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Estudiantes vs Castello Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 95-79
24-11 18-17 26-19 27-32
Position#4
Record18-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Position#15
Record7-19
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game86.6
SpainPrimera FEBRound 27· WiZink Center
Other2023-24
Meetings · Estudiantes v Castello
06 Oct 2024
EST108
CAST85
31 Mar 2024
EST95
CAST79
11 Dec 2022
EST77
CAST52
15 Mar 2022
EST100
CAST69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Castello winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
66avg 77
A12/01
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
W
93-87
93
87
+6
84avg 77
H21/01
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
84-59
84
59
+25
78avg 77
H04/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
75-67
75
67
+8
68avg 77
A11/02
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
79-93
79
93
-14
70avg 77
A16/02
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
57-77
57
77
-20
40avg 77
H03/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
88-114
88
114
-26
75avg 77
A08/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
98-83
98
83
+15
97avg 77
H12/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
65-75
65
75
-10
52avg 77
A16/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
71-92
71
92
-21
60avg 77
A23/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
26-20
21-20
26-25
21-18
29-24
20-21
23-24
28-16
17-16
26-11
13-16
25-17
18-13
13-22
19-15
20-22
18-20
23-22
18-29
9-14
19-22
14-21
15-20
23-38
29-21
18-16
18-39
18-25
33-25
20-16
27-17
20-9
7-20
16-25
22-21
17-23
23-21
17-20
14-28
162.5Avg total
79.5Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.576.6160.1+6.869%
Season at home (13)86.574.5161.0+12.169%
Season away (13)80.478.8159.2+1.669%
Last 10 (10)79.583.0162.5-3.550%
Last 5 (5)75.888.2164.0-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)83.288.2171.4-5.036%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.171.9156.0+12.279%
This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastello
Date
Competition
Alicante
#7
L
64-86
64
86
-22
55avg 70
A13/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
72avg 70
H19/01
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
77-98
77
98
-21
72avg 70
A02/02
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
92-98
92
98
-6
86avg 70
H09/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
84-81
84
81
+3
77avg 70
A16/02
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
L
80-84
80
84
-4
70avg 70
H01/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
78-92
78
92
-14
61avg 70
A08/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
78-81
78
81
-3
no box
H13/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
72-112
72
112
-40
65avg 70
H17/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
74avg 70
A24/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
11-25
13-22
20-17
22-9
14-27
23-21
18-16
11-17
25-23
14-26
27-32
21-22
26-37
27-21
18-18
19-13
22-22
21-27
22-19
14-18
22-18
25-21
19-27
19-19
17-25
19-18
23-30
20-21
17-21
15-22
26-17
17-36
18-31
21-22
16-23
21-19
16-21
21-24
23-16
166.8Avg total
78.3Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.286.6164.8-8.427%
Season at home (13)80.286.0166.2-5.831%
Season away (13)76.287.2163.4-10.923%
Last 10 (10)78.388.5166.8-10.230%
Last 5 (5)77.889.8167.6-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)79.088.5167.5-9.524%
vs Similar (12)79.482.2161.6-2.842%
vs Weaker (1)66.083.0149.0-17.00%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -6.2-6.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -0.3-0.3
EstudiantesCastello
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#6
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A12/01
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H21/01
Primera FEB
Clavijo
#18
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H04/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#11
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A11/02
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A16/02
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
H03/03
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A08/03
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H12/03
Primera FEB
Alicante
#7
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A16/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A23/03
Primera FEB
81.4Avg total
41.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.537.279.7+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.639.383.9+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.435.175.5+5.367%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.281.4+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.683.2-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)41.542.584.0-0.936%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.134.277.2+8.984%-
This opponent (Castello) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alicante
#7
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A13/01
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H19/01
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A02/02
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H09/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#17
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A16/02
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H01/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A08/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H13/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
L
35-67
35
67
-32
H17/03
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A24/03
Primera FEB
81.8Avg total
37.2Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.542.780.2-5.223%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.042.881.8-3.827%-
Last 30 away (15)36.042.678.6-6.620%-
Last 10 (10)37.244.681.8-7.410%-
Last 5 (5)36.245.882.0-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)38.544.482.8-5.918%-
vs Similar (12)36.440.576.9-4.133%-
vs Weaker (1)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.2
50.1%
51.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.1
34.3%
33.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
73.6%13.5
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Castellotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Estudiantes wins
1
Castello wins
DateGameScore
29/11/23Castello v Estudiantes68-84
09/04/23Castello v Estudiantes87-86
11/12/22Estudiantes v Castello77-52
15/03/22Estudiantes v Castello100-69
10/11/21Castello v Estudiantes66-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24AOurense71-92
16/03/24AAlicante65-75
12/03/24HFuenlabrada98-83
08/03/24ALeyma Coruna88-114
03/03/24HSan Pablo Burgos57-77
16/02/24AForca Lleida79-93
11/02/24AHestia Menorca75-67
04/02/24HClavijo84-59
21/01/24HReal Betis93-87
12/01/24AGipuzkoa85-83
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/24AOviedo81-80
17/03/24HTizona Burgos72-112
13/03/24HOurense78-81
08/03/24AGipuzkoa78-92
01/03/24HReal Valladolid80-84
16/02/24ACaceres84-81
09/02/24HForca Lleida92-98
02/02/24AReal Betis77-98
19/01/24HFuenlabrada77-73
13/01/24AAlicante64-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL69%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayWLLLL69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %69%69%69%
Points / game83.586.580.4
Allowed / game76.674.578.8
Point differential+6.8+12.1+1.6
Avg total160.1161.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%54%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)33% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Castello
Primera FEB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeWLLLL31%
AwayLLWLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %27%31%23%
Points / game78.280.276.2
Allowed / game86.686.087.2
Point differential-8.4-5.8-10.9
Avg total164.8166.2163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leyma Coruna2721678%90.681.6+9.0
2 Tizona Burgos2619773%89.781.3+8.4
3 San Pablo Burgos2719870%86.477.1+9.3
4 Gipuzkoa2719870%82.175.8+6.3
5 Forca Lleida2719870%80.675.6+5.0
6 Estudiantes2618869%83.576.6+6.8
7 Real Valladolid2718967%80.078.7+1.3
8 Alicante27171063%79.775.3+4.4
9 Real Betis27131448%81.278.6+2.6
10 Ourense27121544%73.178.3-5.1
11 Oviedo27101737%79.380.6-1.3
12 Fuenlabrada27101737%76.679.6-2.9
13 Estela27101737%77.581.5-4.0
14 Hestia Menorca27101737%70.875.3-4.5
15 Melilla2791833%75.381.6-6.3
16 Castello2671927%78.286.6-8.4
17 Caceres2662023%74.083.8-9.8
18 Clavijo2742315%67.778.6-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes2418262795
Castello1117193279
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