9	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	18.6	35.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	17.0	33.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	22.0	21.7	43.7	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (18)	17.6	18.5	36.1	-0.9	44%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.6	21.1	41.7	-0.6	44%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	18.9	38.2	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	18.2	37.3	+0.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	19.6	39.1	-0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.2	38.3	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	20.5	19.3	39.8	+1.2	69%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.2	17.9	35.1	-0.7	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	20.5	19.8	40.3	+0.7	33%	-

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

55-39

+16

H25/05

Lega A

Treviso

36-44

-8

A27/05

Lega A

Siena

33-41

-8

A04/10

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

42-36

H11/10

Lega A

Biella

#14

36-39

-3

A18/10

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

42-33

H25/10

Lega A

Teramo

#13

35-25

+10

A01/11

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

32-41

-9

H08/11

Lega A

Varese

#10

38-35

A15/11

Lega A

Avellino

34-26

H22/11

Lega A

74.2Avg total

38.3Scored

35.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.7	37.0	75.7	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.8	36.3	79.2	+6.5	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.5	37.5	73.0	-2.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	35.9	74.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	32.0	68.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	41.0	36.3	77.3	+4.7	67%	-
vs Similar (18)	37.3	37.0	74.3	+0.3	56%	-
vs Weaker (9)	40.7	37.2	77.9	+3.4	56%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

NSB Napoli

#13

35-24

+11

H26/04

Lega A

Fortitudo Bologna

#15

35-31

A07/05

Lega A

Avellino

#10

42-39

H10/05

Lega A

Biella

#14

34-27

H11/10

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

37-41

-4

A18/10

Lega A

Olimpia Milano

42-46

-4

H25/10

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#16

48-36

+12

A31/10

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

42-49

-7

H07/11

Lega A

Teramo

#13

48-49

-1

A15/11

Lega A

Cremona

#12

42-41

H22/11

Lega A

78.8Avg total

40.5Scored

38.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	37.6	76.3	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.2	34.9	74.2	+4.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	40.7	78.6	-2.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	38.3	78.8	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	44.2	88.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	37.7	37.2	74.9	+0.5	54%	-
vs Similar (11)	38.0	36.5	74.5	+1.5	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	41.8	40.5	82.3	+1.3	50%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.6	38.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.9	18.0	37.9	+1.9	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	19.1	38.6	+0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.6	36.7	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	13.8	32.8	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	19.0	24.3	43.3	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar (18)	20.6	17.0	37.6	+3.6	61%	-
vs Weaker (9)	18.1	19.9	38.0	-1.8	44%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	18.4	38.3	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	17.8	37.7	+2.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	19.1	39.1	+0.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	16.8	38.9	+5.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.4	13.2	37.6	+11.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	19.1	18.8	37.9	+0.2	46%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.5	19.2	37.6	-0.7	36%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	24.5	16.0	40.5	+8.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	19.2	37.7	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.2	19.9	37.1	-2.8	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	17.9	36.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	17.3	19.0	36.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar (18)	17.8	19.3	37.2	-1.5	44%	-
vs Weaker (9)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	22.4	40.4	-4.4	23%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	21.6	40.6	-2.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	23.4	40.1	-6.6	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	17.4	37.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	16.3	23.8	40.1	-7.5	8%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.1	22.9	41.0	-4.8	18%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.2	37.8	76.0	+0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	40.1	36.3	76.4	+3.8	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.7	39.0	75.7	-2.3	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	35.5	72.9	+1.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	32.8	70.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	36.3	43.3	79.7	-7.0	33%	-
vs Similar (18)	38.4	36.3	74.8	+2.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (9)	38.2	39.0	77.2	-0.8	44%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	40.8	78.7	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.0	39.3	78.3	-0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.7	42.5	79.2	-5.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	35.6	76.3	+5.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	30.6	75.0	+13.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)	35.4	42.6	78.0	-7.2	15%	-
vs Similar (11)	36.5	42.1	78.6	-5.5	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	46.0	34.5	80.5	+11.5	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Bologna wins

Caserta wins

Date	Game	Score
04/04/09	Virtus Bologna v Caserta	86-81
13/12/08	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	78-68

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/11/09	H	Avellino	73-55
15/11/09	A	Varese	78-68
08/11/09	H	Olimpia Milano	83-87 OT
01/11/09	A	Teramo	69-66
25/10/09	H	NSB Napoli	76-62
18/10/09	A	Biella	76-79
11/10/09	H	Sutor Montegranaro	76-68
04/10/09	A	Siena	65-87
27/05/09	A	Treviso	72-78
25/05/09	H	Treviso	99-78

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/11/09	H	Cremona	97-74
15/11/09	A	Teramo	85-92
07/11/09	H	Pesaro	95-81
31/10/09	A	NSB Napoli	89-49
25/10/09	H	Olimpia Milano	104-100 OT
18/10/09	A	Sutor Montegranaro	84-86
11/10/09	H	Biella	77-68
10/05/09	H	Avellino	65-74
07/05/09	A	Fortitudo Bologna	65-74
26/04/09	H	NSB Napoli	77-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	62%
Home	WWLW	75%
Away	LLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	62%	75%	50%
Points / game	74.5	77.0	72.0
Allowed / game	71.5	68.0	75.0
Point differential	+3.0	+9.0	-3.0
Avg total	146.0	145.0	147.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	50%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	12%	25%	0%

Caserta

Lega A 2009-10

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	71%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	LWL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	71%	100%	33%
Points / game	90.1	93.2	86.0
Allowed / game	78.6	80.8	75.7
Point differential	+11.6	+12.5	+10.3
Avg total	168.7	174.0	161.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	14%	25%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	8	8	0	100%	86.4	63.5	+22.9
2	Avellino	7	6	1	86%	80.6	73.4	+7.1
3	Caserta	7	5	2	71%	90.1	78.6	+11.6
4	Biella	7	5	2	71%	80.1	78.3	+1.9
5	Virtus Bologna	8	5	3	62%	74.5	71.5	+3.0
6	Olimpia Milano	7	4	3	57%	79.9	78.7	+1.1
7	Treviso	7	4	3	57%	83.4	83.6	-0.1
8	Cantu	7	4	3	57%	77.0	77.9	-0.9
9	Cremona	8	4	4	50%	86.9	84.2	+2.6
10	Virtus Roma	7	3	4	43%	78.9	78.4	+0.4
11	Varese	7	3	4	43%	75.7	80.7	-5.0
12	Sutor Montegranaro	8	3	5	38%	74.9	77.1	-2.2
13	Teramo	7	2	5	29%	77.9	79.0	-1.1
14	Ferrara	7	2	5	29%	71.7	81.3	-9.6
15	Pesaro	7	0	7	0%	71.3	83.0	-11.7
16	NSB Napoli	7	0	7	0%	56.1	79.9	-23.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Bologna	18	14	13	27	72
Caserta	17	17	21	29	84

← all games of the day

Virtus Bologna vs Caserta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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