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Ourense vs Estela Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 65-72
8-15 18-19 15-19 24-19
Position#12
Record12-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Estela 🏆
Spain
Position#14
Record10-19
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game82.9
SpainPrimera FEBRound 30
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ourense v Estela
10 Oct 2026
OURE86
ESTE101
11 Apr 2026
OURE67
ESTE72
12 Oct 2024
OURE93
ESTE65
14 Apr 2024
OURE65
ESTE72
29 Oct 2022
OURE66
ESTE79
06 Apr 2022
OURE70
ESTE76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ourense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#8
L
48-72
48
72
-24
36avg 65
A09/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
W
88-83 OT
88
83
+5
no box
H17/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
80-85
80
85
-5
78avg 65
A03/03
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
67avg 65
H09/03
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
W
81-78
81
78
+3
no box
A13/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
L
71-81
71
81
-10
55avg 65
A16/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
92-71
92
71
+21
83avg 65
H23/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
L
66-76
66
76
-10
60avg 65
A29/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
84-87
84
87
-3
74avg 65
H06/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
82-91
82
91
-9
81avg 65
A10/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
5-28
12-11
18-17
19-18
22-24
22-16
15-20
19-20
17-10
22-19
22-36
16-19
17-27
17-10
23-24
21-20
21-17
22-15
17-26
24-22
19-22
12-15
16-22
23-17
21-23
20-17
28-14
18-18
13-30
22-19
13-9
13-26
20-17
25-22
26-22
23-18
22-24
28-26
9-23
156.9Avg total
76.5Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)73.879.0152.8-5.241%
Season at home (14)77.973.6151.6+4.357%
Season away (15)69.984.0153.9-14.127%
Last 10 (10)76.580.4156.9-3.930%
Last 5 (5)79.081.2160.2-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)70.085.4155.4-15.418%
vs Similar ◀ (11)78.673.6152.3+5.064%
vs Weaker (2)70.556.0126.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstela
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
81-74
81
74
+7
76avg 68
H10/02
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
L
79-84
79
84
-5
71avg 68
A17/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
65-82
65
82
-17
56avg 68
H03/03
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
73-71
73
71
+2
61avg 68
A08/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
84-71
84
71
+13
84avg 68
A13/03
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
67-78
67
78
-11
55avg 68
H17/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
L
68-84
68
84
-16
56avg 68
A23/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
W
84-83 OT
84
83
+1
77avg 68
H29/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
96-106 OT
96
106
-10
84avg 68
H06/04
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
L
84-99
84
99
-15
69avg 68
A10/04
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
13-14
29-21
16-20
18-26
17-26
18-16
26-16
12-25
11-18
17-15
25-24
13-22
18-10
21-18
21-21
20-15
17-20
21-15
26-21
12-23
14-22
21-11
20-22
23-18
18-15
11-29
16-22
27-15
15-32
18-15
17-15
20-24
23-27
28-21
12-11
22-23
16-27
24-29
22-20
161.3Avg total
78.1Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.382.9161.3-4.634%
Season at home (15)80.379.4159.7+0.947%
Season away (14)76.286.7162.9-10.521%
Last 10 (10)78.183.2161.3-5.140%
Last 5 (5)79.890.0169.8-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.785.9161.6-10.320%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.980.5161.5+0.445%
vs Weaker (4)80.880.0160.8+0.850%
This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +0.9+0.9
OurenseEstela
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#8
L
18-44
18
44
-26
A09/02
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H17/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A03/03
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H09/03
Primera FEB
Castello
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A13/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A16/03
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H23/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H06/04
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A10/04
Primera FEB
78.2Avg total
36.6Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.240.276.3-4.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.437.876.2+0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)33.942.576.5-8.633%-
Last 10 (10)36.641.678.2-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.482.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.443.578.9-8.129%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)38.037.575.5+0.555%-
vs Weaker (2)32.526.058.5+6.550%-
This opponent (Estela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H10/02
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A17/02
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
23-43
23
43
-20
H03/03
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A08/03
Primera FEB
Melilla
#16
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A13/03
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
26-45
26
45
-19
H17/03
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A23/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H29/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H06/04
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A10/04
Primera FEB
77.3Avg total
35.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.141.479.5-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.639.278.8+0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)36.543.980.4-7.421%-
Last 10 (10)35.242.177.3-6.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.045.283.2-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.943.579.4-7.520%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.139.580.5+1.655%-
vs Weaker (4)38.239.077.2-0.825%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ourense wins
4
Estela wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23Estela v Ourense76-80 OT
05/03/23Estela v Ourense75-69
29/10/22Ourense v Estela66-79
06/04/22Ourense v Estela70-76
12/01/22Estela v Ourense69-56
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24AAlicante82-91
06/04/24HLeyma Coruna84-87
29/03/24AFuenlabrada66-76
23/03/24HEstudiantes92-71
16/03/24AReal Valladolid71-81
13/03/24ACastello81-78
09/03/24HForca Lleida73-80
03/03/24ATizona Burgos80-85
17/02/24HOviedo88-83 OT
09/02/24AReal Betis48-72
Estelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24AClavijo84-99
06/04/24HGipuzkoa96-106 OT
29/03/24HOviedo84-83 OT
23/03/24AHestia Menorca68-84
17/03/24HReal Betis67-78
13/03/24AMelilla84-71
08/03/24ACaceres73-71
03/03/24HAlicante65-82
17/02/24AReal Valladolid79-84
10/02/24HFuenlabrada81-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ourense
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL41%
HomeLWLWL57%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %41%57%27%
Points / game73.877.969.9
Allowed / game79.073.684.0
Point differential-5.2+4.3-14.1
Avg total152.8151.6153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%36%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Estela
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL34%
HomeWLLWL47%
AwayLWWLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %34%47%21%
Points / game78.380.376.2
Allowed / game82.979.486.7
Point differential-4.6+0.9-10.5
Avg total161.3159.7162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%27%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)20% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna2923679%90.782.0+8.7
2 San Pablo Burgos2921872%87.477.6+9.8
3 Tizona Burgos2921872%88.981.3+7.7
4 Gipuzkoa2921872%82.475.9+6.5
5 Forca Lleida2921872%80.374.8+5.5
6 Estudiantes2920969%84.077.0+7.0
7 Alicante29181162%79.875.6+4.2
8 Real Valladolid29181162%78.979.1-0.2
9 Real Betis29131645%80.978.7+2.2
10 Fuenlabrada29121741%77.379.0-1.6
11 Hestia Menorca29121741%71.475.0-3.5
12 Ourense29121741%73.879.0-5.2
13 Oviedo30121840%79.279.8-0.7
14 Estela29101934%78.382.9-4.6
15 Melilla2992031%75.682.2-6.7
16 Castello2982128%78.287.0-8.7
17 Caceres3062420%74.484.6-10.2
18 Clavijo2952417%68.878.4-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ourense818152465
Estela1519191972
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