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Caxias do Sul vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 04 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 88-82
26-18 11-16 24-27 27-21
Position#15
Record5-16
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#7
Record12-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game74.3
BrazilNBB· Ginasio do Sesi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Caxias do Sul v Vasco
11 Mar 2026
CAXI71
VASC69
04 Feb 2025
CAXI88
VASC82
01 Nov 2023
CAXI63
VASC68
10 Jan 2018
CAXI81
VASC69
07 Jan 2017
CAXI78
VASC73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Caxias do Sul winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Caxias do SulBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSul
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
L
66-71
66
71
-5
62avg 63
H03/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 63
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
79-89
79
89
-10
73avg 63
A10/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
72-82
72
82
-10
60avg 63
A12/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
92-101 OT
92
101
-9
81avg 63
H21/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
80-79
80
79
+1
70avg 63
H23/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
73-70
73
70
+3
63avg 63
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
65-78
65
78
-13
49avg 63
H29/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
68avg 63
A13/01
NBB
Pato
#14
L
65-78
65
78
-13
56avg 63
A20/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-13
14-21
15-21
13-16
18-21
21-19
24-17
13-25
21-15
18-17
19-28
21-29
17-20
19-17
17-20
19-25
23-25
17-22
18-14
24-21
19-29
25-22
25-16
11-12
21-18
18-20
20-12
14-20
15-18
10-22
15-20
25-18
15-23
21-20
25-20
16-15
20-16
15-21
17-16
13-25
155.3Avg total
74.5Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.079.0151.0-7.024%
Season at home (10)73.980.4154.3-6.530%
Season away (11)70.477.7148.1-7.418%
Last 10 (10)74.580.8155.3-6.320%
Last 5 (5)72.076.6148.6-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)72.782.9155.6-10.212%
vs Similar (4)70.270.8141.0-0.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Minas
#1
W
81-64
81
64
+17
70avg 70
H09/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
72avg 70
H12/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
69-88
69
88
-19
64avg 70
H21/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
81-63
81
63
+18
79avg 70
H23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-75
69
75
-6
55avg 70
H29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
79-99
79
99
-20
72avg 70
A09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
70-87
70
87
-17
64avg 70
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
82avg 70
H14/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
75-74
75
74
+1
68avg 70
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
73-92
73
92
-19
63avg 70
A26/01
Super 8
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-14
13-9
21-21
24-20
16-19
21-21
23-28
19-20
13-23
16-29
15-17
25-19
13-9
22-16
29-20
17-18
19-20
10-18
15-15
25-22
21-22
18-29
20-27
20-21
15-27
24-25
19-17
12-18
24-21
16-18
20-23
16-12
21-18
18-14
17-23
19-19
24-29
17-14
20-20
12-29
155.6Avg total
75.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.474.3148.7+0.155%
Season at home (12)74.273.8148.1+0.450%
Season away (10)74.674.9149.5-0.360%
Last 10 (10)75.280.4155.6-5.240%
Last 5 (5)74.685.2159.8-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)66.770.3137.0-3.733%
vs Similar (19)76.777.1153.8-0.453%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)72.167.6139.7+4.671%
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: -0.9-0.9
Caxias do SulVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Caxias do SulLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H03/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H05/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A12/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H23/12
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
25-40
25
40
-15
H29/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A13/01
NBB
Pato
#14
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/01
NBB
77.0Avg total
37.1Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.041.077.0-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.342.880.1-5.533%-
Last 30 away (15)34.739.173.9-4.420%-
Last 10 (10)37.139.977.0-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.877.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.041.577.5-5.523%-
vs Similar (4)36.037.873.8-1.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vasco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minas
#1
W
36-23
36
23
+13
H09/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H12/12
NBB
Franca
#2
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H21/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H23/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H29/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H18/01
NBB
Flamengo
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A26/01
Super 8
75.9Avg total
36.4Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.335.469.7-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.834.669.4+0.244%-
Last 30 away (14)33.736.470.1-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)36.439.575.9-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.483.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.033.362.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (19)34.937.172.0-2.137%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)33.930.964.7+3.043%-
This opponent (Caxias do Sul) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Caxias do Sultheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Caxias do Sul: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.2
52.4%
50.9%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.7
32.5%
33.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.413.2
68.0%
72.7%13.2
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.517.8
56.5%
50.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.48.1
26.6%
33.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws20.914.9
71.3%
72.7%14.9
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Caxias do Sul
LLLWWLLLLL
Vasco
LWWLLLWLLW
#15
League position
#7
-8.2
Net rating
-6.2
102.4
Offensive rating
100.8
110.6
Defensive rating
107.0
50.8%
Effective FG%
48.4%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.9%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
32.5%
3-point %
26.6%
58.3%
Assist %
73.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.4 · 100.8Defence110.6 · 107.0Shooting50.8% · 48.4%3-point %32.5% · 26.6%Ball care18.4% · 17.9%Off. rebounds26.9% · 26.8%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Caxias do Sul   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Caxias do Sul wins
3
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
07/11/24Vasco v Caxias do Sul80-71
20/01/24Vasco v Caxias do Sul78-73
01/11/23Caxias do Sul v Vasco63-68
06/03/18Vasco v Caxias do Sul70-87
10/01/18Caxias do Sul v Vasco81-69
14/03/17Vasco v Caxias do Sul57-76
07/01/17Caxias do Sul v Vasco78-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/25APato65-78
13/01/25AUniao Corinthians77-78
29/12/24HUnifacisa65-78
27/12/24HCearense73-70
23/12/24HCorinthians Paulista80-79
21/12/24HPinheiros92-101 OT
12/12/24APaulistano72-82
10/12/24ASao Paulo79-89
05/12/24HFranca76-82
03/12/24HBauru66-71
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25AFlamengo73-92
18/01/25HCearense75-74
14/01/25HUnifacisa76-74
11/01/25APinheiros70-87
09/01/25ACorinthians Paulista79-99
29/12/24HSao Jose69-75
23/12/24HBauru81-63
21/12/24HFranca69-88
12/12/24HBrasilia79-88
09/12/24HMinas81-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Caxias do Sul
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL24%
HomeLLWWL30%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %24%30%18%
Points / game72.073.970.4
Allowed / game79.080.477.7
Point differential-7.0-6.5-7.4
Avg total151.0154.3148.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Vasco
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW55%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLWWLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %55%50%60%
Points / game74.474.274.6
Allowed / game74.373.874.9
Point differential+0.1+0.4-0.3
Avg total148.7148.1149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2118386%83.371.2+12.1
2 Flamengo2116576%84.172.8+11.4
3 Brasilia2214864%82.681.4+1.2
4 Franca2112957%80.978.0+2.9
5 Pinheiros2112957%76.275.0+1.2
6 Uniao Corinthians2112957%78.178.6-0.5
7 Sao Jose22121055%78.176.1+2.0
8 Vasco22121055%74.474.3+0.1
9 Paulistano21111052%78.575.3+3.1
10 Bauru21111052%77.879.7-2.0
11 Unifacisa22111150%75.775.5+0.2
12 Corinthians Paulista22101245%81.080.8+0.2
13 Sao Paulo22101245%77.578.6-1.2
14 Pato2391439%81.483.5-2.1
15 Mogi2381535%72.878.7-5.8
16 Cearense2261627%70.577.0-6.5
17 Botafogo2261627%72.881.0-8.1
18 Caxias do Sul2151624%72.079.0-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Caxias do Sul2611242788
Vasco1816272182
← all games of the day
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