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Castello vs Estela Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 May 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 92-89
27-19 16-23 28-22 21-25
Position#15
Record10-23
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Position#14
Record11-22
FormLWLLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game82.8
SpainPrimera FEBRound 34
Other2023-24
Meetings · Castello v Estela
25 Oct 2024
CAST89
ESTE68
10 May 2024
CAST92
ESTE89
21 Oct 2022
CAST76
ESTE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Castello winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastello
Date
Competition
Ourense
#12
L
78-81
78
81
-3
no box
H13/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
72-112
72
112
-40
65avg 71
H17/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
74avg 71
A24/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
79-95
79
95
-16
70avg 71
A31/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 71
H05/04
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
67-91
67
91
-24
57avg 71
A10/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
67avg 71
H14/04
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
96-93
96
93
+3
87avg 71
A21/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
70-64
70
64
+6
69avg 71
H28/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
70avg 71
A05/05
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
17-21
15-22
26-17
17-36
18-31
21-22
16-23
21-19
16-21
21-24
23-16
11-24
17-18
19-26
32-27
19-24
15-19
27-16
29-26
11-34
20-27
20-16
16-14
15-20
16-20
19-22
24-12
28-17
21-24
27-15
20-37
25-16
12-10
14-19
19-19
23-21
20-31
21-26
18-17
167.8Avg total
79.8Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.886.6165.4-7.830%
Season at home (16)80.384.4164.8-4.138%
Season away (17)77.488.6166.0-11.324%
Last 10 (10)79.888.0167.8-8.240%
Last 5 (5)79.685.4165.0-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)78.087.9165.9-10.025%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.683.6164.2-3.040%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Melilla
#16
W
84-71
84
71
+13
84avg 68
A13/03
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
67-78
67
78
-11
55avg 68
H17/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
68-84
68
84
-16
56avg 68
A23/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
77avg 68
H29/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
96-106 OT
96
106
-10
84avg 68
H06/04
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
L
84-99
84
99
-15
69avg 68
A10/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
W
72-65
72
65
+7
62avg 68
A14/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
67-81
67
81
-14
58avg 68
H20/04
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
71avg 68
A26/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
67-94
67
94
-27
52avg 68
H04/05
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
17-20
21-15
26-21
12-23
14-22
21-11
20-22
23-18
18-15
11-29
16-22
27-15
15-32
18-15
17-15
20-24
23-27
28-21
12-11
22-23
16-27
24-29
22-20
15-8
19-18
19-15
19-24
22-23
18-12
8-26
19-20
33-14
6-26
10-24
28-24
17-24
19-20
17-25
14-25
161.5Avg total
76.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.482.8160.2-5.433%
Season at home (17)78.880.4159.1-1.641%
Season away (16)76.085.4161.4-9.425%
Last 10 (10)76.684.9161.5-8.330%
Last 5 (5)73.485.4158.8-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)73.685.0158.6-11.412%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.078.1159.1+2.960%
vs Weaker (4)80.880.0160.8+0.850%
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -1.1-1.1
CastelloEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ourense
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H13/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
35-67
35
67
-32
H17/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A24/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A31/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H05/04
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
31-61
31
61
-30
A10/04
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H14/04
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A21/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H28/04
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A05/05
Primera FEB
81.6Avg total
36.2Scored
45.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.343.781.0-6.423%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.242.579.7-5.320%-
Last 30 away (15)37.544.982.3-7.427%-
Last 10 (10)36.245.481.6-9.220%-
Last 5 (5)38.244.082.2-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.944.982.8-7.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.241.477.6-5.230%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melilla
#16
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A13/03
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H17/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A23/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H29/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H06/04
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A10/04
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
W
34-26
34
26
+8
A14/04
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H20/04
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A26/04
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H04/05
Primera FEB
78.2Avg total
37.6Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.440.278.6-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.639.079.6+1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)36.041.677.6-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.678.2-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.076.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.942.077.9-6.119%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.637.880.4+4.870%-
vs Weaker (4)38.239.077.2-0.825%-
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Castello wins
2
Estela wins
DateGameScore
25/11/23Estela v Castello91-80
18/02/23Estela v Castello84-64
21/10/22Castello v Estela76-72
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/05/24ALeyma Coruna82-95
28/04/24HAlicante70-64
21/04/24AClavijo96-93
14/04/24HHestia Menorca83-84 OT
10/04/24ASan Pablo Burgos67-91
05/04/24HMelilla90-85
31/03/24AEstudiantes79-95
24/03/24AOviedo81-80
17/03/24HTizona Burgos72-112
13/03/24HOurense78-81
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24HTizona Burgos67-94
26/04/24AForca Lleida77-88
20/04/24HEstudiantes67-81
14/04/24AOurense72-65
10/04/24AClavijo84-99
06/04/24HGipuzkoa96-106 OT
29/03/24HOviedo84-83 OT
23/03/24AHestia Menorca68-84
17/03/24HReal Betis67-78
13/03/24AMelilla84-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Castello
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL30%
HomeLLWLW38%
AwayWLLWL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %30%38%24%
Points / game78.880.377.4
Allowed / game86.684.488.6
Point differential-7.8-4.1-11.3
Avg total165.4164.8166.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%6%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (6)100% (3)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Estela
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLWLLL41%
AwayWLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %33%41%25%
Points / game77.478.876.0
Allowed / game82.880.485.4
Point differential-5.4-1.6-9.4
Avg total160.2159.1161.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%24%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)20% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %9%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna3326779%89.881.5+8.3
2 San Pablo Burgos3325876%87.376.6+10.7
3 Forca Lleida3325876%81.575.0+6.5
4 Tizona Burgos3324973%89.180.3+8.8
5 Estudiantes3324973%84.376.6+7.7
6 Gipuzkoa33221167%82.877.5+5.3
7 Alicante33191458%79.676.5+3.1
8 Real Valladolid33181555%78.179.7-1.6
9 Real Betis33161748%81.179.0+2.1
10 Fuenlabrada33151845%77.578.8-1.3
11 Hestia Menorca33141942%72.876.1-3.3
12 Ourense33141942%73.678.9-5.3
13 Oviedo33132039%79.280.5-1.3
14 Estela33112233%77.482.8-5.4
15 Melilla33102330%75.882.0-6.2
16 Castello33102330%78.886.6-7.8
17 Caceres3362718%74.385.0-10.7
18 Clavijo3352815%69.979.5-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Castello2716282192
Estela1923222589
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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