Virtus Bologna vs Caserta Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Feb 2011

Tip-off: 10:45

Final 69-61

21-13 16-20 13-16 19-12

Position#7

Record10-9

FormLWLLW

Points / game79.0

Allowed / game78.6

Virtus Bologna 🏆

Caserta

Position#13

Record9-10

FormWLLWW

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game80.6

Lega ARound 20

Domestic2010-11

Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Caserta

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Caserta winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#12

116-100 OT

116

100

+16

H26/12

Lega A

Siena

80-92

-12

A02/01

Lega A

Biella

#15

75-80

-5

A06/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

87-79

H09/01

Lega A

Teramo

#16

62-55

A16/01

Lega A

Cantu

67-83

-16

A23/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#17

93-72

+21

H30/01

Lega A

Avellino

101-105 OT

101

105

-4

A06/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

73-82

-9

A10/02

Italian Cup

Pesaro

#10

71-70

H20/02

Lega A

17-17

13-14

13-20

24-16

24-21

17-26

16-22

23-23

19-16

17-18

16-17

23-29

12-26

25-18

19-19

31-16

15-18

22-17

20-4

5-16

12-19

20-28

16-22

19-14

29-25

23-17

18-15

23-15

22-28

18-11

24-30

25-20

14-25

20-22

18-18

21-17

24-21

17-20

16-10

14-19

164.3Avg total

82.5Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	79.0	78.6	157.6	+0.4	53%
Season at home (9)	81.7	78.3	160.0	+3.3	67%
Season away (10)	76.6	78.8	155.4	-2.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	81.8	164.3	+0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	82.4	163.4	-1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	77.9	84.0	161.9	-6.1	38%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	74.7	75.4	150.1	-0.8	44%
vs Weaker (3)	79.7	71.3	151.0	+8.3	67%

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Caserta

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

90-67

+23

A15/01

Lega A

Galatasaray

#13

81-76 OT

H18/01

Eurocup

Biella

#15

83-81

A23/01

Lega A

Nymburk

#28

74-68

A25/01

Eurocup

Sassari

90-94 OT

-4

H30/01

Lega A

Estudiantes

#10

87-85

H01/02

Eurocup

Pesaro

#10

82-83

-1

A06/02

Lega A

Estudiantes

#10

80-90

-10

A15/02

Eurocup

Siena

89-84

H20/02

Lega A

Galatasaray

#13

64-54

+10

A22/02

Eurocup

22-26

19-13

30-10

19-18

18-13

19-14

20-21

12-21

18-25

27-21

15-15

23-20

13-18

28-23

17-15

16-12

32-25

19-27

10-16

20-13

25-22

22-22

14-19

26-22

15-27

19-19

14-17

34-20

28-23

12-16

22-25

18-26

16-25

29-26

28-14

16-19

22-14

19-6

11-20

12-14

160.2Avg total

82.0Scored

78.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	81.5	80.6	162.1	+0.9	47%
Season at home (9)	82.2	79.7	161.9	+2.6	56%
Season away (10)	80.9	81.4	162.3	-0.5	40%
Last 10 (10)	82.0	78.2	160.2	+3.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	79.2	159.6	+1.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	83.2	84.5	167.8	-1.2	50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	78.6	79.0	157.6	-0.4	45%
vs Weaker (6)	83.7	75.0	158.7	+8.7	83%

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Virtus BolognaCaserta

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.8	19.2	37.1	-1.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	16.4	20.6	37.0	-4.3	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	21.6	40.4	-2.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.6	43.8	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	16.8	19.4	36.1	-2.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	16.5	19.7	36.2	-3.2	33%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	22.0	43.7	-0.3	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	20.8	42.5	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.8	42.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.2	43.4	-1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.8	21.5	39.2	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.4	21.6	42.9	-0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.8	19.0	37.8	-0.2	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.3	38.9	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	17.7	37.9	+2.5	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	20.5	39.6	-1.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.1	38.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	39%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.0	18.7	40.7	+3.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.2	37.9	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	18.7	40.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	24.8	21.0	45.8	+3.8	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.9	18.4	37.2	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.0	16.0	35.0	+3.0	67%	-

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cremona

#12

30-31

-1

H26/12

Lega A

Siena

41-47

-6

A02/01

Lega A

Biella

#15

36-34

A06/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

37-44

-7

H09/01

Lega A

Teramo

#16

37-35

A16/01

Lega A

Cantu

32-47

-15

A23/01

Lega A

Brindisi

#17

52-42

+10

H30/01

Lega A

Avellino

40-39

A06/02

Lega A

Sutor Montegranaro

34-47

-13

A10/02

Italian Cup

Pesaro

#10

41-41

H20/02

Lega A

78.7Avg total

38.0Scored

40.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	39.3	75.9	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.1	36.9	75.0	+1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.5	41.1	76.6	-5.6	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	40.7	78.7	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	43.2	83.0	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.6	38.0	73.6	-2.4	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.0	39.2	75.2	-3.2	28%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.7	40.7	84.3	+3.0	67%	-

This opponent (Caserta) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CasertaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

41-39

A15/01

Lega A

Galatasaray

#13

37-27

+10

H18/01

Eurocup

Biella

#15

45-46

-1

A23/01

Lega A

Nymburk

#28

41-41

A25/01

Eurocup

Sassari

51-52

-1

H30/01

Lega A

Estudiantes

#10

47-44

H01/02

Eurocup

Pesaro

#10

34-46

-12

A06/02

Lega A

Estudiantes

#10

40-39

A15/02

Eurocup

Siena

45-51

-6

H20/02

Lega A

Galatasaray

#13

41-20

+21

A22/02

Eurocup

82.7Avg total

42.2Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	39.3	79.3	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	39.4	81.5	+2.6	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.3	39.1	77.4	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	40.5	82.7	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	40.0	81.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	42.5	42.5	85.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	40.2	39.9	80.2	+0.4	55%	-
vs Weaker (6)	37.8	35.0	72.8	+2.8	67%	-

This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.9	17.5	35.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.2	17.9	35.2	-0.7	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.4	17.2	35.6	+1.2	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	17.7	35.3	-0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.0	37.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.1	23.5	40.6	-6.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.1	15.6	33.7	+2.6	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	18.7	13.3	32.0	+5.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	17.7	35.8	+0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.9	16.4	33.3	+0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	17.2	35.3	+0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.0	36.8	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.8	22.0	43.8	-0.2	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	17.7	17.4	35.1	+0.3	35%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.2	15.8	33.0	+1.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.7	20.8	42.5	+0.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.7	17.7	35.4	+0.0	59%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.5	39.3	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	17.0	37.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	23.6	20.5	44.1	+3.1	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.8	18.8	36.7	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.3	17.3	34.7	+0.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.2	40.5	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.4	20.2	39.7	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	18.5	38.1	+1.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	18.1	19.1	37.2	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	28.7	24.2	52.8	+4.5	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	36.6	73.9	+0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.9	38.8	77.7	+0.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	36.1	34.9	71.1	+1.2	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	36.2	74.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	36.0	74.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	40.8	44.0	84.8	-3.2	12%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	35.9	34.4	70.3	+1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (3)	36.0	30.7	66.7	+5.3	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	37.9	76.4	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.2	36.6	74.8	+1.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.6	39.1	77.8	-0.5	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.7	35.7	73.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	39.2	78.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	40.8	42.0	82.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	35.8	36.5	72.2	-0.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (6)	45.8	40.0	85.8	+5.8	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Virtus Bologna wins

Caserta wins

Date	Game	Score
13/11/10	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	63-71
28/03/10	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	67-74
18/02/10	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	78-88
28/11/09	Virtus Bologna v Caserta	72-84
04/04/09	Virtus Bologna v Caserta	86-81
13/12/08	Caserta v Virtus Bologna	78-68

Virtus Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/02/11	H	Pesaro	71-70
10/02/11	A	Sutor Montegranaro	73-82
06/02/11	A	Avellino	101-105 OT
30/01/11	H	Brindisi	93-72
23/01/11	A	Cantu	67-83
16/01/11	A	Teramo	62-55
09/01/11	H	Virtus Roma	87-79
06/01/11	A	Biella	75-80
02/01/11	A	Siena	80-92
26/12/10	H	Cremona	116-100 OT

Casertalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/02/11	A	Galatasaray	64-54
20/02/11	H	Siena	89-84
15/02/11	A	Estudiantes	80-90
06/02/11	A	Pesaro	82-83
01/02/11	H	Estudiantes	87-85
30/01/11	H	Sassari	90-94 OT
25/01/11	A	Nymburk	74-68
23/01/11	A	Biella	83-81
18/01/11	H	Galatasaray	81-76 OT
15/01/11	A	Treviso	90-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna

Lega A 2010-11

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	53%
Home	LWWWW	67%
Away	LLWLL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	53%	67%	40%
Points / game	79.0	81.7	76.6
Allowed / game	78.6	78.3	78.8
Point differential	+0.4	+3.3	-2.2
Avg total	157.6	160.0	155.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	22%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	67% (3)	25% (4)
Overtime %	11%	11%	10%

Caserta

Lega A 2010-11

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	47%
Home	WWWLW	56%
Away	LLWWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	47%	56%	40%
Points / game	81.5	82.2	80.9
Allowed / game	80.6	79.7	81.4
Point differential	+0.9	+2.6	-0.5
Avg total	162.1	161.9	162.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	11%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	25% (4)	40% (5)
Overtime %	16%	22%	10%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	19	17	2	89%	84.5	72.4	+12.2
2	Cantu	19	14	5	74%	77.7	71.3	+6.5
3	Olimpia Milano	19	14	5	74%	81.7	77.5	+4.3
4	Avellino	20	11	9	55%	80.5	77.8	+2.6
5	Virtus Bologna	19	10	9	53%	79.0	78.6	+0.4
6	Virtus Roma	19	9	10	47%	78.1	75.2	+2.9
7	Caserta	19	9	10	47%	81.5	80.6	+0.9
8	Sassari	19	9	10	47%	81.8	83.0	-1.2
9	Pesaro	19	9	10	47%	73.6	78.6	-5.0
10	Sutor Montegranaro	20	9	11	45%	81.1	82.5	-1.4
11	Treviso	19	8	11	42%	75.3	74.2	+1.1
12	Cremona	19	8	11	42%	79.3	78.2	+1.1
13	Varese	19	8	11	42%	79.2	82.6	-3.4
14	Biella	19	8	11	42%	81.1	84.7	-3.6
15	Brindisi	19	5	14	26%	71.4	80.1	-8.7
16	Teramo	19	5	14	26%	73.9	82.7	-8.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Virtus Bologna	21	16	13	19	69
Caserta	13	20	16	12	61

← all games of the day

Virtus Bologna vs Caserta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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